bayesRatings

Nets at Jazz

NBA · Friday, Jan 30 · 8:30 PM CT · Delta Center · Final BKN 109 – UTAH 99
← NBA / Jan 30

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
BKN27272926109
UTAH2626291899
Team box
BKN·UTAH
39-82
field goals
39-78
14-40
3-pointers
10-29
17-28
free throws
11-19
47
rebounds
33
27
assists
26
12
turnovers
11
46
points in paint
56
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Keyonte GeorgeUTAH322637
Egor DeminBKN2925104
Cam ThomasBKN242124
Brice SensabaughUTAH261850
Day'Ron SharpeBKN181691
Kyle FilipowskiUTAH2814122

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
UTAH +14
BKN +14
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: UTAH 6 · BKN 14lead changes: 3

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was BKN 45%, UTAH 55% · Updated Jan 30

Expected margin
UTAH by 0.4
Expected score
UTAH 117.2 – 116.8 BKN
Expected total
234.1
NetsThe matchupJazz
+123Our fair odds−123
116.8Expected points117.2
−0.81Power rating−0.82
107.7Points / game118.8
114.7Allowed / game127.8
44.5FG%46.8
34.63P%35.0
40.1Rebounds / game43.8
12−34Season record15−33
1−9Last 102−8
Chaney Johnson · Haywood Highsmith
Michael Porter Jr. · Noah Clowney
Tyson EtienneOut (5 each)Elijah Harkless · Georges Niang
John Tonje · Jusuf Nurkic
Kevin Love

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
BKN chance · UTAH chance
Our model fair44.9%55.1%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
BKNBrooklyn Nets+12345%————
UTAHUtah Jazz−12355%————
SpreadUTAH by 0.4
BKNBrooklyn Nets+0.4our margin————
UTAHUtah Jazz−0.4our margin————
Totalwe expect 234.1
Over234.1our total————
Under234.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Utah Jazz by 0.4 expected
Brooklyn Nets by 42 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 41 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 40 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 39 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 38 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 37 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 36 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 35 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 34 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 33 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 32 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 31 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 30 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 29 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 28 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 27 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 26 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 25 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 24 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 23 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 22 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 21 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 20 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 19 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 18 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 17 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 16 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 15 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 14 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 13 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 12 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 11 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 10 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 9 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 8 points: 3%Brooklyn Nets by 7 points: 3%Brooklyn Nets by 6 points: 3%Brooklyn Nets by 5 points: 3%Brooklyn Nets by 4 points: 3%Brooklyn Nets by 3 points: 3%Brooklyn Nets by 2 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 1 point: 2%Utah Jazz by 1 point: 2%Utah Jazz by 2 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 3 points: 3%Utah Jazz by 4 points: 3%Utah Jazz by 5 points: 3%Utah Jazz by 6 points: 3%Utah Jazz by 7 points: 3%Utah Jazz by 8 points: 3%Utah Jazz by 9 points: 3%Utah Jazz by 10 points: 3%Utah Jazz by 11 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 12 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 13 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 14 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 15 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 16 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 17 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 18 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 19 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 20 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 21 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 22 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 23 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 24 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 25 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 26 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 27 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 28 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 29 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 30 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 31 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 32 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 33 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 34 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 35 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 36 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 37 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 38 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 39 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 40 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 41 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 42 points: <1%
← BKN wins byUTAH wins by →
Utah Jazz wins by 5 or more42%
Utah Jazz wins by 10 or more28%
Utah Jazz wins by 15 or more17%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

234.1 expected
184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 224.568%
Total over 234.548%
Total over 244.529%
Total from 225 to 24438%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Brooklyn Nets
GTerance Mannstarted
GEgor Deminstarted
GNolan Traorestarted
FDanny Wolfstarted
CNic Claxtonstarted
Utah Jazz
GSvi Mykhailiukstarted
GKeyonte Georgestarted
GAce Baileystarted
FKyle Filipowskistarted
FCody Williamsstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
BKN·UTAH
Jan 29 at DEN
last game
Jan 28 vs GS
0 days
days of rest
1 day
yes
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
4th straight road game
home / road
6th straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 30, 5:00 PM ET
Brooklyn Nets
BKNChaney Johnson · g league - two-wayOut
BKNHaywood Highsmith · right knee; surgery, injury recoveryOut
BKNMichael Porter Jr. · personal reasonsOut
BKNNoah Clowney · back; injury managementOut
BKNTyson Etienne · g league - two-wayOut
BKNZiaire Williams · left calf; contusionOut
Utah Jazz
UTAHElijah Harkless · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHGeorges Niang · left foot; fourth metatarsal stress reactionOut
UTAHJohn Tonje · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHJusuf Nurkic · n/a; illnessOut
UTAHKevin Love · n/a; illnessOut
UTAHLauri Markkanen · restOut
UTAHOscar Tshiebwe · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHWalker Kessler · left shoulder; injury recoveryOut
UTAHCody Williams · n/a; illnessQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 46+ games
BKN·UTAH
−0.81
rating (0 = average)
−0.82
107.7
points / game
118.8
114.7
points allowed / game
127.8
12−34
season record
15−33
6−17
home record
10−16
6−17
away record
5−17
L7
streak
L4
1−9
last 10
2−8
44.5
FG%
46.8
34.6
3P%
35.0
40.1
rebounds / game
43.8
25.3
assists / game
30.4
15.3
turnovers / game
15.8
42.4
points in paint / game
51.6

Rating Trend

BKN · UTAH · 93 days
Brooklyn NetsUtah Jazz
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · UTAH 5−4
Dec 4, 2025at BKNUTAH 123 − 110
Jan 12, 2025at UTAHUTAH 112 − 111
Dec 21, 2024at BKNUTAH 105 − 94
Jan 29, 2024at BKNBKN 147 − 114
Dec 18, 2023at UTAHUTAH 125 − 108
Apr 2, 2023at BKNBKN 111 − 110
Jan 20, 2023at UTAHBKN 117 − 106
Mar 21, 2022at BKNBKN 114 − 106
Feb 4, 2022at UTAHUTAH 125 − 102

BKN · Last 10

1−9 · streak L7
Jan 29at DEN103 − 107L
Jan 27at PHX102 − 106L
Jan 25at LAC89 − 126L
Jan 23vs BOS126 − 130L
Jan 21at NY66 − 120L
Jan 19vs PHX117 − 126L
Jan 18at CHI102 − 124L
Jan 16vs CHI112 − 109W
Jan 14at NO113 − 116L
Jan 12at DAL105 − 113L

UTAH · Last 10

2−8 · streak L4
Jan 28vs GS124 − 140L
Jan 27vs LAC103 − 115L
Jan 24vs MIA116 − 147L
Jan 22vs SA109 − 126L
Jan 20vs MIN127 − 122W
Jan 19at SA110 − 123L
Jan 17at DAL120 − 138L
Jan 15at DAL122 − 144L
Jan 14at CHI126 − 128L
Jan 12at CLE123 − 112W