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Raptors at Magic

NBA · Friday, Jan 30 · 6:30 PM CT · Kia Center · Final TOR 120 – ORL 130
← NBA / Jan 30

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
TOR28294221120
ORL29213644130
Team box
TOR·ORL
44-84
field goals
40-78
7-28
3-pointers
17-34
25-32
free throws
33-37
38
rebounds
35
33
assists
28
14
turnovers
12
56
points in paint
42
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Brandon IngramTOR353532
Desmond BaneORL363212
Anthony BlackORL402546
Wendell Carter Jr.ORL352373
Paolo BancheroORL412096
Scottie BarnesTOR361986

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
ORL +14
TOR +14
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: ORL 13 · TOR 14lead changes: 12

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was TOR 45%, ORL 55% · Updated Jan 30

Expected margin
ORL by 2.5
Expected score
ORL 110.5 – 108.0 TOR
Expected total
218.6
RaptorsThe matchupMagic
+121Our fair odds−121
108.0Expected points110.5
−0.02Power rating−0.05
113.6Points / game115.4
112.1Allowed / game115.6
47.1FG%46.4
34.23P%33.5
43.2Rebounds / game44.2
29−20Season record24−22
6−4Last 104−6
Chucky Hepburn · Jakob PoeltlOut (2 each)Colin Castleton · Franz Wagner

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
TOR chance · ORL chance
Our model fair45.3%54.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
TORToronto Raptors+12145%————
ORLOrlando Magic−12155%————
SpreadORL by 2.5
TORToronto Raptors+2.5our margin————
ORLOrlando Magic−2.5our margin————
Totalwe expect 218.6
Over218.6our total————
Under218.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Orlando Magic by 2.5 expected
Toronto Raptors by 44 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 43 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 42 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 41 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 40 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 39 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 38 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 37 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 36 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 35 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 34 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 33 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 32 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 31 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 30 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 29 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 28 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 27 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 26 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 25 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 24 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 23 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 22 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 21 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 20 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 19 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 18 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 17 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 16 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 15 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 14 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 13 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 12 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 11 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 10 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 9 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 8 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 7 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 6 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 5 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 4 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 3 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 2 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 1 point: 2%Orlando Magic by 1 point: 2%Orlando Magic by 2 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 3 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 4 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 5 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 6 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 7 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 8 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 9 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 10 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 11 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 12 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 13 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 14 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 15 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 16 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 17 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 18 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 19 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 20 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 21 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 22 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 23 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 24 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 25 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 26 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 27 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 28 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 29 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 30 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 31 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 32 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 33 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 34 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 35 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 36 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 37 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 38 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 39 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 40 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 41 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 42 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 43 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 44 points: <1%
← TOR wins byORL wins by →
Orlando Magic wins by 5 or more47%
Orlando Magic wins by 10 or more32%
Orlando Magic wins by 15 or more20%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

218.6 expected
173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: 1%186 points: 1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 2%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 1%235 points: 1%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: <1%252 points: <1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 208.570%
Total over 218.550%
Total over 228.530%
Total from 209 to 22839%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Toronto Raptors
GImmanuel Quickleystarted
FBrandon Ingramstarted
FRJ Barrettstarted
FScottie Barnesstarted
FCollin Murray-Boylesstarted
Orlando Magic
GDesmond Banestarted
GJalen Suggsstarted
GAnthony Blackstarted
FPaolo Bancherostarted
CWendell Carter Jr.started

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
TOR·ORL
Jan 28 vs NY
last game
Jan 28 at MIA
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 29, 5:00 PM ET
Toronto Raptors
TORChucky Hepburn · g league - two-wayOut
TORJakob Poeltl · lower back; strainOut
Orlando Magic
ORLColin Castleton · g league - two-wayOut
ORLFranz Wagner · left high ankle; sprain injury managementOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 46+ games
TOR·ORL
−0.02
rating (0 = average)
−0.05
113.6
points / game
115.4
112.1
points allowed / game
115.6
29−20
season record
24−22
13−11
home record
14−9
16−9
away record
10−13
L1
streak
W1
6−4
last 10
4−6
47.1
FG%
46.4
34.2
3P%
33.5
43.2
rebounds / game
44.2
29.4
assists / game
26.3
13.9
turnovers / game
14.0
52.3
points in paint / game
53.5

Rating Trend

TOR · ORL · 93 days
Toronto RaptorsOrlando Magic
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · ORL 5−5
Dec 29, 2025at TORTOR 107 − 106
Mar 4, 2025at ORLTOR 114 − 113
Mar 2, 2025at ORLTOR 104 − 102
Jan 21, 2025at TORTOR 109 − 93
Jan 3, 2025at TORORL 106 − 97
Mar 17, 2024at ORLORL 111 − 96
Mar 15, 2024at TORORL 113 − 103
Nov 21, 2023at ORLORL 126 − 107
Feb 14, 2023at TORTOR 123 − 113
Dec 11, 2022at ORLORL 111 − 99

TOR · Last 10

6−4 · streak L1
Jan 28vs NY92 − 119L
Jan 25at OKC103 − 101W
Jan 23at POR110 − 98W
Jan 21at SAC122 − 109W
Jan 20at GS145 − 127W
Jan 18at LAL93 − 110L
Jan 16vs LAC117 − 121L
Jan 14at IND115 − 101W
Jan 12vs PHI102 − 115L
Jan 11vs PHI116 − 115W

ORL · Last 10

4−6 · streak W1
Jan 28at MIA133 − 124W
Jan 26at CLE98 − 114L
Jan 24vs CLE105 − 119L
Jan 22vs CHA97 − 124L
Jan 18at MEM109 − 126L
Jan 15vs MEM118 − 111W
Jan 11vs NO128 − 118W
Jan 9vs PHI91 − 103L
Jan 7at BKN104 − 103W
Jan 6at WSH112 − 120L