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Pistons at Raptors

NBA · Wednesday, Feb 11 · 6:30 PM CT · Scotiabank Arena · Final DET 113 – TOR 95
← NBA / Feb 11

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
DET29382719113
TOR1933222195
Team box
DET·TOR
41-89
field goals
32-75
14-34
3-pointers
10-32
17-25
free throws
21-23
47
rebounds
35
24
assists
22
16
turnovers
17
50
points in paint
34
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Cade CunninghamDET302879
Paul ReedDET332253
Immanuel QuickleyTOR321825
Scottie BarnesTOR301775
RJ BarrettTOR301634
Duncan RobinsonDET251341

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
TOR +23
DET +23
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: TOR 0 · DET 23lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was DET 58%, TOR 42% · Updated Feb 11

Expected margin
DET by 3.3
Expected score
DET 113.9 – 110.6 TOR
Expected total
224.5
PistonsThe matchupRaptors
−141Our fair odds+141
113.9Expected points110.6
+0.54Power rating−0.02
117.3Points / game114.1
109.6Allowed / game112.2
48.2FG%47.4
34.63P%34.5
45.6Rebounds / game43.1
39−13Season record32−22
7−3Last 107−3
Isaac Jones · Isaiah Stewart
Jalen Duren · Ronald Holland II
Wendell Moore Jr.Out (5 each)A.J. Lawson · Chris Paul
Chucky Hepburn · Collin Murray-Boyles
Jonathan Mogbo

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
DET chance · TOR chance
Our model fair58.5%41.5%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
DETDetroit Pistons−14158%————
TORToronto Raptors+14142%————
SpreadDET by 3.3
DETDetroit Pistons−3.3our margin————
TORToronto Raptors+3.3our margin————
Totalwe expect 224.5
Over224.5our total————
Under224.5our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Detroit Pistons by 3.3 expected
Detroit Pistons by 44 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 43 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 42 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 41 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 40 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 39 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 38 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 37 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 36 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 35 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 34 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 33 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 32 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 31 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 30 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 29 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 28 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 27 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 26 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 25 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 24 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 23 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 22 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 21 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 20 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 19 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 18 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 17 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 16 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 15 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 14 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 13 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 12 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 11 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 10 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 9 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 8 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 7 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 6 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 5 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 4 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 3 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 2 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 1 point: 2%Toronto Raptors by 1 point: 2%Toronto Raptors by 2 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 3 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 4 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 5 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 6 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 7 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 8 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 9 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 10 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 11 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 12 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 13 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 14 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 15 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 16 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 17 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 18 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 19 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 20 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 21 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 22 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 23 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 24 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 25 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 26 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 27 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 28 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 29 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 30 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 31 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 32 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 33 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 34 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 35 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 36 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 37 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 38 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 39 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 40 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 41 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 42 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 43 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 44 points: <1%
← DET wins byTOR wins by →
Detroit Pistons wins by 5 or more49%
Detroit Pistons wins by 10 or more34%
Detroit Pistons wins by 15 or more22%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

224.5 expected
176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 214.569%
Total over 224.550%
Total over 234.530%
Total from 215 to 23439%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Detroit Pistons
GCade Cunninghamstarted
GAusar Thompsonstarted
FTobias Harrisstarted
FDuncan Robinsonstarted
FPaul Reedstarted
Toronto Raptors
GImmanuel Quickleystarted
FBrandon Ingramstarted
FRJ Barrettstarted
FScottie Barnesstarted
CJakob Poeltlstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
DET·TOR
Feb 9 at CHA
last game
Feb 8 vs IND
1 day
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
5th straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 11, 5:00 PM ET
Detroit Pistons
DETIsaac Jones · g league - two-wayOut
DETIsaiah Stewart · league suspensionOut
DETJalen Duren · league suspensionOut
DETRonald Holland II · personal reasonsOut
DETWendell Moore Jr. · g league - two-wayOut
Toronto Raptors
TORA.J. Lawson · g league - two-wayOut
TORChris Paul · not with teamOut
TORChucky Hepburn · g league - two-wayOut
TORCollin Murray-Boyles · left thumb; sprain - injury managementOut
TORJonathan Mogbo · g league - on assignmentOut
TORJakob Poeltl · return to competition reconditioningQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 52+ games
DET·TOR
+0.54
rating (0 = average)
−0.02
117.3
points / game
114.1
109.6
points allowed / game
112.2
39−13
season record
32−22
22−6
home record
16−12
17−7
away record
16−10
W2
streak
W2
7−3
last 10
7−3
48.2
FG%
47.4
34.6
3P%
34.5
45.6
rebounds / game
43.1
26.7
assists / game
29.5
15.2
turnovers / game
14.0
57.0
points in paint / game
52.4

Rating Trend

DET · TOR · 105 days
Detroit PistonsToronto Raptors
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · TOR 4−6
Apr 4, 2025at TORDET 117 − 105
Jan 11, 2025at DETDET 123 − 114
Nov 25, 2024at DETDET 102 − 100
Nov 15, 2024at TORDET 99 − 95
Mar 13, 2024at DETDET 113 − 104
Dec 30, 2023at DETDET 129 − 127
Nov 19, 2023at TORTOR 142 − 113
Mar 24, 2023at TORTOR 118 − 97
Feb 25, 2023at DETTOR 95 − 91
Feb 12, 2023at TORTOR 119 − 118

DET · Last 10

7−3 · streak W2
Feb 9at CHA110 − 104W
Feb 6vs NY118 − 80W
Feb 5vs WSH117 − 126L
Feb 3vs DEN124 − 121W
Feb 1vs BKN130 − 77W
Jan 30at GS131 − 124W
Jan 29at PHX96 − 114L
Jan 27at DEN109 − 107W
Jan 25vs SAC139 − 116W
Jan 23vs HOU104 − 111L

TOR · Last 10

7−3 · streak W2
Feb 8vs IND122 − 104W
Feb 5vs CHI123 − 107W
Feb 4vs MIN126 − 128L
Feb 1vs UTAH107 − 100W
Jan 30at ORL120 − 130L
Jan 28vs NY92 − 119L
Jan 25at OKC103 − 101W
Jan 23at POR110 − 98W
Jan 21at SAC122 − 109W
Jan 20at GS145 − 127W