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Jazz at Raptors

NBA · Sunday, Feb 1 · 5:00 PM CT · Scotiabank Arena · Final UTAH 100 – TOR 107
← NBA / Feb 1

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
UTAH23332816100
TOR28233521107
Team box
UTAH·TOR
32-90
field goals
35-84
8-36
3-pointers
12-35
28-34
free throws
25-30
56
rebounds
42
20
assists
22
24
turnovers
19
48
points in paint
36
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Lauri MarkkanenUTAH3927112
RJ BarrettTOR282164
Sandro MamukelashviliTOR302060
Isaiah CollierUTAH301947
Brandon IngramTOR351953
Immanuel QuickleyTOR331754

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
TOR +9
UTAH +9
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: TOR 9 · UTAH 6lead changes: 12

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was UTAH 27%, TOR 73% · Updated Feb 1

Expected margin
TOR by 9.0
Expected score
TOR 123.5 – 114.5 UTAH
Expected total
237.9
JazzThe matchupRaptors
+273Our fair odds−273
114.5Expected points123.5
−0.82Power rating−0.02
118.4Points / game113.7
127.4Allowed / game112.4
46.9FG%47.2
35.03P%34.0
43.6Rebounds / game43.1
15−34Season record29−21
1−9Last 105−5
Elijah Harkless · Georges Niang
John Tonje · Keyonte George
Oscar TshiebweOutA.J. Lawson · Alijah Martin
Chucky Hepburn · Jakob Poeltl

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
UTAH chance · TOR chance
Our model fair26.8%73.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
UTAHUtah Jazz+27327%————
TORToronto Raptors−27373%————
SpreadTOR by 9.0
UTAHUtah Jazz+9our margin————
TORToronto Raptors−9our margin————
Totalwe expect 237.9
Over237.9our total————
Under237.9our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Toronto Raptors by 9.0 expected
Utah Jazz by 51 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 50 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 49 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 48 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 47 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 46 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 45 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 44 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 43 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 42 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 41 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 40 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 39 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 38 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 37 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 36 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 35 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 34 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 33 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 32 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 31 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 30 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 29 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 28 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 27 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 26 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 25 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 24 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 23 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 22 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 21 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 20 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 19 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 18 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 17 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 16 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 15 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 14 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 13 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 12 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 11 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 10 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 9 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 8 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 7 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 6 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 5 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 4 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 3 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 2 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 1 point: 2%Toronto Raptors by 1 point: 2%Toronto Raptors by 2 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 3 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 4 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 5 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 6 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 7 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 8 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 9 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 10 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 11 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 12 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 13 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 14 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 15 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 16 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 17 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 18 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 19 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 20 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 21 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 22 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 23 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 24 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 25 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 26 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 27 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 28 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 29 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 30 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 31 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 32 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 33 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 34 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 35 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 36 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 37 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 38 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 39 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 40 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 41 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 42 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 43 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 44 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 45 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 46 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 47 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 48 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 49 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 50 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 51 points: <1%
← UTAH wins byTOR wins by →
Toronto Raptors wins by 5 or more64%
Toronto Raptors wins by 10 or more49%
Toronto Raptors wins by 15 or more34%
Within 5 points either way22%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Total range

237.9 expected
188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: <1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 1%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 2%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: 1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%297 points: <1%298 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 227.569%
Total over 237.549%
Total over 247.531%
Total from 228 to 24737%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Utah Jazz
GIsaiah Collierstarted
GAce Baileystarted
FLauri Markkanenstarted
FCody Williamsstarted
CJusuf Nurkicstarted
Toronto Raptors
GImmanuel Quickleystarted
FBrandon Ingramstarted
FRJ Barrettstarted
FScottie Barnesstarted
FCollin Murray-Boylesstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
UTAH·TOR
Jan 30 vs BKN
last game
Jan 30 at ORL
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 1, 5:00 PM ET
Utah Jazz
UTAHElijah Harkless · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHGeorges Niang · left foot; fourth metatarsal stress reactionOut
UTAHJohn Tonje · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHKeyonte George · left ankle; sprainOut
UTAHOscar Tshiebwe · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHWalker Kessler · left shoulder; injury recoveryOut
Toronto Raptors
TORA.J. Lawson · g league - two-wayOut
TORAlijah Martin · g league - two-wayOut
TORChucky Hepburn · g league - two-wayOut
TORJakob Poeltl · lower back; strainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 49+ games
UTAH·TOR
−0.82
rating (0 = average)
−0.02
118.4
points / game
113.7
127.4
points allowed / game
112.4
15−34
season record
29−21
10−17
home record
13−11
5−17
away record
16−10
L5
streak
L2
1−9
last 10
5−5
46.9
FG%
47.2
35.0
3P%
34.0
43.6
rebounds / game
43.1
30.3
assists / game
29.5
15.7
turnovers / game
13.9
51.7
points in paint / game
52.4

Rating Trend

UTAH · TOR · 95 days
Utah JazzToronto Raptors
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · TOR 3−5
Mar 14, 2025at UTAHTOR 126 − 118
Mar 7, 2025at TORTOR 118 − 109
Jan 12, 2024at UTAHUTAH 145 − 113
Dec 23, 2023at TORUTAH 126 − 119
Feb 10, 2023at TORUTAH 122 − 116
Feb 1, 2023at UTAHUTAH 131 − 128
Jan 7, 2022at TORTOR 122 − 108
Nov 18, 2021at UTAHUTAH 119 − 103

UTAH · Last 10

1−9 · streak L5
Jan 30vs BKN99 − 109L
Jan 28vs GS124 − 140L
Jan 27vs LAC103 − 115L
Jan 24vs MIA116 − 147L
Jan 22vs SA109 − 126L
Jan 20vs MIN127 − 122W
Jan 19at SA110 − 123L
Jan 17at DAL120 − 138L
Jan 15at DAL122 − 144L
Jan 14at CHI126 − 128L

TOR · Last 10

5−5 · streak L2
Jan 30at ORL120 − 130L
Jan 28vs NY92 − 119L
Jan 25at OKC103 − 101W
Jan 23at POR110 − 98W
Jan 21at SAC122 − 109W
Jan 20at GS145 − 127W
Jan 18at LAL93 − 110L
Jan 16vs LAC117 − 121L
Jan 14at IND115 − 101W
Jan 12vs PHI102 − 115L