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76ers at Suns

NBA · Saturday, Feb 7 · 8:00 PM CT · Mortgage Matchup Center · Final PHI 109 – PHX 103

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
PHI24342328109
PHX22252432103
Team box
PHI·PHX
35-74
field goals
33-83
11-29
3-pointers
11-46
28-34
free throws
26-31
50
rebounds
40
18
assists
22
18
turnovers
14
34
points in paint
34
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Joel EmbiidPHI333393
Tyrese MaxeyPHI402996
Dillon BrooksPHX362822
Devin BookerPHX322129
Kelly Oubre Jr.PHI381862
Royce O'NealePHX3414113

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
PHX +19
PHI +19
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: PHX 3 · PHI 19lead changes: 3

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was PHI 38%, PHX 62% · Updated Feb 7

Expected margin
PHX by 4.2
Expected score
PHX 115.6 – 111.4 PHI
Expected total
227.0
76ersThe matchupSuns
+165Our fair odds−165
111.4Expected points115.6
−0.14Power rating+0.15
116.8Points / game113.8
115.4Allowed / game111.4
46.2FG%46.2
35.43P%36.5
43.5Rebounds / game43.0
29−22Season record31−21
6−4Last 106−4
Paul GeorgeOutCole Anthony · Grayson Allen
Isaiah Livers

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
PHI chance · PHX chance
Our model fair37.7%62.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers+16538%————
PHXPhoenix Suns−16562%————
SpreadPHX by 4.2
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers+4.2our margin————
PHXPhoenix Suns−4.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 227.0
Over227.0our total————
Under227.0our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Phoenix Suns by 4.2 expected
Philadelphia 76ers by 46 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 45 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 44 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 43 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 42 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 41 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 40 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 39 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 38 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 37 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 36 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 35 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 34 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 33 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 32 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 31 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 30 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 29 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 28 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 27 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 26 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 25 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 24 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 23 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 22 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 21 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 20 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 19 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 18 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 17 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 16 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 15 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 14 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 13 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 12 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 11 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 10 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 9 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 8 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 7 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 6 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 5 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 4 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 3 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 2 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 1 point: 2%Phoenix Suns by 1 point: 2%Phoenix Suns by 2 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 3 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 4 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 5 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 6 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 7 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 8 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 9 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 10 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 11 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 12 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 13 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 14 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 15 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 16 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 17 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 18 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 19 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 20 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 21 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 22 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 23 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 24 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 25 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 26 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 27 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 28 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 29 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 30 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 31 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 32 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 33 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 34 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 35 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 36 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 37 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 38 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 39 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 40 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 41 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 42 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 43 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 44 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 45 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 46 points: <1%
← PHI wins byPHX wins by →
Phoenix Suns wins by 5 or more52%
Phoenix Suns wins by 10 or more36%
Phoenix Suns wins by 15 or more23%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

227.0 expected
178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 217.568%
Total over 227.548%
Total over 237.529%
Total from 218 to 23739%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Philadelphia 76ers
GTyrese Maxeystarted
GVJ Edgecombestarted
CJoel Embiidstarted
Phoenix Suns
GDevin Bookerstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
PHI·PHX
Feb 5 at LAL
last game
Feb 5 vs GS
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
4th straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 7, 5:00 PM ET
Philadelphia 76ers
PHIPaul George · management league suspensionOut
PHIJoel Embiid · right knee; injuryQuestionable
Phoenix Suns
PHXCole Anthony · not with teamOut
PHXGrayson Allen · right knee; sprainOut
PHXIsaiah Livers · left shoulder; sprainOut
PHXDevin Booker · right ankle; sprainQuestionable
PHXJalen Green · right hamstring; injury management; left hip contusionQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 51+ games
PHI·PHX
−0.14
rating (0 = average)
+0.15
116.8
points / game
113.8
115.4
points allowed / game
111.4
29−22
season record
31−21
15−13
home record
17−8
14−9
away record
14−13
L1
streak
L1
6−4
last 10
6−4
46.2
FG%
46.2
35.4
3P%
36.5
43.5
rebounds / game
43.0
25.1
assists / game
24.9
13.7
turnovers / game
15.1
48.8
points in paint / game
44.5

Rating Trend

PHI · PHX · 101 days
Philadelphia 76ersPhoenix Suns
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · PHX 7−2
Jan 20at PHIPHX 116 − 110
Jan 6, 2025at PHIPHX 109 − 99
Nov 4, 2024at PHXPHX 118 − 116
Mar 20, 2024at PHXPHX 115 − 102
Nov 4, 2023at PHIPHI 112 − 100
Mar 25, 2023at PHXPHX 125 − 105
Nov 7, 2022at PHIPHI 100 − 88
Mar 27, 2022at PHXPHX 114 − 104
Feb 8, 2022at PHIPHX 114 − 109

PHI · Last 10

6−4 · streak L1
Feb 5at LAL115 − 119L
Feb 3at GS113 − 94W
Feb 2at LAC128 − 113W
Jan 31vs NO124 − 114W
Jan 29vs SAC113 − 111W
Jan 27vs MIL139 − 122W
Jan 26at CHA93 − 130L
Jan 24vs NY109 − 112L
Jan 22vs HOU128 − 122W
Jan 20vs PHX110 − 116L

PHX · Last 10

6−4 · streak L1
Feb 5vs GS97 − 101L
Feb 3at POR130 − 125W
Feb 1vs LAC93 − 117L
Jan 30vs CLE126 − 113W
Jan 29vs DET114 − 96W
Jan 27vs BKN106 − 102W
Jan 25vs MIA102 − 111L
Jan 23at ATL103 − 110L
Jan 20at PHI116 − 110W
Jan 19at BKN126 − 117W