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Warriors at Jazz

NBA · Wednesday, Jan 28 · 8:00 PM CT · Delta Center · Final GS 140 – UTAH 124
← NBA / Jan 28

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
GS34343339140
UTAH24313831124
Team box
GS·UTAH
46-86
field goals
44-90
23-54
3-pointers
15-38
25-30
free throws
21-24
42
rebounds
37
39
assists
38
20
turnovers
19
44
points in paint
54
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Stephen CurryGS282712
Moses MoodyGS262650
Brice SensabaughUTAH262203
Keyonte GeorgeUTAH331977
Ace BaileyUTAH341974
Lauri MarkkanenUTAH331832

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
UTAH +27
GS +27
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: UTAH 5 · GS 27lead changes: 3

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was GS 71%, UTAH 29% · Updated Jan 28

Expected margin
GS by 9.7
Expected score
GS 125.5 – 115.8 UTAH
Expected total
241.3
WarriorsThe matchupJazz
−240Our fair odds+240
125.5Expected points115.8
+0.28Power rating−0.82
116.0Points / game118.7
113.4Allowed / game127.5
46.0FG%46.8
36.13P%34.9
42.9Rebounds / game43.9
26−22Season record15−32
6−4Last 102−8
Jimmy Butler III · Jonathan Kuminga
Seth CurryOutElijah Harkless · Georges Niang
John Tonje · Kevin Love
Oscar Tshiebwe

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
GS chance · UTAH chance
Our model fair70.5%29.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
GSGolden State Warriors−24071%————
UTAHUtah Jazz+24029%————
SpreadGS by 9.7
GSGolden State Warriors−9.7our margin————
UTAHUtah Jazz+9.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 241.3
Over241.3our total————
Under241.3our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Golden State Warriors by 9.7 expected
Golden State Warriors by 49 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 48 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 47 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 46 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 45 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 44 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 43 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 42 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 41 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 40 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 39 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 38 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 37 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 36 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 35 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 34 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 33 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 32 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 31 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 30 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 29 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 28 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 27 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 26 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 25 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 24 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 23 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 22 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 21 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 20 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 19 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 18 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 17 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 16 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 15 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 14 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 13 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 12 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 11 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 10 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 9 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 8 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 7 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 6 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 5 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 4 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 3 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 2 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 1 point: 2%Utah Jazz by 1 point: 2%Utah Jazz by 2 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 3 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 4 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 5 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 6 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 7 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 8 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 9 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 10 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 11 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 12 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 13 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 14 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 15 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 16 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 17 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 18 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 19 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 20 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 21 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 22 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 23 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 24 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 25 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 26 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 27 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 28 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 29 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 30 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 31 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 32 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 33 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 34 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 35 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 36 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 37 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 38 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 39 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 40 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 41 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 42 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 43 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 44 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 45 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 46 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 47 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 48 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 49 points: <1%
← GS wins byUTAH wins by →
Golden State Warriors wins by 5 or more67%
Golden State Warriors wins by 10 or more51%
Golden State Warriors wins by 15 or more35%
Within 5 points either way20%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Total range

241.3 expected
191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: <1%205 points: <1%206 points: <1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 1%222 points: 1%223 points: 1%224 points: 1%225 points: 1%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 2%252 points: 2%253 points: 2%254 points: 2%255 points: 2%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: 1%271 points: 1%272 points: 1%273 points: 1%274 points: 1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%297 points: <1%298 points: <1%299 points: <1%300 points: <1%301 points: <1%302 points: <1%303 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 231.567%
Total over 241.548%
Total over 251.530%
Total from 232 to 25137%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Golden State Warriors
GStephen Currystarted
GMoses Moodystarted
GBrandin Podziemskistarted
FDraymond Greenstarted
CAl Horfordstarted
Utah Jazz
GSvi Mykhailiukstarted
GKeyonte Georgestarted
GAce Baileystarted
FLauri Markkanenstarted
CJusuf Nurkicstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
GS·UTAH
Jan 26 at MIN
last game
Jan 27 vs LAC
1 day
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
3
games in last 7 days
3
4th straight road game
home / road
5th straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 28, 5:00 PM ET
Golden State Warriors
GSJimmy Butler III · right acl; tearOut
GSJonathan Kuminga · left knee; bone bruiseOut
GSSeth Curry · left sciatic nerve; irritationOut
GSLJ Cryer · left hamstring; tightnessQuestionable
GSGary Payton II · right calf; contusionProbable
GSStephen Curry · right patellofemoral; inflammationProbable
Utah Jazz
UTAHElijah Harkless · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHGeorges Niang · left foot; fourth metatarsal stress reactionOut
UTAHJohn Tonje · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHKevin Love · restOut
UTAHOscar Tshiebwe · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHWalker Kessler · left shoulder; injury recoveryOut
UTAHCody Williams · n/a; illnessQuestionable
UTAHJusuf Nurkic · n/a; illnessQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 47+ games
GS·UTAH
+0.28
rating (0 = average)
−0.82
116.0
points / game
118.7
113.4
points allowed / game
127.5
26−22
season record
15−32
17−7
home record
10−15
9−15
away record
5−17
L1
streak
L3
6−4
last 10
2−8
46.0
FG%
46.8
36.1
3P%
34.9
42.9
rebounds / game
43.9
28.6
assists / game
30.3
15.4
turnovers / game
15.7
43.7
points in paint / game
51.5

Rating Trend

GS · UTAH · 91 days
Golden State WarriorsUtah Jazz
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · UTAH 1−9
Jan 3at GSGS 123 − 114
Nov 24, 2025at GSGS 134 − 117
Feb 5, 2025at UTAHUTAH 131 − 128
Jan 28, 2025at GSGS 114 − 103
Oct 25, 2024at UTAHGS 127 − 86
Apr 14, 2024at GSGS 123 − 116
Apr 7, 2024at GSGS 118 − 110
Feb 15, 2024at UTAHGS 140 − 137
Feb 12, 2024at UTAHGS 129 − 107
Dec 28, 2022at GSGS 112 − 107

GS · Last 10

6−4 · streak L1
Jan 26at MIN83 − 108L
Jan 25at MIN111 − 85W
Jan 22at DAL115 − 123L
Jan 20vs TOR127 − 145L
Jan 19vs MIA135 − 112W
Jan 17vs CHA136 − 116W
Jan 15vs NY126 − 113W
Jan 13vs POR119 − 97W
Jan 11vs ATL111 − 124L
Jan 9vs SAC137 − 103W

UTAH · Last 10

2−8 · streak L3
Jan 27vs LAC103 − 115L
Jan 24vs MIA116 − 147L
Jan 22vs SA109 − 126L
Jan 20vs MIN127 − 122W
Jan 19at SA110 − 123L
Jan 17at DAL120 − 138L
Jan 15at DAL122 − 144L
Jan 14at CHI126 − 128L
Jan 12at CLE123 − 112W
Jan 10vs CHA95 − 150L