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Jazz at 76ers

NBA · Wednesday, Mar 4 · 6:30 PM CT · Xfinity Mobile Arena · Final UTAH 102 – PHI 106
← NBA / Mar 4

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
UTAH22263519102
PHI29242924106
Team box
UTAH·PHI
36-88
field goals
40-88
12-39
3-pointers
9-35
18-19
free throws
17-21
42
rebounds
43
22
assists
24
15
turnovers
15
38
points in paint
60
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Keyonte GeorgeUTAH303042
Tyrese MaxeyPHI382526
Jabari WalkerPHI2822102
Isaiah CollierUTAH261805
Quentin GrimesPHI311652
Adem BonaPHI291251

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
PHI +14
UTAH +14
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: PHI 14 · UTAH 8lead changes: 8

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was UTAH 28%, PHI 72% · Updated Mar 4

Expected margin
PHI by 8.1
Expected score
PHI 124.9 – 116.8 UTAH
Expected total
241.7
JazzThe matchup76ers
+258Our fair odds−258
116.8Expected points124.9
−0.91Power rating−0.12
117.9Points / game116.0
125.8Allowed / game116.2
46.7FG%45.9
34.73P%35.2
43.8Rebounds / game43.3
18−43Season record33−28
2−8Last 104−6
Jaren Jackson Jr. · Jusuf Nurkic
Lauri Markkanen · Vince Williams Jr.
Walker KesslerOut (5 each)Joel Embiid · Johni Broome
Kelly Oubre Jr. · Paul George
VJ Edgecombe

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
UTAH chance · PHI chance
Our model fair28.0%72.0%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
UTAHUtah Jazz+25828%————
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers−25872%————
SpreadPHI by 8.1
UTAHUtah Jazz+8.1our margin————
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers−8.1our margin————
Totalwe expect 241.7
Over241.7our total————
Under241.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Philadelphia 76ers by 8.1 expected
Utah Jazz by 50 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 49 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 48 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 47 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 46 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 45 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 44 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 43 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 42 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 41 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 40 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 39 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 38 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 37 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 36 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 35 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 34 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 33 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 32 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 31 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 30 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 29 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 28 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 27 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 26 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 25 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 24 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 23 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 22 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 21 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 20 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 19 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 18 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 17 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 16 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 15 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 14 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 13 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 12 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 11 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 10 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 9 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 8 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 7 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 6 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 5 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 4 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 3 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 2 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 2 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 3 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 4 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 5 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 6 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 7 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 8 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 9 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 10 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 11 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 12 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 13 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 14 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 15 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 16 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 17 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 18 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 19 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 20 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 21 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 22 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 23 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 24 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 25 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 26 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 27 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 28 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 29 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 30 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 31 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 32 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 33 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 34 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 35 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 36 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 37 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 38 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 39 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 40 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 41 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 42 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 43 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 44 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 45 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 46 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 47 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 48 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 49 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 50 points: <1%
← UTAH wins byPHI wins by →
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 5 or more62%
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 10 or more46%
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 15 or more32%
Within 5 points either way22%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

241.7 expected
191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: <1%205 points: <1%206 points: <1%207 points: <1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 1%222 points: 1%223 points: 1%224 points: 1%225 points: 1%226 points: 1%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 2%252 points: 2%253 points: 2%254 points: 2%255 points: 2%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: 1%271 points: 1%272 points: 1%273 points: 1%274 points: 1%275 points: 1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%297 points: <1%298 points: <1%299 points: <1%300 points: <1%301 points: <1%302 points: <1%303 points: <1%304 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 231.568%
Total over 241.549%
Total over 251.531%
Total from 232 to 25137%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Utah Jazz
GElijah Harklessstarted
GKeyonte Georgestarted
GAce Baileystarted
FKyle Filipowskistarted
FCody Williamsstarted
Philadelphia 76ers
GQuentin Grimesstarted
GTyrese Maxeystarted
FTrendon Watfordstarted
FDominick Barlowstarted
CAdem Bonastarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
UTAH·PHI
Mar 2 vs DEN
last game
Mar 3 vs SA
1 day
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Mar 4, 5:00 PM ET
Utah Jazz
UTAHJaren Jackson Jr. · left knee; injury recoveryOut
UTAHJusuf Nurkic · nose; injury recoveryOut
UTAHLauri Markkanen · right hip; impingementOut
UTAHVince Williams Jr. · left knee; injury managementOut
UTAHWalker Kessler · left shoulder; injury recoveryOut
Philadelphia 76ers
PHIJoel Embiid · right oblique; strainOut
PHIJohni Broome · right knee; surgery recoveryOut
PHIKelly Oubre Jr. · n/a; illnessOut
PHIPaul George · league suspensionOut
PHIVJ Edgecombe · lumbar; contusionOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 61+ games
UTAH·PHI
−0.91
rating (0 = average)
−0.12
117.9
points / game
116.0
125.8
points allowed / game
116.2
18−43
season record
33−28
11−21
home record
16−16
7−22
away record
17−12
L6
streak
L2
2−8
last 10
4−6
46.7
FG%
45.9
34.7
3P%
35.2
43.8
rebounds / game
43.3
29.7
assists / game
24.6
15.7
turnovers / game
13.7
52.1
points in paint / game
48.4

Rating Trend

UTAH · PHI · 120 days
Utah JazzPhiladelphia 76ers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · PHI 5−3
Mar 9, 2025at PHIPHI 126 − 122
Dec 28, 2024at UTAHPHI 114 − 111
Feb 1, 2024at UTAHPHI 127 − 124
Jan 6, 2024at PHIUTAH 120 − 109
Jan 14, 2023at UTAHPHI 118 − 117
Nov 13, 2022at PHIPHI 105 − 98
Dec 9, 2021at PHIUTAH 118 − 96
Nov 16, 2021at UTAHUTAH 120 − 85

UTAH · Last 10

2−8 · streak L6
Mar 2vs DEN125 − 128L
Feb 28vs NO105 − 115L
Feb 26vs NO118 − 129L
Feb 23at HOU105 − 125L
Feb 20at MEM114 − 123L
Feb 12vs POR119 − 135L
Feb 11vs SAC121 − 93W
Feb 9at MIA115 − 111W
Feb 7at ORL117 − 120L
Feb 5at ATL119 − 121L

PHI · Last 10

4−6 · streak L2
Mar 3vs SA91 − 131L
Mar 1at BOS98 − 114L
Feb 26vs MIA124 − 117W
Feb 24at IND135 − 114W
Feb 22at MIN135 − 108W
Feb 21at NO111 − 126L
Feb 19vs ATL107 − 117L
Feb 11vs NY89 − 138L
Feb 9at POR118 − 135L
Feb 7at PHX109 − 103W