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Lakers at Clippers

NBA · Thursday, Jan 22 · 9:00 PM CT · Intuit Dome · Final LAL 104 – LAC 112
← NBA / Jan 22

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
LAL29182532104
LAC36282226112
Team box
LAL·LAC
40-88
field goals
40-84
11-33
3-pointers
12-31
13-18
free throws
20-21
34
rebounds
49
24
assists
23
10
turnovers
20
52
points in paint
42
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Luka DoncicLAL3932118
Kawhi LeonardLAC262454
LeBron JamesLAL362356
Ivica ZubacLAC3218190
James HardenLAC3818710
Jordan MillerLAC251431

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAC +26
LAL +26
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: LAC 26 · LAL 4lead changes: 7

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was LAL 43%, LAC 57% · Updated Jan 22

Expected margin
LAC by 3.4
Expected score
LAC 113.5 – 110.1 LAL
Expected total
223.7
LakersThe matchupClippers
+135Our fair odds−135
110.1Expected points113.5
+0.13Power rating+0.19
116.3Points / game112.3
116.5Allowed / game113.8
49.7FG%47.5
35.03P%36.2
41.4Rebounds / game40.3
26−16Season record19−24
5−5Last 107−3
Adou Thiero · Austin ReavesOutBogdan Bogdanovic · Bradley Beal
Chris Paul · Derrick Jones Jr.

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LAL chance · LAC chance
Our model fair42.6%57.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
LALLos Angeles Lakers+13543%————
LACLA Clippers−13557%————
SpreadLAC by 3.4
LALLos Angeles Lakers+3.4our margin————
LACLA Clippers−3.4our margin————
Totalwe expect 223.7
Over223.7our total————
Under223.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

LA Clippers by 3.4 expected
Los Angeles Lakers by 45 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 44 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 43 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 42 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 41 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 40 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 39 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 38 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 37 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 36 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 35 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 34 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 33 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 32 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 31 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 30 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 29 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 28 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 27 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 26 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 25 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 24 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 23 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 22 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 21 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 20 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 19 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 18 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 17 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 16 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 15 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 14 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 13 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 12 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 11 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 10 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 9 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 8 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 7 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 6 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 5 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 4 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 3 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 2 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 3 points: 3%LA Clippers by 4 points: 3%LA Clippers by 5 points: 3%LA Clippers by 6 points: 3%LA Clippers by 7 points: 3%LA Clippers by 8 points: 3%LA Clippers by 9 points: 3%LA Clippers by 10 points: 3%LA Clippers by 11 points: 3%LA Clippers by 12 points: 3%LA Clippers by 13 points: 2%LA Clippers by 14 points: 2%LA Clippers by 15 points: 2%LA Clippers by 16 points: 2%LA Clippers by 17 points: 2%LA Clippers by 18 points: 2%LA Clippers by 19 points: 1%LA Clippers by 20 points: 1%LA Clippers by 21 points: 1%LA Clippers by 22 points: 1%LA Clippers by 23 points: 1%LA Clippers by 24 points: 1%LA Clippers by 25 points: 1%LA Clippers by 26 points: 1%LA Clippers by 27 points: 1%LA Clippers by 28 points: 1%LA Clippers by 29 points: 1%LA Clippers by 30 points: <1%LA Clippers by 31 points: <1%LA Clippers by 32 points: <1%LA Clippers by 33 points: <1%LA Clippers by 34 points: <1%LA Clippers by 35 points: <1%LA Clippers by 36 points: <1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%LA Clippers by 43 points: <1%LA Clippers by 44 points: <1%LA Clippers by 45 points: <1%
← LAL wins byLAC wins by →
LA Clippers wins by 5 or more50%
LA Clippers wins by 10 or more35%
LA Clippers wins by 15 or more22%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

223.7 expected
175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 213.570%
Total over 223.550%
Total over 233.530%
Total from 214 to 23339%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Los Angeles Lakers
GMarcus Smartstarted
GLuka Doncicstarted
FLeBron Jamesstarted
FJake LaRaviastarted
CDeandre Aytonstarted
LA Clippers
GJames Hardenstarted
GKris Dunnstarted
FKawhi Leonardstarted
FJohn Collinsstarted
CIvica Zubacstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LAL·LAC
Jan 20 at DEN
last game
Jan 20 at CHI
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 22, 5:00 PM ET
Los Angeles Lakers
LALAdou Thiero · right mcl; sprainOut
LALAustin Reaves · left calf; strainOut
LA Clippers
LACBogdan Bogdanovic · left hamstring; injury managementOut
LACBradley Beal · left hip; fractureOut
LACChris Paul · not with teamOut
LACDerrick Jones Jr. · right knee; sprainOut
LACKawhi Leonard · left knee; contusionQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 42+ games
LAL·LAC
+0.13
rating (0 = average)
+0.19
116.3
points / game
112.3
116.5
points allowed / game
113.8
26−16
season record
19−24
12−8
home record
11−9
14−8
away record
8−15
W2
streak
L1
5−5
last 10
7−3
49.7
FG%
47.5
35.0
3P%
36.2
41.4
rebounds / game
40.3
24.9
assists / game
23.5
15.1
turnovers / game
14.7
51.2
points in paint / game
46.4

Rating Trend

LAL · LAC · 85 days
Los Angeles LakersLA Clippers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · LAC 3−7
Dec 20, 2025at LACLAC 103 − 88
Nov 25, 2025at LALLAL 135 − 118
Mar 2, 2025at LALLAL 108 − 102
Feb 28, 2025at LALLAL 106 − 102
Feb 4, 2025at LACLAL 122 − 97
Jan 19, 2025at LACLAC 116 − 102
Feb 28, 2024at LACLAL 116 − 112
Jan 23, 2024at LACLAC 127 − 116
Jan 7, 2024at LALLAL 106 − 103
Nov 1, 2023at LALLAL 130 − 125

LAL · Last 10

5−5 · streak W2
Jan 20at DEN115 − 107W
Jan 18vs TOR110 − 93W
Jan 17at POR116 − 132L
Jan 15vs CHA117 − 135L
Jan 13vs ATL141 − 116W
Jan 12at SAC112 − 124L
Jan 9vs MIL101 − 105L
Jan 7at SA91 − 107L
Jan 6at NO111 − 103W
Jan 4vs MEM120 − 114W

LAC · Last 10

7−3 · streak L1
Jan 20at CHI110 − 138L
Jan 19at WSH110 − 106W
Jan 16at TOR121 − 117W
Jan 14vs WSH119 − 105W
Jan 12vs CHA117 − 109W
Jan 10at DET98 − 92W
Jan 9at BKN121 − 105W
Jan 7at NY111 − 123L
Jan 5vs GS103 − 102W
Jan 3vs BOS115 − 146L