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76ers at Pelicans

NBA · Saturday, Feb 21 · 6:00 PM CT · Smoothie King Center · Final PHI 111 – NO 126
← NBA / Feb 21

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
PHI29362620111
NO24334029126
Team box
PHI·NO
36-94
field goals
40-81
12-46
3-pointers
17-34
27-33
free throws
29-38
47
rebounds
49
19
assists
25
11
turnovers
15
36
points in paint
46
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Tyrese MaxeyPHI362737
Kelly Oubre Jr.PHI332552
Jordan PooleNO242335
Zion WilliamsonNO332168
Saddiq BeyNO272042
VJ EdgecombePHI351453

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NO +21
PHI +21
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: NO 21 · PHI 11lead changes: 9

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was PHI 58%, NO 42% · Updated Feb 21

Expected margin
PHI by 2.4
Expected score
PHI 118.0 – 115.5 NO
Expected total
233.5
76ersThe matchupPelicans
−136Our fair odds+136
118.0Expected points115.5
−0.16Power rating−0.66
116.0Points / game114.6
115.9Allowed / game120.7
45.9FG%46.4
35.13P%34.1
43.3Rebounds / game43.5
30−25Season record15−42
6−4Last 104−6
Joel Embiid · Johni Broome
MarJon Beauchamp · Paul GeorgeOutHunter Dickinson · Micah Peavy
Trey Alexander · Trey Murphy III
Yves Missi

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
PHI chance · NO chance
Our model fair57.6%42.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers−13658%————
NONew Orleans Pelicans+13642%————
SpreadPHI by 2.4
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers−2.4our margin————
NONew Orleans Pelicans+2.4our margin————
Totalwe expect 233.5
Over233.5our total————
Under233.5our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Philadelphia 76ers by 2.4 expected
Philadelphia 76ers by 43 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 42 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 41 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 40 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 39 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 38 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 37 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 36 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 35 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 34 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 33 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 32 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 31 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 30 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 29 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 28 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 27 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 26 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 25 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 24 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 23 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 22 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 21 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 20 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 19 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 18 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 17 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 16 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 15 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 14 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 13 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 12 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 11 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 10 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 9 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 8 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 7 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 6 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 5 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 4 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 3 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 2 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 1 point: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 1 point: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 2 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 3 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 4 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 5 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 6 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 7 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 8 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 9 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 10 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 11 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 12 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 13 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 14 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 15 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 16 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 17 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 18 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 19 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 20 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 21 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 22 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 23 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 24 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 25 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 26 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 27 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 28 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 29 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 30 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 31 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 32 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 33 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 34 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 35 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 36 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 37 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 38 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 39 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 40 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 41 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 42 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 43 points: <1%
← PHI wins byNO wins by →
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 5 or more46%
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 10 or more32%
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 15 or more20%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

233.5 expected
183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 223.568%
Total over 233.549%
Total over 243.530%
Total from 224 to 24338%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Philadelphia 76ers
GKelly Oubre Jr.started
GTyrese Maxeystarted
GVJ Edgecombestarted
FDominick Barlowstarted
CAndre Drummondstarted
New Orleans Pelicans
GSaddiq Beystarted
FHerbert Jonesstarted
FZion Williamsonstarted
CDeAndre Jordanstarted
CDerik Queenstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
PHI·NO
Feb 19 vs ATL
last game
Feb 20 vs MIL
1 day
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
1
games in last 7 days
1
road after a home game
home / road
4th straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 21, 5:00 PM ET
Philadelphia 76ers
PHIJoel Embiid · right knee; injury management; right shin sorenessOut
PHIJohni Broome · g league - on assignmentOut
PHIMarJon Beauchamp · g league - two-wayOut
PHIPaul George · league suspensionOut
New Orleans Pelicans
NOHunter Dickinson · g league - two-wayOut
NOMicah Peavy · right great toe; sprainOut
NOTrey Alexander · g league - two-wayOut
NOTrey Murphy III · right shoulder; contusionOut
NOYves Missi · left calf; strainOut
NODejounte Murray · right achilles; ruptureDoubtful

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 55+ games
PHI·NO
−0.16
rating (0 = average)
−0.66
116.0
points / game
114.6
115.9
points allowed / game
120.7
30−25
season record
15−42
15−15
home record
9−21
15−10
away record
6−21
L3
streak
L2
6−4
last 10
4−6
45.9
FG%
46.4
35.1
3P%
34.1
43.3
rebounds / game
43.5
24.6
assists / game
25.0
13.9
turnovers / game
14.1
48.3
points in paint / game
57.6

Rating Trend

PHI · NO · 109 days
Philadelphia 76ersNew Orleans Pelicans
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · NO 5−4
Jan 31at PHIPHI 124 − 114
Mar 24, 2025at NONO 112 − 99
Jan 10, 2025at PHINO 123 − 115
Mar 8, 2024at PHINO 103 − 95
Nov 29, 2023at NONO 124 − 114
Jan 2, 2023at PHIPHI 120 − 111
Dec 30, 2022at NONO 127 − 116
Jan 25, 2022at PHIPHI 117 − 107
Oct 20, 2021at NOPHI 117 − 97

PHI · Last 10

6−4 · streak L3
Feb 19vs ATL107 − 117L
Feb 11vs NY89 − 138L
Feb 9at POR118 − 135L
Feb 7at PHX109 − 103W
Feb 5at LAL115 − 119L
Feb 3at GS113 − 94W
Feb 2at LAC128 − 113W
Jan 31vs NO124 − 114W
Jan 29vs SAC113 − 111W
Jan 27vs MIL139 − 122W

NO · Last 10

4−6 · streak L2
Feb 20vs MIL118 − 139L
Feb 11vs MIA111 − 123L
Feb 9vs SAC120 − 94W
Feb 6at MIN119 − 115W
Feb 4at MIL137 − 141L
Feb 2at CHA95 − 102L
Jan 31at PHI114 − 124L
Jan 30vs MEM114 − 106W
Jan 27at OKC95 − 104L
Jan 25at SA104 − 95W