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Knicks at Jazz

NBA · Wednesday, Mar 11 · 8:00 PM CT · Delta Center · Final NY 134 – UTAH 117
← NBA / Mar 11

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
NY26304038134
UTAH41242923117
Team box
NY·UTAH
48-92
field goals
42-87
17-40
3-pointers
18-36
21-22
free throws
15-19
45
rebounds
38
37
assists
30
12
turnovers
15
48
points in paint
38
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Brice SensabaughUTAH302955
Jalen BrunsonNY332848
Jordan ClarksonNY262753
OG AnunobyNY312221
Karl-Anthony TownsNY302177
Ace BaileyUTAH362142

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
UTAH +22
NY +22
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: UTAH 18 · NY 22lead changes: 4

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was NY 77%, UTAH 23% · Updated Mar 11

Expected margin
NY by 11.5
Expected score
NY 124.7 – 113.2 UTAH
Expected total
237.8
KnicksThe matchupJazz
−343Our fair odds+343
124.7Expected points113.2
+0.54Power rating−0.89
117.0Points / game117.4
110.9Allowed / game124.9
47.3FG%46.5
37.33P%34.6
46.3Rebounds / game44.1
42−25Season record20−45
6−4Last 102−8
Dillon Jones · Miles McBrideOutBlake Hinson · Jaren Jackson Jr.
John Konchar · Jusuf Nurkic
Lauri Markkanen

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NY chance · UTAH chance
Our model fair77.4%22.6%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NYNew York Knicks−34377%————
UTAHUtah Jazz+34323%————
SpreadNY by 11.5
NYNew York Knicks−11.5our margin————
UTAHUtah Jazz+11.5our margin————
Totalwe expect 237.8
Over237.8our total————
Under237.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New York Knicks by 11.5 expected
New York Knicks by 48 points: <1%New York Knicks by 47 points: <1%New York Knicks by 46 points: <1%New York Knicks by 45 points: <1%New York Knicks by 44 points: <1%New York Knicks by 43 points: <1%New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 38 points: 1%New York Knicks by 37 points: 1%New York Knicks by 36 points: 1%New York Knicks by 35 points: 1%New York Knicks by 34 points: 1%New York Knicks by 33 points: 1%New York Knicks by 32 points: 1%New York Knicks by 31 points: 1%New York Knicks by 30 points: 1%New York Knicks by 29 points: 1%New York Knicks by 28 points: 1%New York Knicks by 27 points: 1%New York Knicks by 26 points: 1%New York Knicks by 25 points: 1%New York Knicks by 24 points: 1%New York Knicks by 23 points: 1%New York Knicks by 22 points: 2%New York Knicks by 21 points: 2%New York Knicks by 20 points: 2%New York Knicks by 19 points: 2%New York Knicks by 18 points: 2%New York Knicks by 17 points: 2%New York Knicks by 16 points: 3%New York Knicks by 15 points: 3%New York Knicks by 14 points: 3%New York Knicks by 13 points: 3%New York Knicks by 12 points: 3%New York Knicks by 11 points: 3%New York Knicks by 10 points: 4%New York Knicks by 9 points: 4%New York Knicks by 8 points: 3%New York Knicks by 7 points: 3%New York Knicks by 6 points: 3%New York Knicks by 5 points: 3%New York Knicks by 4 points: 3%New York Knicks by 3 points: 2%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%Utah Jazz by 1 point: 1%Utah Jazz by 2 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 3 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 4 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 5 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 6 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 7 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 8 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 9 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 10 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 11 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 12 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 13 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 14 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 15 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 16 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 17 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 18 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 19 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 20 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 21 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 22 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 23 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 24 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 25 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 26 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 27 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 28 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 29 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 30 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 31 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 32 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 33 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 34 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 35 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 36 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 37 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 38 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 39 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 40 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 41 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 42 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 43 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 44 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 45 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 46 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 47 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 48 points: <1%
← NY wins byUTAH wins by →
New York Knicks wins by 5 or more72%
New York Knicks wins by 10 or more56%
New York Knicks wins by 15 or more39%
Within 5 points either way18%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

237.8 expected
188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: <1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 1%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 2%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: 1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%297 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 227.568%
Total over 237.549%
Total over 247.531%
Total from 228 to 24737%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
New York Knicks
GMikal Bridgesstarted
GLandry Shametstarted
GJalen Brunsonstarted
FOG Anunobystarted
CKarl-Anthony Townsstarted
Utah Jazz
GKeyonte Georgestarted
GAce Baileystarted
FKyle Filipowskistarted
FCody Williamsstarted
FBrice Sensabaughstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NY·UTAH
Mar 9 at LAC
last game
Mar 9 vs GS
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
4
4th straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Mar 11, 5:00 PM ET
New York Knicks
NYDillon Jones · g league - two-wayOut
NYMiles McBride · pelvic; core muscle surgeryOut
NYJosh Hart · left knee; sorenessDoubtful
Utah Jazz
UTAHBlake Hinson · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHJaren Jackson Jr. · left knee; injury recoveryOut
UTAHJohn Konchar · left calf; sorenessOut
UTAHJusuf Nurkic · nose; injury recoveryOut
UTAHLauri Markkanen · right hip; impingementOut
UTAHWalker Kessler · left shoulder; injury recoveryOut
UTAHKeyonte George · n/a; illnessQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 65+ games
NY·UTAH
+0.54
rating (0 = average)
−0.89
117.0
points / game
117.4
110.9
points allowed / game
124.9
42−25
season record
20−45
24−9
home record
12−21
18−16
away record
8−24
L2
streak
W1
6−4
last 10
2−8
47.3
FG%
46.5
37.3
3P%
34.6
46.3
rebounds / game
44.1
27.4
assists / game
29.5
13.7
turnovers / game
15.6
47.5
points in paint / game
51.5

Rating Trend

NY · UTAH · 127 days
New York KnicksUtah Jazz
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · UTAH 4−5
Dec 5, 2025at NYNY 146 − 112
Jan 1, 2025at NYNY 119 − 103
Nov 23, 2024at UTAHUTAH 121 − 106
Jan 30, 2024at NYNY 118 − 103
Dec 13, 2023at UTAHUTAH 117 − 113
Feb 11, 2023at NYNY 126 − 120
Nov 15, 2022at UTAHNY 118 − 111
Mar 20, 2022at NYUTAH 108 − 93
Feb 7, 2022at UTAHUTAH 113 − 104

NY · Last 10

6−4 · streak L2
Mar 9at LAC118 − 126L
Mar 8at LAL97 − 110L
Mar 6at DEN142 − 103W
Mar 4vs OKC100 − 103L
Mar 3at TOR111 − 95W
Mar 1vs SA114 − 89W
Feb 27at MIL127 − 98W
Feb 24at CLE94 − 109L
Feb 22at CHI105 − 99W
Feb 21vs HOU108 − 106W

UTAH · Last 10

2−8 · streak W1
Mar 9vs GS119 − 116W
Mar 7at MIL99 − 113L
Mar 5at WSH122 − 112W
Mar 4at PHI102 − 106L
Mar 2vs DEN125 − 128L
Feb 28vs NO105 − 115L
Feb 26vs NO118 − 129L
Feb 23at HOU105 − 125L
Feb 20at MEM114 − 123L
Feb 12vs POR119 − 135L