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Knicks at Bucks

NBA · Friday, Feb 27 · 7:00 PM CT · Fiserv Forum · Final NY 127 – MIL 98
← NBA / Feb 27

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
NY38392624127
MIL3027261598
Team box
NY·MIL
46-88
field goals
33-77
21-42
3-pointers
16-42
14-16
free throws
16-22
44
rebounds
34
33
assists
24
11
turnovers
16
32
points in paint
18
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jalen BrunsonNY312773
OG AnunobyNY282433
Myles TurnerMIL251942
Karl-Anthony TownsNY2917131
Kyle KuzmaMIL271742
Landry ShametNY231503

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
MIL +32
NY +32
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: MIL 5 · NY 32lead changes: 3

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was NY 61%, MIL 39% · Updated Feb 27

Expected margin
NY by 4.5
Expected score
NY 115.2 – 110.7 MIL
Expected total
225.8
KnicksThe matchupBucks
−155Our fair odds+155
115.2Expected points110.7
+0.49Power rating−0.13
117.2Points / game112.4
111.8Allowed / game115.4
47.0FG%48.3
37.43P%39.2
46.1Rebounds / game41.2
38−22Season record26−31
6−4Last 108−2
Dillon Jones · Kevin McCullar Jr.
Miles McBride · Pacome DadietOut (4 each)Alex Antetokounmpo · Cormac Ryan
Giannis Antetokounmpo · Taurean Prince

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NY chance · MIL chance
Our model fair60.7%39.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NYNew York Knicks−15561%————
MILMilwaukee Bucks+15539%————
SpreadNY by 4.5
NYNew York Knicks−4.5our margin————
MILMilwaukee Bucks+4.5our margin————
Totalwe expect 225.8
Over225.8our total————
Under225.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New York Knicks by 4.5 expected
New York Knicks by 45 points: <1%New York Knicks by 44 points: <1%New York Knicks by 43 points: <1%New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 38 points: <1%New York Knicks by 37 points: <1%New York Knicks by 36 points: <1%New York Knicks by 35 points: <1%New York Knicks by 34 points: <1%New York Knicks by 33 points: <1%New York Knicks by 32 points: 1%New York Knicks by 31 points: 1%New York Knicks by 30 points: 1%New York Knicks by 29 points: 1%New York Knicks by 28 points: 1%New York Knicks by 27 points: 1%New York Knicks by 26 points: 1%New York Knicks by 25 points: 1%New York Knicks by 24 points: 1%New York Knicks by 23 points: 1%New York Knicks by 22 points: 1%New York Knicks by 21 points: 1%New York Knicks by 20 points: 1%New York Knicks by 19 points: 2%New York Knicks by 18 points: 2%New York Knicks by 17 points: 2%New York Knicks by 16 points: 2%New York Knicks by 15 points: 2%New York Knicks by 14 points: 2%New York Knicks by 13 points: 3%New York Knicks by 12 points: 3%New York Knicks by 11 points: 3%New York Knicks by 10 points: 3%New York Knicks by 9 points: 3%New York Knicks by 8 points: 3%New York Knicks by 7 points: 3%New York Knicks by 6 points: 3%New York Knicks by 5 points: 3%New York Knicks by 4 points: 3%New York Knicks by 3 points: 3%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 1 point: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 2 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 3 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 4 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 5 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 6 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 7 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 8 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 9 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 10 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 11 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 12 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 13 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 14 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 15 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 16 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 17 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 18 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 19 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 20 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 21 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 22 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 23 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 24 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 25 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 26 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 27 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 28 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 29 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 30 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 31 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 32 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 33 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 34 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 35 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 36 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 37 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 38 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 39 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 40 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 41 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 42 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 43 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 44 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 45 points: <1%
← NY wins byMIL wins by →
New York Knicks wins by 5 or more52%
New York Knicks wins by 10 or more37%
New York Knicks wins by 15 or more24%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

225.8 expected
177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 215.570%
Total over 225.550%
Total over 235.530%
Total from 216 to 23539%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
New York Knicks
GJosh Hartstarted
GMikal Bridgesstarted
GJalen Brunsonstarted
FOG Anunobystarted
CKarl-Anthony Townsstarted
Milwaukee Bucks
GKevin Porter Jr.started
GAJ Greenstarted
GRyan Rollinsstarted
FKyle Kuzmastarted
CMyles Turnerstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NY·MIL
Feb 24 at CLE
last game
Feb 25 vs CLE
2 days
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
4
3rd straight road game
home / road
4th straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 27, 5:00 PM ET
New York Knicks
NYDillon Jones · g league - two-wayOut
NYKevin McCullar Jr. · g league - two-wayOut
NYMiles McBride · pelvic; core muscle surgeryOut
NYPacome Dadiet · g league - on assignmentOut
Milwaukee Bucks
MILAlex Antetokounmpo · g league - two-wayOut
MILCormac Ryan · g league - two-wayOut
MILGiannis Antetokounmpo · right calf; strainOut
MILTaurean Prince · neck; surgeryOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 57+ games
NY·MIL
+0.49
rating (0 = average)
−0.13
117.2
points / game
112.4
111.8
points allowed / game
115.4
38−22
season record
26−31
23−8
home record
14−13
15−14
away record
12−18
L1
streak
W2
6−4
last 10
8−2
47.0
FG%
48.3
37.4
3P%
39.2
46.1
rebounds / game
41.2
27.0
assists / game
26.0
13.6
turnovers / game
14.5
47.2
points in paint / game
44.5

Rating Trend

NY · MIL · 115 days
New York KnicksMilwaukee Bucks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · MIL 4−6
Nov 28, 2025at NYNY 118 − 109
Oct 28, 2025at MILMIL 121 − 111
Mar 28, 2025at MILNY 116 − 107
Jan 12, 2025at NYNY 140 − 106
Nov 8, 2024at NYNY 116 − 94
Apr 7, 2024at MILNY 122 − 109
Dec 25, 2023at NYNY 129 − 122
Dec 23, 2023at NYMIL 130 − 111
Dec 5, 2023at MILMIL 146 − 122
Nov 3, 2023at MILMIL 110 − 105

NY · Last 10

6−4 · streak L1
Feb 24at CLE94 − 109L
Feb 22at CHI105 − 99W
Feb 21vs HOU108 − 106W
Feb 19vs DET111 − 126L
Feb 11at PHI138 − 89W
Feb 10vs IND134 − 137L
Feb 8at BOS111 − 89W
Feb 6at DET80 − 118L
Feb 4vs DEN134 − 127W
Feb 3at WSH132 − 101W

MIL · Last 10

8−2 · streak W2
Feb 25vs CLE118 − 116W
Feb 24vs MIA128 − 117W
Feb 22vs TOR94 − 122L
Feb 20at NO139 − 118W
Feb 12at OKC110 − 93W
Feb 11at ORL116 − 108W
Feb 9at ORL99 − 118L
Feb 6vs IND105 − 99W
Feb 4vs NO141 − 137W
Feb 3vs CHI131 − 115W