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Pistons at Bulls

NBA · Saturday, Feb 21 · 7:00 PM CT · United Center · Final DET 126 – CHI 110
← NBA / Feb 21

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
DET28254429126
CHI30202634110
Team box
DET·CHI
51-105
field goals
38-84
13-29
3-pointers
17-40
11-15
free throws
17-24
50
rebounds
44
34
assists
29
14
turnovers
23
68
points in paint
38
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Josh GiddeyCHI272763
Jalen DurenDET2926132
Cade CunninghamDET3018913
Tobias HarrisDET301861
Duncan RobinsonDET241732
Jalen SmithCHI251572

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CHI +28
DET +28
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CHI 4 · DET 28lead changes: 8

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was DET 65%, CHI 35% · Updated Feb 21

Expected margin
DET by 6.8
Expected score
DET 120.9 – 114.1 CHI
Expected total
235.0
PistonsThe matchupBulls
−187Our fair odds+187
120.9Expected points114.1
+0.56Power rating−0.27
117.4Points / game116.5
109.3Allowed / game120.4
48.3FG%47.0
34.93P%36.4
45.6Rebounds / game44.7
41−13Season record24−32
8−2Last 101−9
Bobi Klintman · Isaac Jones
Isaiah Stewart · Wendell Moore Jr.OutJaden Ivey · Lachlan Olbrich
Mac McClung · Noa Essengue
Yuki Kawamura

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
DET chance · CHI chance
Our model fair65.2%34.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
DETDetroit Pistons−18765%————
CHIChicago Bulls+18735%————
SpreadDET by 6.8
DETDetroit Pistons−6.8our margin————
CHIChicago Bulls+6.8our margin————
Totalwe expect 235.0
Over235.0our total————
Under235.0our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Detroit Pistons by 6.8 expected
Detroit Pistons by 48 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 47 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 46 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 45 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 44 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 43 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 42 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 41 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 40 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 39 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 38 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 37 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 36 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 35 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 34 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 33 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 32 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 31 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 30 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 29 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 28 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 27 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 26 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 25 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 24 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 23 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 22 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 21 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 20 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 19 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 18 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 17 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 16 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 15 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 14 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 13 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 12 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 11 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 10 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 9 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 8 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 7 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 6 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 5 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 4 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 3 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 2 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 12 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 13 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 14 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 15 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 16 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 17 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 18 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 19 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 20 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 21 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 22 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 23 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 24 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 25 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 26 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 27 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 28 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 29 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 30 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 31 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 32 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 33 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 34 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 42 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 43 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 44 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 45 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 46 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 47 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 48 points: <1%
← DET wins byCHI wins by →
Detroit Pistons wins by 5 or more59%
Detroit Pistons wins by 10 or more43%
Detroit Pistons wins by 15 or more28%
Within 5 points either way22%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

235.0 expected
185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 225.567%
Total over 235.548%
Total over 245.529%
Total from 226 to 24538%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Detroit Pistons
GCade Cunninghamstarted
GAusar Thompsonstarted
FTobias Harrisstarted
FDuncan Robinsonstarted
CJalen Durenstarted
Chicago Bulls
GJosh Giddeystarted
FGuerschon Yabuselestarted
FJalen Smithstarted
FIsaac Okorostarted
FMatas Buzelisstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
DET·CHI
Feb 19 at NY
last game
Feb 19 vs TOR
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
1
games in last 7 days
1
4th straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 21, 5:00 PM ET
Detroit Pistons
DETBobi Klintman · g league - on assignmentOut
DETIsaac Jones · coach's decisionOut
DETIsaiah Stewart · league suspensionOut
DETWendell Moore Jr. · g league - two-wayOut
Chicago Bulls
CHIJaden Ivey · left patellofemoral; pain syndromeOut
CHILachlan Olbrich · g league - two-wayOut
CHIMac McClung · g league - two-wayOut
CHINoa Essengue · left shoulder; surgeryOut
CHIYuki Kawamura · g league - two-wayOut
CHIZach Collins · right 1st toe; sprainOut
CHIGuerschon Yabusele · left calf; contusionProbable
CHILeonard Miller · left wrist; sprainProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 54+ games
DET·CHI
+0.56
rating (0 = average)
−0.27
117.4
points / game
116.5
109.3
points allowed / game
120.4
41−13
season record
24−32
22−6
home record
15−13
19−7
away record
9−19
W4
streak
L7
8−2
last 10
1−9
48.3
FG%
47.0
34.9
3P%
36.4
45.6
rebounds / game
44.7
26.7
assists / game
29.1
15.3
turnovers / game
14.4
56.9
points in paint / game
52.3

Rating Trend

DET · CHI · 109 days
Detroit PistonsChicago Bulls
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CHI 4−6
Jan 7at DETDET 108 − 93
Nov 12, 2025at DETDET 124 − 113
Oct 22, 2025at CHICHI 115 − 111
Feb 12, 2025at CHIDET 128 − 110
Feb 11, 2025at CHIDET 132 − 92
Feb 2, 2025at DETDET 127 − 119
Nov 18, 2024at DETCHI 122 − 112
Apr 11, 2024at DETCHI 127 − 105
Feb 27, 2024at CHIDET 105 − 95
Nov 12, 2023at CHICHI 119 − 108

DET · Last 10

8−2 · streak W4
Feb 19at NY126 − 111W
Feb 11at TOR113 − 95W
Feb 9at CHA110 − 104W
Feb 6vs NY118 − 80W
Feb 5vs WSH117 − 126L
Feb 3vs DEN124 − 121W
Feb 1vs BKN130 − 77W
Jan 30at GS131 − 124W
Jan 29at PHX96 − 114L
Jan 27at DEN109 − 107W

CHI · Last 10

1−9 · streak L7
Feb 19vs TOR101 − 110L
Feb 11at BOS105 − 124L
Feb 9at BKN115 − 123L
Feb 7vs DEN120 − 136L
Feb 5at TOR107 − 123L
Feb 3at MIL115 − 131L
Feb 1at MIA91 − 134L
Jan 31at MIA125 − 118W
Jan 29vs MIA113 − 116L
Jan 28at IND110 − 113L