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Cavaliers at Magic

NBA · Saturday, Jan 24 · 6:00 PM CT · Kia Center · Final CLE 119 – ORL 105
← NBA / Jan 24

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CLE25302737119
ORL23252235105
Team box
CLE·ORL
43-81
field goals
33-81
15-34
3-pointers
11-40
18-22
free throws
28-32
38
rebounds
37
27
assists
21
17
turnovers
16
50
points in paint
40
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Donovan MitchellCLE383659
Paolo BancheroORL382752
Desmond BaneORL382043
Jaylon TysonCLE321754
Anthony BlackORL401655
Evan MobleyCLE351373

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
ORL +18
CLE +18
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: ORL 3 · CLE 18lead changes: 9

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CLE 54%, ORL 46% · Updated Jan 24

Expected margin
CLE by 1.7
Expected score
CLE 114.6 – 112.9 ORL
Expected total
227.5
CavaliersThe matchupMagic
−116Our fair odds+116
114.6Expected points112.9
+0.41Power rating+0.02
119.2Points / game115.7
117.2Allowed / game115.4
47.0FG%46.6
35.53P%33.5
45.0Rebounds / game44.4
26−20Season record23−20
6−4Last 105−5
Chris Livingston · Darius Garland
Luke Travers · Max Strus
Sam MerrillOutColin Castleton · Franz Wagner

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CLE chance · ORL chance
Our model fair53.8%46.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CLECleveland Cavaliers−11654%————
ORLOrlando Magic+11646%————
SpreadCLE by 1.7
CLECleveland Cavaliers−1.7our margin————
ORLOrlando Magic+1.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 227.5
Over227.5our total————
Under227.5our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Cleveland Cavaliers by 1.7 expected
Cleveland Cavaliers by 42 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 41 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 40 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 39 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 38 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 37 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 36 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 35 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 34 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 33 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 32 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 31 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 30 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 29 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 28 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 27 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 26 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 25 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 24 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 23 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 22 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 21 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 20 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 19 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 18 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 17 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 16 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 15 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 14 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 13 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 12 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 11 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 10 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 9 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 8 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 7 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 6 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 5 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 4 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 3 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 2 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 1 point: 2%Orlando Magic by 1 point: 2%Orlando Magic by 2 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 3 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 4 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 5 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 6 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 7 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 8 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 9 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 10 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 11 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 12 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 13 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 14 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 15 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 16 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 17 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 18 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 19 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 20 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 21 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 22 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 23 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 24 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 25 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 26 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 27 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 28 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 29 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 30 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 31 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 32 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 33 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 34 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 35 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 36 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 37 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 38 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 39 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 40 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 41 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 42 points: <1%
← CLE wins byORL wins by →
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 5 or more44%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 10 or more30%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 15 or more19%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

227.5 expected
178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 217.569%
Total over 227.549%
Total over 237.530%
Total from 218 to 23739%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Cleveland Cavaliers
GDonovan Mitchellstarted
GJaylon Tysonstarted
FDean Wadestarted
CJarrett Allenstarted
CEvan Mobleystarted
Orlando Magic
GDesmond Banestarted
GJalen Suggsstarted
GAnthony Blackstarted
FPaolo Bancherostarted
CWendell Carter Jr.started

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CLE·ORL
Jan 23 vs SAC
last game
Jan 22 vs CHA
0 days
days of rest
1 day
yes
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
2
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 24, 5:00 PM ET
Cleveland Cavaliers
CLEChris Livingston · g league - two-wayOut
CLEDarius Garland · right great toe; strainOut
CLELuke Travers · g league - two-wayOut
CLEMax Strus · left foot; surgery - jones fractureOut
CLESam Merrill · right hand; sprainOut
Orlando Magic
ORLColin Castleton · g league - two-wayOut
ORLFranz Wagner · left ankle; sorenessOut
ORLJalen Suggs · right knee; mcl contusionProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 43+ games
CLE·ORL
+0.41
rating (0 = average)
+0.02
119.2
points / game
115.7
117.2
points allowed / game
115.4
26−20
season record
23−20
15−11
home record
14−8
11−9
away record
9−12
W2
streak
L2
6−4
last 10
5−5
47.0
FG%
46.6
35.5
3P%
33.5
45.0
rebounds / game
44.4
28.3
assists / game
26.3
14.4
turnovers / game
14.1
50.0
points in paint / game
54.0

Rating Trend

CLE · ORL · 87 days
Cleveland CavaliersOrlando Magic
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · ORL 4−6
Mar 16, 2025at CLEORL 108 − 103
Feb 25, 2025at ORLCLE 122 − 82
Nov 1, 2024at CLECLE 120 − 109
May 5, 2024at CLECLE 106 − 94post
May 3, 2024at ORLORL 103 − 96post
Apr 30, 2024at CLECLE 104 − 103post
Apr 27, 2024at ORLORL 112 − 89post
Apr 25, 2024at ORLORL 121 − 83post
Apr 22, 2024at CLECLE 96 − 86post
Apr 20, 2024at CLECLE 97 − 83post

CLE · Last 10

6−4 · streak W2
Jan 23vs SAC123 − 118W
Jan 21at CHA94 − 87W
Jan 19vs OKC104 − 136L
Jan 16at PHI117 − 115W
Jan 14at PHI133 − 107W
Jan 12vs UTAH112 − 123L
Jan 10vs MIN146 − 134W
Jan 8at MIN122 − 131L
Jan 6at IND120 − 116W
Jan 4vs DET110 − 114L

ORL · Last 10

5−5 · streak L2
Jan 22vs CHA97 − 124L
Jan 18at MEM109 − 126L
Jan 15vs MEM118 − 111W
Jan 11vs NO128 − 118W
Jan 9vs PHI91 − 103L
Jan 7at BKN104 − 103W
Jan 6at WSH112 − 120L
Jan 4vs IND135 − 127W
Jan 2at CHI114 − 121L
Dec 31, 2025at IND112 − 110W