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Nets at Nuggets

NBA · Thursday, Jan 29 · 8:00 PM CT · Ball Arena · Final BKN 103 – DEN 107
← NBA / Jan 29

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
BKN26232727103
DEN30341528107
Team box
BKN·DEN
37-85
field goals
38-80
14-37
3-pointers
13-26
15-18
free throws
18-25
49
rebounds
41
24
assists
24
9
turnovers
7
42
points in paint
40
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Michael Porter Jr.BKN3738103
Jamal MurrayDEN332746
Tim Hardaway Jr.DEN282583
Peyton WatsonDEN341923
Jonas ValanciunasDEN251293
Terance MannBKN291261

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
DEN +19
BKN +19
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: DEN 19 · BKN 5lead changes: 11

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was BKN 19%, DEN 81% · Updated Jan 29

Expected margin
DEN by 12.6
Expected score
DEN 118.7 – 106.1 BKN
Expected total
224.8
NetsThe matchupNuggets
+417Our fair odds−417
106.1Expected points118.7
−0.81Power rating+0.42
107.8Points / game120.4
114.9Allowed / game116.0
44.5FG%49.6
34.53P%39.1
39.9Rebounds / game42.5
12−33Season record31−16
1−9Last 106−4
Cam Thomas · Chaney Johnson
Egor Demin · Haywood Highsmith
Noah ClowneyOut (5 each)Aaron Gordon · Cameron Johnson
Christian Braun · Curtis Jones
Nikola Jokic

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
BKN chance · DEN chance
Our model fair19.4%80.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
BKNBrooklyn Nets+41719%————
DENDenver Nuggets−41781%————
SpreadDEN by 12.6
BKNBrooklyn Nets+12.6our margin————
DENDenver Nuggets−12.6our margin————
Totalwe expect 224.8
Over224.8our total————
Under224.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Denver Nuggets by 12.6 expected
Brooklyn Nets by 53 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 52 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 51 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 50 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 49 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 48 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 47 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 46 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 45 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 44 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 43 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 42 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 41 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 40 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 39 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 38 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 37 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 36 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 35 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 34 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 33 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 32 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 31 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 30 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 29 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 28 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 27 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 26 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 25 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 24 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 23 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 22 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 21 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 20 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 19 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 18 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 17 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 16 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 15 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 14 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 13 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 12 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 11 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 10 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 9 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 8 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 7 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 6 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 5 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 4 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 3 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 2 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 1 point: 2%Denver Nuggets by 1 point: 2%Denver Nuggets by 2 points: 2%Denver Nuggets by 3 points: 2%Denver Nuggets by 4 points: 2%Denver Nuggets by 5 points: 3%Denver Nuggets by 6 points: 3%Denver Nuggets by 7 points: 3%Denver Nuggets by 8 points: 3%Denver Nuggets by 9 points: 3%Denver Nuggets by 10 points: 3%Denver Nuggets by 11 points: 3%Denver Nuggets by 12 points: 3%Denver Nuggets by 13 points: 3%Denver Nuggets by 14 points: 3%Denver Nuggets by 15 points: 3%Denver Nuggets by 16 points: 3%Denver Nuggets by 17 points: 3%Denver Nuggets by 18 points: 2%Denver Nuggets by 19 points: 2%Denver Nuggets by 20 points: 2%Denver Nuggets by 21 points: 2%Denver Nuggets by 22 points: 2%Denver Nuggets by 23 points: 2%Denver Nuggets by 24 points: 2%Denver Nuggets by 25 points: 2%Denver Nuggets by 26 points: 2%Denver Nuggets by 27 points: 2%Denver Nuggets by 28 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 29 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 30 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 31 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 32 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 33 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 34 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 35 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 36 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 37 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 38 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 39 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 40 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 41 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 42 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 43 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 44 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 45 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 46 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 47 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 48 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 49 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 50 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 51 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 52 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 53 points: <1%
← BKN wins byDEN wins by →
Denver Nuggets wins by 5 or more72%
Denver Nuggets wins by 10 or more58%
Denver Nuggets wins by 15 or more43%
Within 5 points either way19%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

224.8 expected
176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 214.570%
Total over 224.550%
Total over 234.530%
Total from 215 to 23439%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Brooklyn Nets
GTerance Mannstarted
GNolan Traorestarted
FMichael Porter Jr.started
FDanny Wolfstarted
CNic Claxtonstarted
Denver Nuggets
GJamal Murraystarted
GJalen Pickettstarted
GPeyton Watsonstarted
FSpencer Jonesstarted
CJonas Valanciunasstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
BKN·DEN
Jan 27 at PHX
last game
Jan 27 vs DET
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
3rd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 29, 5:00 PM ET
Brooklyn Nets
BKNCam Thomas · left hamstring; injury managementOut
BKNChaney Johnson · g league - two-wayOut
BKNEgor Demin · left plantar fascia; injury managementOut
BKNHaywood Highsmith · right knee; surgery, injury managementOut
BKNNoah Clowney · back; injury managementOut
BKNTyson Etienne · g league - two-wayOut
BKNZiaire Williams · left calf; contusionOut
Denver Nuggets
DENAaron Gordon · right hamstring; strainOut
DENCameron Johnson · right knee; bone bruiseOut
DENChristian Braun · left ankle; sprainOut
DENCurtis Jones · g league - two-wayOut
DENNikola Jokic · left knee; bone bruiseOut
DENTamar Bates · left foot; surgeryOut
DENJamal Murray · right hamstring; inflammation/left hip inflammationProbable
DENJonas Valanciunas · right calf; strainProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 45+ games
BKN·DEN
−0.81
rating (0 = average)
+0.42
107.8
points / game
120.4
114.9
points allowed / game
116.0
12−33
season record
31−16
6−17
home record
12−9
6−16
away record
19−7
L6
streak
L1
1−9
last 10
6−4
44.5
FG%
49.6
34.5
3P%
39.1
39.9
rebounds / game
42.5
25.3
assists / game
28.0
15.4
turnovers / game
12.6
42.4
points in paint / game
48.6

Rating Trend

BKN · DEN · 92 days
Brooklyn NetsDenver Nuggets
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · DEN 7−2
Jan 4at BKNBKN 127 − 115
Jan 10, 2025at DENDEN 124 − 105
Oct 29, 2024at BKNDEN 144 − 139
Dec 22, 2023at BKNDEN 122 − 117
Dec 14, 2023at DENDEN 124 − 101
Mar 19, 2023at BKNDEN 108 − 102
Mar 12, 2023at DENBKN 122 − 120
Feb 6, 2022at DENDEN 124 − 104
Jan 26, 2022at BKNDEN 124 − 118

BKN · Last 10

1−9 · streak L6
Jan 27at PHX102 − 106L
Jan 25at LAC89 − 126L
Jan 23vs BOS126 − 130L
Jan 21at NY66 − 120L
Jan 19vs PHX117 − 126L
Jan 18at CHI102 − 124L
Jan 16vs CHI112 − 109W
Jan 14at NO113 − 116L
Jan 12at DAL105 − 113L
Jan 11at MEM98 − 103L

DEN · Last 10

6−4 · streak L1
Jan 27vs DET107 − 109L
Jan 23at MIL102 − 100W
Jan 22at WSH107 − 97W
Jan 20vs LAL107 − 115L
Jan 18vs CHA87 − 110L
Jan 17vs WSH121 − 115W
Jan 14at DAL118 − 109W
Jan 13at NO122 − 116W
Jan 11vs MIL108 − 104W
Jan 9vs ATL87 − 110L