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Spurs at Jazz

NBA · Thursday, Jan 22 · 8:00 PM CT · Delta Center · Final SA 126 – UTAH 109
← NBA / Jan 22

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
SA31343229126
UTAH31223917109
Team box
SA·UTAH
44-87
field goals
43-90
18-43
3-pointers
12-30
20-24
free throws
11-13
41
rebounds
44
30
assists
31
11
turnovers
17
46
points in paint
54
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
De'Aaron FoxSA353155
Victor WembanyamaSA3326143
Ace BaileyUTAH322562
Keyonte GeorgeUTAH352345
Keldon JohnsonSA312115
Jusuf NurkicUTAH35171114

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
UTAH +17
SA +17
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: UTAH 3 · SA 17lead changes: 3

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was SA 69%, UTAH 31% · Updated Jan 22

Expected margin
SA by 8.7
Expected score
SA 126.5 – 117.9 UTAH
Expected total
244.4
SpursThe matchupJazz
−224Our fair odds+224
126.5Expected points117.9
+0.24Power rating−0.82
117.6Points / game119.3
112.9Allowed / game127.4
47.3FG%46.8
35.03P%35.0
46.3Rebounds / game44.2
30−15Season record15−29
5−5Last 103−7
David Jones Garcia · Devin Vassell
Harrison Ingram · Luke Kornet
Stanley UmudeOut (5 each)Elijah Harkless · Georges Niang
John Tonje · Lauri Markkanen
Oscar Tshiebwe

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
SA chance · UTAH chance
Our model fair69.1%30.9%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
SASan Antonio Spurs−22469%————
UTAHUtah Jazz+22431%————
SpreadSA by 8.7
SASan Antonio Spurs−8.7our margin————
UTAHUtah Jazz+8.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 244.4
Over244.4our total————
Under244.4our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

San Antonio Spurs by 8.7 expected
San Antonio Spurs by 49 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 48 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 47 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 46 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 45 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 44 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 43 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 42 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 41 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 40 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 39 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 38 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 37 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 36 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 35 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 34 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 33 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 32 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 31 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 30 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 29 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 28 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 27 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 26 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 25 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 24 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 23 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 22 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 21 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 20 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 19 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 18 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 17 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 16 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 15 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 14 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 13 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 12 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 11 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 10 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 9 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 8 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 7 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 6 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 5 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 4 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 3 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 2 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 1 point: 2%Utah Jazz by 1 point: 2%Utah Jazz by 2 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 3 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 4 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 5 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 6 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 7 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 8 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 9 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 10 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 11 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 12 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 13 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 14 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 15 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 16 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 17 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 18 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 19 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 20 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 21 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 22 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 23 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 24 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 25 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 26 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 27 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 28 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 29 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 30 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 31 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 32 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 33 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 34 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 35 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 36 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 37 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 38 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 39 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 40 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 41 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 42 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 43 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 44 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 45 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 46 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 47 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 48 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 49 points: <1%
← SA wins byUTAH wins by →
San Antonio Spurs wins by 5 or more65%
San Antonio Spurs wins by 10 or more48%
San Antonio Spurs wins by 15 or more32%
Within 5 points either way21%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

244.4 expected
193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: <1%205 points: <1%206 points: <1%207 points: <1%208 points: <1%209 points: <1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 1%222 points: 1%223 points: 1%224 points: 1%225 points: 1%226 points: 1%227 points: 1%228 points: 1%229 points: 1%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 2%252 points: 2%253 points: 2%254 points: 2%255 points: 2%256 points: 2%257 points: 2%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: 1%271 points: 1%272 points: 1%273 points: 1%274 points: 1%275 points: 1%276 points: 1%277 points: 1%278 points: 1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%297 points: <1%298 points: <1%299 points: <1%300 points: <1%301 points: <1%302 points: <1%303 points: <1%304 points: <1%305 points: <1%306 points: <1%307 points: <1%308 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 234.567%
Total over 244.548%
Total over 254.531%
Total from 235 to 25436%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
San Antonio Spurs
GDe'Aaron Foxstarted
GStephon Castlestarted
FHarrison Barnesstarted
FJulian Champagniestarted
FVictor Wembanyamastarted
Utah Jazz
GSvi Mykhailiukstarted
GKeyonte Georgestarted
GAce Baileystarted
FCody Williamsstarted
CJusuf Nurkicstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
SA·UTAH
Jan 20 at HOU
last game
Jan 20 vs MIN
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
4
2nd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 22, 5:00 PM ET
San Antonio Spurs
SADavid Jones Garcia · g league - two-wayOut
SADevin Vassell · left adductor l; strainOut
SAHarrison Ingram · g league - two-wayOut
SALuke Kornet · left adductor; tightnessOut
SAStanley Umude · g league - two-wayOut
SAJeremy Sochan · " "; illnessQuestionable
Utah Jazz
UTAHElijah Harkless · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHGeorges Niang · reconditioning left foot; fourth metatarsal stress reactionOut
UTAHJohn Tonje · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHLauri Markkanen · return to competitionOut
UTAHOscar Tshiebwe · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHWalker Kessler · left shoulder; injury recoveryOut
UTAHBrice Sensabaugh · n/a; illnessQuestionable
UTAHKeyonte George · left forearm; strainQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 44+ games
SA·UTAH
+0.24
rating (0 = average)
−0.82
117.6
points / game
119.3
112.9
points allowed / game
127.4
30−15
season record
15−29
16−5
home record
10−12
14−10
away record
5−17
L1
streak
W1
5−5
last 10
3−7
47.3
FG%
46.8
35.0
3P%
35.0
46.3
rebounds / game
44.2
26.0
assists / game
30.2
13.6
turnovers / game
15.7
49.7
points in paint / game
51.3

Rating Trend

SA · UTAH · 85 days
San Antonio SpursUtah Jazz
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · UTAH 5−5
Jan 19at SASA 123 − 110
Dec 27, 2025at SAUTAH 127 − 114
Nov 26, 2024at UTAHSA 128 − 115
Nov 21, 2024at SASA 126 − 118
Nov 9, 2024at SAUTAH 111 − 110
Oct 31, 2024at UTAHSA 106 − 88
Mar 27, 2024at UTAHSA 118 − 111
Feb 25, 2024at UTAHUTAH 128 − 109
Dec 26, 2023at SAUTAH 130 − 118
Mar 29, 2023at SAUTAH 128 − 117

SA · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Jan 20at HOU106 − 111L
Jan 19vs UTAH123 − 110W
Jan 17vs MIN126 − 123W
Jan 15vs MIL119 − 101W
Jan 13at OKC98 − 119L
Jan 11at MIN103 − 104L
Jan 10at BOS100 − 95W
Jan 7vs LAL107 − 91W
Jan 6at MEM105 − 106L
Jan 3vs POR110 − 115L

UTAH · Last 10

3−7 · streak W1
Jan 20vs MIN127 − 122W
Jan 19at SA110 − 123L
Jan 17at DAL120 − 138L
Jan 15at DAL122 − 144L
Jan 14at CHI126 − 128L
Jan 12at CLE123 − 112W
Jan 10vs CHA95 − 150L
Jan 8vs DAL116 − 114W
Jan 7at OKC125 − 129L
Jan 5at POR117 − 137L