bayesRatings

76ers at Clippers

NBA · Monday, Feb 2 · 9:00 PM CT · Intuit Dome · Final PHI 128 – LAC 113
← NBA / Feb 2

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
PHI38342828128
LAC19343426113
Team box
PHI·LAC
45-94
field goals
46-78
17-39
3-pointers
9-26
21-22
free throws
12-20
41
rebounds
36
31
assists
24
6
turnovers
14
46
points in paint
64
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Tyrese MaxeyPHI362956
Kawhi LeonardLAC312946
Dominick BarlowPHI3526162
Joel EmbiidPHI322453
Jordan MillerLAC282142
Kobe SandersLAC341733

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAC +23
PHI +23
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: LAC 0 · PHI 23lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was PHI 35%, LAC 65% · Updated Feb 2

Expected margin
LAC by 6.0
Expected score
LAC 114.7 – 108.7 PHI
Expected total
223.3
76ersThe matchupClippers
+183Our fair odds−183
108.7Expected points114.7
−0.21Power rating+0.19
116.7Points / game112.7
115.8Allowed / game112.6
46.0FG%47.8
35.53P%36.6
43.6Rebounds / game41.0
27−21Season record23−25
5−5Last 108−2
Paul GeorgeOutBradley Beal · Chris Paul
Derrick Jones Jr. · James Harden
TyTy Washington Jr.

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
PHI chance · LAC chance
Our model fair35.3%64.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers+18335%————
LACLA Clippers−18365%————
SpreadLAC by 6.0
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers+6our margin————
LACLA Clippers−6our margin————
Totalwe expect 223.3
Over223.3our total————
Under223.3our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

LA Clippers by 6.0 expected
Philadelphia 76ers by 48 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 47 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 46 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 45 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 44 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 43 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 42 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 41 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 40 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 39 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 38 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 37 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 36 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 35 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 34 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 33 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 32 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 31 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 30 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 29 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 28 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 27 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 26 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 25 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 24 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 23 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 22 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 21 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 20 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 19 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 18 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 17 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 16 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 15 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 14 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 13 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 12 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 11 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 10 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 9 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 8 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 7 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 6 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 5 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 4 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 3 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 2 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 3 points: 3%LA Clippers by 4 points: 3%LA Clippers by 5 points: 3%LA Clippers by 6 points: 3%LA Clippers by 7 points: 3%LA Clippers by 8 points: 3%LA Clippers by 9 points: 3%LA Clippers by 10 points: 3%LA Clippers by 11 points: 3%LA Clippers by 12 points: 3%LA Clippers by 13 points: 3%LA Clippers by 14 points: 2%LA Clippers by 15 points: 2%LA Clippers by 16 points: 2%LA Clippers by 17 points: 2%LA Clippers by 18 points: 2%LA Clippers by 19 points: 2%LA Clippers by 20 points: 2%LA Clippers by 21 points: 1%LA Clippers by 22 points: 1%LA Clippers by 23 points: 1%LA Clippers by 24 points: 1%LA Clippers by 25 points: 1%LA Clippers by 26 points: 1%LA Clippers by 27 points: 1%LA Clippers by 28 points: 1%LA Clippers by 29 points: 1%LA Clippers by 30 points: 1%LA Clippers by 31 points: 1%LA Clippers by 32 points: 1%LA Clippers by 33 points: <1%LA Clippers by 34 points: <1%LA Clippers by 35 points: <1%LA Clippers by 36 points: <1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%LA Clippers by 43 points: <1%LA Clippers by 44 points: <1%LA Clippers by 45 points: <1%LA Clippers by 46 points: <1%LA Clippers by 47 points: <1%LA Clippers by 48 points: <1%
← PHI wins byLAC wins by →
LA Clippers wins by 5 or more56%
LA Clippers wins by 10 or more41%
LA Clippers wins by 15 or more27%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

223.3 expected
175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 213.569%
Total over 223.549%
Total over 233.530%
Total from 214 to 23339%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Philadelphia 76ers
GKelly Oubre Jr.started
GTyrese Maxeystarted
GVJ Edgecombestarted
FDominick Barlowstarted
CJoel Embiidstarted
LA Clippers
GKris Dunnstarted
GKobe Sandersstarted
FKawhi Leonardstarted
FJohn Collinsstarted
CIvica Zubacstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
PHI·LAC
Jan 31 vs NO
last game
Feb 1 at PHX
1 day
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
4
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 2, 5:00 PM ET
Philadelphia 76ers
PHIPaul George · league suspensionOut
PHIJoel Embiid · right ankle; injury managementProbable
LA Clippers
LACBradley Beal · left hip; fractureOut
LACChris Paul · not with teamOut
LACDerrick Jones Jr. · right knee; sprainOut
LACJames Harden · personal reasonsOut
LACTyTy Washington Jr. · g league - two-wayOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 48+ games
PHI·LAC
−0.21
rating (0 = average)
+0.19
116.7
points / game
112.7
115.8
points allowed / game
112.6
27−21
season record
23−25
15−13
home record
13−9
12−8
away record
10−16
W3
streak
W1
5−5
last 10
8−2
46.0
FG%
47.8
35.5
3P%
36.6
43.6
rebounds / game
41.0
24.9
assists / game
23.6
13.9
turnovers / game
14.8
48.4
points in paint / game
46.7

Rating Trend

PHI · LAC · 96 days
Philadelphia 76ersLA Clippers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · LAC 4−5
Nov 17, 2025at PHIPHI 110 − 108
Nov 24, 2024at PHILAC 125 − 99
Nov 6, 2024at LACLAC 110 − 98
Mar 27, 2024at PHILAC 108 − 107
Mar 24, 2024at LACPHI 121 − 107
Jan 17, 2023at LACPHI 120 − 110
Dec 23, 2022at PHIPHI 119 − 114
Mar 25, 2022at LACPHI 122 − 97
Jan 21, 2022at PHILAC 102 − 101

PHI · Last 10

5−5 · streak W3
Jan 31vs NO124 − 114W
Jan 29vs SAC113 − 111W
Jan 27vs MIL139 − 122W
Jan 26at CHA93 − 130L
Jan 24vs NY109 − 112L
Jan 22vs HOU128 − 122W
Jan 20vs PHX110 − 116L
Jan 19vs IND113 − 104W
Jan 16vs CLE115 − 117L
Jan 14vs CLE107 − 133L

LAC · Last 10

8−2 · streak W1
Feb 1at PHX117 − 93W
Jan 30at DEN109 − 122L
Jan 27at UTAH115 − 103W
Jan 25vs BKN126 − 89W
Jan 22vs LAL112 − 104W
Jan 20at CHI110 − 138L
Jan 19at WSH110 − 106W
Jan 16at TOR121 − 117W
Jan 14vs WSH119 − 105W
Jan 12vs CHA117 − 109W