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Nuggets at Bulls

NBA · Saturday, Feb 7 · 7:00 PM CT · United Center · Final DEN 136 – CHI 120
← NBA / Feb 7

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
DEN39203839136
CHI36293916120
Team box
DEN·CHI
49-85
field goals
41-92
16-33
3-pointers
20-51
22-33
free throws
18-20
41
rebounds
37
37
assists
25
14
turnovers
17
60
points in paint
36
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jamal MurrayDEN3128311
Tim Hardaway Jr.DEN292331
Nikola JokicDEN33221417
Matas BuzelisCHI302183
Julian StrawtherDEN331950
Collin SextonCHI291734

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CHI +18
DEN +18
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CHI 9 · DEN 18lead changes: 10

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was DEN 59%, CHI 41% · Updated Feb 7

Expected margin
DEN by 4.1
Expected score
DEN 122.8 – 118.8 CHI
Expected total
241.6
NuggetsThe matchupBulls
−141Our fair odds+141
122.8Expected points118.8
+0.40Power rating−0.17
120.1Points / game117.0
116.2Allowed / game120.2
49.5FG%47.2
39.43P%36.8
42.6Rebounds / game45.1
33−19Season record24−28
4−6Last 104−6
Aaron Gordon · Curtis Jones
Peyton Watson · Spencer Jones
Tamar BatesOut (5 each)Josh Giddey · Mac McClung
Noa Essengue · Tre Jones
Yuki Kawamura

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
DEN chance · CHI chance
Our model fair58.5%41.5%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
DENDenver Nuggets−14159%————
CHIChicago Bulls+14141%————
SpreadDEN by 4.1
DENDenver Nuggets−4.1our margin————
CHIChicago Bulls+4.1our margin————
Totalwe expect 241.6
Over241.6our total————
Under241.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Denver Nuggets by 4.1 expected
Denver Nuggets by 45 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 44 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 43 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 42 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 41 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 40 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 39 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 38 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 37 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 36 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 35 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 34 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 33 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 32 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 31 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 30 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 29 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 28 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 27 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 26 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 25 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 24 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 23 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 22 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 21 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 20 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 19 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 18 points: 2%Denver Nuggets by 17 points: 2%Denver Nuggets by 16 points: 2%Denver Nuggets by 15 points: 2%Denver Nuggets by 14 points: 2%Denver Nuggets by 13 points: 2%Denver Nuggets by 12 points: 3%Denver Nuggets by 11 points: 3%Denver Nuggets by 10 points: 3%Denver Nuggets by 9 points: 3%Denver Nuggets by 8 points: 3%Denver Nuggets by 7 points: 3%Denver Nuggets by 6 points: 3%Denver Nuggets by 5 points: 3%Denver Nuggets by 4 points: 3%Denver Nuggets by 3 points: 3%Denver Nuggets by 2 points: 2%Denver Nuggets by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 12 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 13 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 14 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 15 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 16 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 17 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 18 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 19 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 20 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 21 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 22 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 23 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 24 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 25 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 26 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 27 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 28 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 29 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 30 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 31 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 32 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 33 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 34 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 42 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 43 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 44 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 45 points: <1%
← DEN wins byCHI wins by →
Denver Nuggets wins by 5 or more51%
Denver Nuggets wins by 10 or more36%
Denver Nuggets wins by 15 or more23%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Total range

241.6 expected
191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: <1%205 points: <1%206 points: <1%207 points: <1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 1%222 points: 1%223 points: 1%224 points: 1%225 points: 1%226 points: 1%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 2%252 points: 2%253 points: 2%254 points: 2%255 points: 2%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: 1%271 points: 1%272 points: 1%273 points: 1%274 points: 1%275 points: 1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%297 points: <1%298 points: <1%299 points: <1%300 points: <1%301 points: <1%302 points: <1%303 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 231.568%
Total over 241.549%
Total over 251.531%
Total from 232 to 25137%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Denver Nuggets
GJamal Murraystarted
GChristian Braunstarted
GJulian Strawtherstarted
FCameron Johnsonstarted
CNikola Jokicstarted
Chicago Bulls
GAnfernee Simonsstarted
GJaden Iveystarted
FGuerschon Yabuselestarted
FIsaac Okorostarted
FMatas Buzelisstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
DEN·CHI
Feb 4 at NY
last game
Feb 5 at TOR
2 days
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
4
3rd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 7, 5:00 PM ET
Denver Nuggets
DENAaron Gordon · right hamstring; strainOut
DENCurtis Jones · g league - two-wayOut
DENPeyton Watson · right hamstring; strainOut
DENSpencer Jones · concussion protocolOut
DENTamar Bates · left foot; surgeryOut
DENCameron Johnson · right knee; bone bruiseQuestionable
DENNikola Jokic · left ankle; sprainQuestionable
DENChristian Braun · left ankle; sprainProbable
Chicago Bulls
CHIJosh Giddey · left hamstring; strainOut
CHIMac McClung · g league - two-wayOut
CHINoa Essengue · left shoulder; surgeryOut
CHITre Jones · left hamstring; strainOut
CHIYuki Kawamura · g league - two-wayOut
CHIZach Collins · right 1st toe; sprainOut
CHIJalen Smith · right calf; strainQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 52+ games
DEN·CHI
+0.40
rating (0 = average)
−0.17
120.1
points / game
117.0
116.2
points allowed / game
120.2
33−19
season record
24−28
14−10
home record
15−11
19−9
away record
9−17
L3
streak
L3
4−6
last 10
4−6
49.5
FG%
47.2
39.4
3P%
36.8
42.6
rebounds / game
45.1
27.8
assists / game
29.5
12.7
turnovers / game
14.2
48.3
points in paint / game
52.9

Rating Trend

DEN · CHI · 101 days
Denver NuggetsChicago Bulls
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · CHI 6−3
Nov 17, 2025at DENCHI 130 − 127
Mar 24, 2025at DENCHI 129 − 119
Jan 27, 2025at CHICHI 129 − 121
Dec 12, 2023at CHIDEN 114 − 106
Nov 4, 2023at DENDEN 123 − 101
Mar 8, 2023at DENCHI 117 − 96
Nov 13, 2022at CHIDEN 126 − 103
Dec 6, 2021at CHICHI 109 − 97
Nov 19, 2021at DENCHI 114 − 108

DEN · Last 10

4−6 · streak L3
Feb 4at NY127 − 134L
Feb 3at DET121 − 124L
Feb 1vs OKC111 − 121L
Jan 30vs LAC122 − 109W
Jan 29vs BKN107 − 103W
Jan 27vs DET107 − 109L
Jan 23at MIL102 − 100W
Jan 22at WSH107 − 97W
Jan 20vs LAL107 − 115L
Jan 18vs CHA87 − 110L

CHI · Last 10

4−6 · streak L3
Feb 5at TOR107 − 123L
Feb 3at MIL115 − 131L
Feb 1at MIA91 − 134L
Jan 31at MIA125 − 118W
Jan 29vs MIA113 − 116L
Jan 28at IND110 − 113L
Jan 26vs LAL118 − 129L
Jan 24vs BOS114 − 111W
Jan 22at MIN120 − 115W
Jan 20vs LAC138 − 110W