bayesRatings

Nets at Clippers

NBA · Sunday, Jan 25 · 8:00 PM CT · Intuit Dome · Final BKN 89 – LAC 126
← NBA / Jan 25

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
BKN1423292389
LAC38302830126
Team box
BKN·LAC
29-85
field goals
44-78
9-43
3-pointers
12-25
22-25
free throws
26-29
36
rebounds
51
23
assists
20
17
turnovers
19
38
points in paint
58
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Kawhi LeonardLAC252852
James HardenLAC311968
John CollinsLAC261851
Jordan MillerLAC231670
Danny WolfBKN261474
Egor DeminBKN291225

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAC +40
BKN +40
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: LAC 40 · BKN 2lead changes: 3

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was BKN 24%, LAC 76% · Updated Jan 25

Expected margin
LAC by 10.3
Expected score
LAC 112.2 – 101.9 BKN
Expected total
214.2
NetsThe matchupClippers
+316Our fair odds−316
101.9Expected points112.2
−0.74Power rating+0.19
108.3Points / game112.3
114.8Allowed / game113.5
44.6FG%47.5
34.73P%36.3
40.1Rebounds / game40.5
12−31Season record20−24
1−9Last 108−2
Cam Thomas · Chaney Johnson
Haywood Highsmith · Noah Clowney
Nolan TraoreOutBogdan Bogdanovic · Bradley Beal
Chris Paul · Derrick Jones Jr.

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
BKN chance · LAC chance
Our model fair24.1%75.9%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
BKNBrooklyn Nets+31624%————
LACLA Clippers−31676%————
SpreadLAC by 10.3
BKNBrooklyn Nets+10.3our margin————
LACLA Clippers−10.3our margin————
Totalwe expect 214.2
Over214.2our total————
Under214.2our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

LA Clippers by 10.3 expected
Brooklyn Nets by 52 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 51 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 50 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 49 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 48 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 47 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 46 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 45 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 44 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 43 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 42 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 41 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 40 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 39 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 38 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 37 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 36 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 35 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 34 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 33 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 32 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 31 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 30 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 29 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 28 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 27 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 26 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 25 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 24 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 23 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 22 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 21 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 20 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 19 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 18 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 17 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 16 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 15 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 14 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 13 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 12 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 11 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 10 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 9 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 8 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 7 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 6 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 5 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 4 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 3 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 2 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 3 points: 2%LA Clippers by 4 points: 3%LA Clippers by 5 points: 3%LA Clippers by 6 points: 3%LA Clippers by 7 points: 3%LA Clippers by 8 points: 3%LA Clippers by 9 points: 3%LA Clippers by 10 points: 3%LA Clippers by 11 points: 3%LA Clippers by 12 points: 3%LA Clippers by 13 points: 3%LA Clippers by 14 points: 3%LA Clippers by 15 points: 3%LA Clippers by 16 points: 3%LA Clippers by 17 points: 2%LA Clippers by 18 points: 2%LA Clippers by 19 points: 2%LA Clippers by 20 points: 2%LA Clippers by 21 points: 2%LA Clippers by 22 points: 2%LA Clippers by 23 points: 2%LA Clippers by 24 points: 2%LA Clippers by 25 points: 1%LA Clippers by 26 points: 1%LA Clippers by 27 points: 1%LA Clippers by 28 points: 1%LA Clippers by 29 points: 1%LA Clippers by 30 points: 1%LA Clippers by 31 points: 1%LA Clippers by 32 points: 1%LA Clippers by 33 points: 1%LA Clippers by 34 points: 1%LA Clippers by 35 points: 1%LA Clippers by 36 points: 1%LA Clippers by 37 points: 1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%LA Clippers by 43 points: <1%LA Clippers by 44 points: <1%LA Clippers by 45 points: <1%LA Clippers by 46 points: <1%LA Clippers by 47 points: <1%LA Clippers by 48 points: <1%LA Clippers by 49 points: <1%LA Clippers by 50 points: <1%LA Clippers by 51 points: <1%LA Clippers by 52 points: <1%
← BKN wins byLAC wins by →
LA Clippers wins by 5 or more67%
LA Clippers wins by 10 or more52%
LA Clippers wins by 15 or more37%
Within 5 points either way21%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

214.2 expected
171 points: <1%172 points: <1%173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: 1%182 points: 1%183 points: 1%184 points: 1%185 points: 1%186 points: 1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 2%200 points: 2%201 points: 2%202 points: 2%203 points: 2%204 points: 2%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 1%232 points: 1%233 points: 1%234 points: 1%235 points: 1%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: <1%247 points: <1%248 points: <1%249 points: <1%250 points: <1%251 points: <1%252 points: <1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 204.569%
Total over 214.549%
Total over 224.529%
Total from 205 to 22440%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Brooklyn Nets
GTerance Mannstarted
GDrake Powellstarted
GEgor Deminstarted
FMichael Porter Jr.started
CNic Claxtonstarted
LA Clippers
GJames Hardenstarted
GKris Dunnstarted
FKawhi Leonardstarted
FJohn Collinsstarted
CIvica Zubacstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
BKN·LAC
Jan 23 vs BOS
last game
Jan 22 vs LAL
1 day
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 25, 5:00 PM ET
Brooklyn Nets
BKNCam Thomas · left ankle; sprainOut
BKNChaney Johnson · g league - two-wayOut
BKNHaywood Highsmith · right knee; surgery, injury recoveryOut
BKNNoah Clowney · back; sorenessOut
BKNNolan Traore · n/a; illnessOut
BKNTyson Etienne · g league - two-wayOut
LA Clippers
LACBogdan Bogdanovic · left hamstring; injury managementOut
LACBradley Beal · left hip; fractureOut
LACChris Paul · not with teamOut
LACDerrick Jones Jr. · right knee; sprainOut
LACKawhi Leonard · left knee; contusion; illnessQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 43+ games
BKN·LAC
−0.74
rating (0 = average)
+0.19
108.3
points / game
112.3
114.8
points allowed / game
113.5
12−31
season record
20−24
6−17
home record
12−9
6−14
away record
8−15
L4
streak
W1
1−9
last 10
8−2
44.6
FG%
47.5
34.7
3P%
36.3
40.1
rebounds / game
40.5
25.3
assists / game
23.5
15.2
turnovers / game
14.8
42.4
points in paint / game
46.3

Rating Trend

BKN · LAC · 88 days
Brooklyn NetsLA Clippers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · LAC 6−3
Jan 9at BKNLAC 121 − 105
Mar 28, 2025at BKNLAC 132 − 100
Jan 15, 2025at LACLAC 126 − 67
Jan 21, 2024at LACLAC 125 − 114
Nov 8, 2023at BKNBKN 100 − 93
Feb 6, 2023at BKNLAC 124 − 116
Nov 12, 2022at LACBKN 110 − 95
Jan 1, 2022at BKNLAC 120 − 116
Dec 27, 2021at LACBKN 124 − 108

BKN · Last 10

1−9 · streak L4
Jan 23vs BOS126 − 130L
Jan 21at NY66 − 120L
Jan 19vs PHX117 − 126L
Jan 18at CHI102 − 124L
Jan 16vs CHI112 − 109W
Jan 14at NO113 − 116L
Jan 12at DAL105 − 113L
Jan 11at MEM98 − 103L
Jan 9vs LAC105 − 121L
Jan 7vs ORL103 − 104L

LAC · Last 10

8−2 · streak W1
Jan 22vs LAL112 − 104W
Jan 20at CHI110 − 138L
Jan 19at WSH110 − 106W
Jan 16at TOR121 − 117W
Jan 14vs WSH119 − 105W
Jan 12vs CHA117 − 109W
Jan 10at DET98 − 92W
Jan 9at BKN121 − 105W
Jan 7at NY111 − 123L
Jan 5vs GS103 − 102W