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Knicks at Bulls

NBA · Sunday, Feb 22 · 7:00 PM CT · United Center · Final NY 105 – CHI 99

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
NY25273122105
CHI2726252199
Team box
NY·CHI
38-84
field goals
34-86
15-42
3-pointers
16-46
14-21
free throws
15-21
50
rebounds
50
27
assists
24
13
turnovers
17
32
points in paint
32
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Karl-Anthony TownsNY3228112
Jalen BrunsonNY361959
Landry ShametNY231620
Matas BuzelisCHI261540
Isaac OkoroCHI331261
Jalen SmithCHI181251

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CHI +13
NY +13
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CHI 8 · NY 13lead changes: 8

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was NY 64%, CHI 36% · Updated Feb 22

Expected margin
NY by 6.2
Expected score
NY 120.9 – 114.7 CHI
Expected total
235.6
KnicksThe matchupBulls
−174Our fair odds+174
120.9Expected points114.7
+0.49Power rating−0.27
117.8Points / game116.4
112.0Allowed / game120.5
47.2FG%47.0
37.63P%36.6
46.1Rebounds / game44.7
37−21Season record24−33
7−3Last 101−9
Kevin McCullar Jr. · Miles McBride
Mitchell Robinson · Pacome Dadiet
Out (4 each)Anfernee Simons · Jaden Ivey
Noa Essengue · Zach Collins

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NY chance · CHI chance
Our model fair63.6%36.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NYNew York Knicks−17464%————
CHIChicago Bulls+17436%————
SpreadNY by 6.2
NYNew York Knicks−6.2our margin————
CHIChicago Bulls+6.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 235.6
Over235.6our total————
Under235.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New York Knicks by 6.2 expected
New York Knicks by 47 points: <1%New York Knicks by 46 points: <1%New York Knicks by 45 points: <1%New York Knicks by 44 points: <1%New York Knicks by 43 points: <1%New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 38 points: <1%New York Knicks by 37 points: <1%New York Knicks by 36 points: <1%New York Knicks by 35 points: <1%New York Knicks by 34 points: 1%New York Knicks by 33 points: 1%New York Knicks by 32 points: 1%New York Knicks by 31 points: 1%New York Knicks by 30 points: 1%New York Knicks by 29 points: 1%New York Knicks by 28 points: 1%New York Knicks by 27 points: 1%New York Knicks by 26 points: 1%New York Knicks by 25 points: 1%New York Knicks by 24 points: 1%New York Knicks by 23 points: 1%New York Knicks by 22 points: 1%New York Knicks by 21 points: 1%New York Knicks by 20 points: 1%New York Knicks by 19 points: 2%New York Knicks by 18 points: 2%New York Knicks by 17 points: 2%New York Knicks by 16 points: 2%New York Knicks by 15 points: 2%New York Knicks by 14 points: 3%New York Knicks by 13 points: 3%New York Knicks by 12 points: 3%New York Knicks by 11 points: 3%New York Knicks by 10 points: 3%New York Knicks by 9 points: 3%New York Knicks by 8 points: 3%New York Knicks by 7 points: 3%New York Knicks by 6 points: 3%New York Knicks by 5 points: 3%New York Knicks by 4 points: 3%New York Knicks by 3 points: 3%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 12 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 13 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 14 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 15 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 16 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 17 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 18 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 19 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 20 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 21 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 22 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 23 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 24 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 25 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 26 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 27 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 28 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 29 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 30 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 31 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 32 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 33 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 34 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 42 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 43 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 44 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 45 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 46 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 47 points: <1%
← NY wins byCHI wins by →
New York Knicks wins by 5 or more57%
New York Knicks wins by 10 or more41%
New York Knicks wins by 15 or more27%
Within 5 points either way23%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

235.6 expected
185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 225.568%
Total over 235.549%
Total over 245.530%
Total from 226 to 24538%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
New York Knicks
GJosh Hartstarted
FOG Anunobystarted
Chicago Bulls
GJosh Giddeystarted
FJalen Smithstarted
FIsaac Okorostarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NY·CHI
Feb 21 vs HOU
last game
Feb 21 vs DET
0 days
days of rest
0 days
yes
back-to-back
yes
2
games in last 7 days
2
road after a home game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 22, 5:00 PM ET
New York Knicks
NYKevin McCullar Jr. · g league - two-wayOut
NYMiles McBride · pelvic; core muscle surgeryOut
NYMitchell Robinson · left ankle; left ankle injury managementOut
NYPacome Dadiet · g league - on assignmentOut
Chicago Bulls
CHIAnfernee Simons · left wrist; sprainOut
CHIJaden Ivey · left patellofemoral; pain syndromeOut
CHINoa Essengue · left shoulder; surgeryOut
CHIZach Collins · right 1st toe; sprainOut
CHINick Richards · right foot; sorenessQuestionable
CHIPatrick Williams · left hand; contusionProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 57+ games
NY·CHI
+0.49
rating (0 = average)
−0.27
117.8
points / game
116.4
112.0
points allowed / game
120.5
37−21
season record
24−33
23−8
home record
15−14
14−13
away record
9−19
W1
streak
L8
7−3
last 10
1−9
47.2
FG%
47.0
37.6
3P%
36.6
46.1
rebounds / game
44.7
27.1
assists / game
29.1
13.5
turnovers / game
14.6
47.4
points in paint / game
52.0

Rating Trend

NY · CHI · 110 days
New York KnicksChicago Bulls
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CHI 5−5
Nov 2, 2025at NYNY 128 − 116
Oct 31, 2025at CHICHI 135 − 125
Feb 20, 2025at NYNY 113 − 111
Jan 4, 2025at CHICHI 139 − 126
Nov 13, 2024at NYCHI 124 − 123
Apr 14, 2024at NYNY 120 − 119
Apr 9, 2024at CHINY 128 − 117
Apr 5, 2024at CHICHI 108 − 100
Jan 3, 2024at NYNY 116 − 100
Dec 23, 2022at NYCHI 118 − 117

NY · Last 10

7−3 · streak W1
Feb 21vs HOU108 − 106W
Feb 19vs DET111 − 126L
Feb 11at PHI138 − 89W
Feb 10vs IND134 − 137L
Feb 8at BOS111 − 89W
Feb 6at DET80 − 118L
Feb 4vs DEN134 − 127W
Feb 3at WSH132 − 101W
Feb 1vs LAL112 − 100W
Jan 30vs POR127 − 97W

CHI · Last 10

1−9 · streak L8
Feb 21vs DET110 − 126L
Feb 19vs TOR101 − 110L
Feb 11at BOS105 − 124L
Feb 9at BKN115 − 123L
Feb 7vs DEN120 − 136L
Feb 5at TOR107 − 123L
Feb 3at MIL115 − 131L
Feb 1at MIA91 − 134L
Jan 31at MIA125 − 118W
Jan 29vs MIA113 − 116L