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Bulls at Celtics

NBA · Wednesday, Feb 11 · 6:30 PM CT · TD Garden · Final CHI 105 – BOS 124
← NBA / Feb 11

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CHI27172635105
BOS36362626124
Team box
CHI·BOS
41-89
field goals
49-95
12-36
3-pointers
18-45
11-13
free throws
8-13
34
rebounds
48
25
assists
29
13
turnovers
14
44
points in paint
52
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Payton PritchardBOS342658
Jaylen BrownBOS292444
Nikola VucevicBOS2619113
Jordan WalshBOS291662
Rob DillinghamCHI301617
Matas BuzelisCHI291584

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
BOS +33
CHI +33
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: BOS 33 · CHI 5lead changes: 7

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CHI 23%, BOS 77% · Updated Feb 11

Expected margin
BOS by 11.3
Expected score
BOS 119.7 – 108.4 CHI
Expected total
228.1
BullsThe matchupCeltics
+333Our fair odds−333
108.4Expected points119.7
−0.26Power rating+0.75
117.0Points / game115.1
120.6Allowed / game108.4
47.1FG%46.7
36.63P%36.1
44.9Rebounds / game45.4
24−30Season record34−19
2−8Last 107−3
Mac McClung · Noa Essengue
Yuki Kawamura · Zach CollinsOutJayson Tatum · John Tonje
Max Shulga

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHI chance · BOS chance
Our model fair23.1%76.9%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CHIChicago Bulls+33323%————
BOSBoston Celtics−33377%————
SpreadBOS by 11.3
CHIChicago Bulls+11.3our margin————
BOSBoston Celtics−11.3our margin————
Totalwe expect 228.1
Over228.1our total————
Under228.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Boston Celtics by 11.3 expected
Chicago Bulls by 53 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 52 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 51 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 50 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 49 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 48 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 47 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 46 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 45 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 44 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 43 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 42 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 34 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 33 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 32 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 31 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 30 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 29 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 28 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 27 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 26 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 25 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 24 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 23 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 22 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 21 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 20 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 19 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 18 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 17 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 16 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 15 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 14 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 13 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 12 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 2%Boston Celtics by 1 point: 2%Boston Celtics by 2 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 3 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 4 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 5 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 6 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 7 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 8 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 9 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 10 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 11 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 12 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 13 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 14 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 15 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 16 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 17 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 18 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 19 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 20 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 21 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 22 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 23 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 24 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 25 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 26 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 27 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 28 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 29 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 30 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 31 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 32 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 33 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 34 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 35 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 36 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 37 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 38 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 39 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 40 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 41 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 42 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 43 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 44 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 45 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 46 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 47 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 48 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 49 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 50 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 51 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 52 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 53 points: <1%
← CHI wins byBOS wins by →
Boston Celtics wins by 5 or more69%
Boston Celtics wins by 10 or more55%
Boston Celtics wins by 15 or more40%
Within 5 points either way20%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

228.1 expected
179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 218.568%
Total over 228.549%
Total over 238.529%
Total from 219 to 23839%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Chicago Bulls
GCollin Sextonstarted
GAnfernee Simonsstarted
FGuerschon Yabuselestarted
FPatrick Williamsstarted
FMatas Buzelisstarted
Boston Celtics
GDerrick Whitestarted
GJaylen Brownstarted
GBaylor Scheiermanstarted
FSam Hauserstarted
CNeemias Quetastarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHI·BOS
Feb 9 at BKN
last game
Feb 8 vs NY
1 day
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 11, 5:00 PM ET
Chicago Bulls
CHIMac McClung · g league - two-wayOut
CHINoa Essengue · left shoulder; sprainOut
CHIYuki Kawamura · g league - two-wayOut
CHIZach Collins · right 1st toe; sprainOut
CHIJalen Smith · right calf; strainDoubtful
CHIJosh Giddey · left hamstring; strainDoubtful
CHITre Jones · left hamstring; strainDoubtful
CHIIsaac Okoro · left knee; sorenessQuestionable
Boston Celtics
BOSJayson Tatum · right achilles; repairOut
BOSJohn Tonje · g league - two-wayOut
BOSMax Shulga · g league - two-wayOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 53+ games
CHI·BOS
−0.26
rating (0 = average)
+0.75
117.0
points / game
115.1
120.6
points allowed / game
108.4
24−30
season record
34−19
15−12
home record
17−9
9−18
away record
17−10
L5
streak
L1
2−8
last 10
7−3
47.1
FG%
46.7
36.6
3P%
36.1
44.9
rebounds / game
45.4
29.3
assists / game
23.8
14.3
turnovers / game
12.0
52.6
points in paint / game
44.3

Rating Trend

CHI · BOS · 105 days
Chicago BullsBoston Celtics
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · BOS 8−2
Jan 24at CHICHI 114 − 111
Jan 5at BOSBOS 115 − 101
Jan 29, 2025at BOSBOS 122 − 100
Dec 21, 2024at CHIBOS 123 − 98
Dec 19, 2024at BOSCHI 117 − 108
Nov 29, 2024at CHIBOS 138 − 129
Mar 23, 2024at CHIBOS 124 − 113
Feb 22, 2024at CHIBOS 129 − 112
Nov 28, 2023at BOSBOS 124 − 97
Jan 9, 2023at BOSBOS 107 − 99

CHI · Last 10

2−8 · streak L5
Feb 9at BKN115 − 123L
Feb 7vs DEN120 − 136L
Feb 5at TOR107 − 123L
Feb 3at MIL115 − 131L
Feb 1at MIA91 − 134L
Jan 31at MIA125 − 118W
Jan 29vs MIA113 − 116L
Jan 28at IND110 − 113L
Jan 26vs LAL118 − 129L
Jan 24vs BOS114 − 111W

BOS · Last 10

7−3 · streak L1
Feb 8vs NY89 − 111L
Feb 6vs MIA98 − 96W
Feb 4at HOU114 − 93W
Feb 3at DAL110 − 100W
Feb 1vs MIL107 − 79W
Jan 30vs SAC112 − 93W
Jan 28vs ATL106 − 117L
Jan 26vs POR102 − 94W
Jan 24at CHI111 − 114L
Jan 23at BKN130 − 126W