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Lakers at Bulls

NBA · Monday, Jan 26 · 7:00 PM CT · United Center · Final LAL 129 – CHI 118
← NBA / Jan 26

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
LAL35343525129
CHI31253329118
Team box
LAL·CHI
46-82
field goals
43-82
16-33
3-pointers
18-49
21-29
free throws
14-18
35
rebounds
40
26
assists
31
8
turnovers
15
52
points in paint
48
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Luka DoncicLAL3846712
LeBron JamesLAL332453
Coby WhiteCHI312356
Rui HachimuraLAL292321
Ayo DosunmuCHI252032
Josh GiddeyCHI281967

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CHI +20
LAL +20
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CHI 6 · LAL 20lead changes: 4

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was LAL 53%, CHI 47% · Updated Jan 26

Expected margin
LAL by 1.0
Expected score
LAL 119.0 – 118.0 CHI
Expected total
237.1
LakersThe matchupBulls
−111Our fair odds+111
119.0Expected points118.0
+0.13Power rating−0.22
116.0Points / game117.9
116.2Allowed / game119.7
49.5FG%47.6
35.13P%36.8
41.5Rebounds / game45.2
27−17Season record23−22
4−6Last 106−4
Adou Thiero · Austin ReavesOutEmanuel Miller · Noa Essengue
Tre Jones · Yuki Kawamura
Zach Collins

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LAL chance · CHI chance
Our model fair52.6%47.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
LALLos Angeles Lakers−11153%————
CHIChicago Bulls+11147%————
SpreadLAL by 1.0
LALLos Angeles Lakers−1our margin————
CHIChicago Bulls+1our margin————
Totalwe expect 237.1
Over237.1our total————
Under237.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Los Angeles Lakers by 1.0 expected
Los Angeles Lakers by 41 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 40 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 39 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 38 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 37 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 36 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 35 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 34 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 33 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 32 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 31 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 30 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 29 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 28 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 27 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 26 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 25 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 24 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 23 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 22 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 21 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 20 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 19 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 18 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 17 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 16 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 15 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 14 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 13 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 12 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 11 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 10 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 9 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 8 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 7 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 6 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 5 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 4 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 3 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 2 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 12 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 13 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 14 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 15 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 16 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 17 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 18 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 19 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 20 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 21 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 22 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 23 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 24 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 25 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 26 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 27 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 28 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 29 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 30 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 31 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 32 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 33 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 34 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1%
← LAL wins byCHI wins by →
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 5 or more42%
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 10 or more29%
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 15 or more18%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

237.1 expected
187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 227.567%
Total over 237.548%
Total over 247.530%
Total from 228 to 24738%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Los Angeles Lakers
GMarcus Smartstarted
GLuka Doncicstarted
FLeBron Jamesstarted
FJake LaRaviastarted
CDeandre Aytonstarted
Chicago Bulls
GCoby Whitestarted
FJalen Smithstarted
FIsaac Okorostarted
FMatas Buzelisstarted
CNikola Vucevicstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LAL·CHI
Jan 24 at DAL
last game
Jan 24 vs BOS
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
4th straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 26, 5:00 PM ET
Los Angeles Lakers
LALAdou Thiero · right mcl; sprainOut
LALAustin Reaves · left calf; strainOut
Chicago Bulls
CHIEmanuel Miller · g league - two-wayOut
CHINoa Essengue · left shoulder; surgeryOut
CHITre Jones · left hamstring; strainOut
CHIYuki Kawamura · g league - two-wayOut
CHIZach Collins · right 1st toe; sprainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 44+ games
LAL·CHI
+0.13
rating (0 = average)
−0.22
116.0
points / game
117.9
116.2
points allowed / game
119.7
27−17
season record
23−22
12−8
home record
15−9
15−9
away record
8−13
W1
streak
W4
4−6
last 10
6−4
49.5
FG%
47.6
35.1
3P%
36.8
41.5
rebounds / game
45.2
24.9
assists / game
29.9
15.0
turnovers / game
13.9
51.2
points in paint / game
54.1

Rating Trend

LAL · CHI · 89 days
Los Angeles LakersChicago Bulls
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · CHI 6−2
Mar 27, 2025at CHICHI 119 − 117
Mar 22, 2025at LALCHI 146 − 115
Jan 25, 2024at LALLAL 141 − 132
Dec 20, 2023at CHICHI 124 − 108
Mar 29, 2023at CHILAL 121 − 110
Mar 26, 2023at LALCHI 118 − 108
Dec 19, 2021at CHICHI 115 − 110
Nov 15, 2021at LALCHI 121 − 103

LAL · Last 10

4−6 · streak W1
Jan 24at DAL116 − 110W
Jan 22at LAC104 − 112L
Jan 20at DEN115 − 107W
Jan 18vs TOR110 − 93W
Jan 17at POR116 − 132L
Jan 15vs CHA117 − 135L
Jan 13vs ATL141 − 116W
Jan 12at SAC112 − 124L
Jan 9vs MIL101 − 105L
Jan 7at SA91 − 107L

CHI · Last 10

6−4 · streak W4
Jan 24vs BOS114 − 111W
Jan 22at MIN120 − 115W
Jan 20vs LAC138 − 110W
Jan 18vs BKN124 − 102W
Jan 16at BKN109 − 112L
Jan 14vs UTAH128 − 126W
Jan 13at HOU113 − 119L
Jan 10vs DAL125 − 107W
Jan 7at DET93 − 108L
Jan 5at BOS101 − 115L