bayesRatings

Clippers at Suns

NBA · Sunday, Feb 1 · 7:00 PM CT · Mortgage Matchup Center · Final LAC 117 – PHX 93
← NBA / Feb 1

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
LAC24253632117
PHX2023282293
Team box
LAC·PHX
43-83
field goals
31-93
9-24
3-pointers
19-46
22-34
free throws
12-18
63
rebounds
35
25
assists
21
18
turnovers
5
64
points in paint
18
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Kawhi LeonardLAC302585
Grayson AllenPHX362318
Dillon BrooksPHX352251
Jordan MillerLAC242052
John CollinsLAC281692
Ivica ZubacLAC3314201

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
PHX +24
LAC +24
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: PHX 3 · LAC 24lead changes: 7

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was LAC 46%, PHX 54% · Updated Feb 1

Expected margin
PHX by 1.5
Expected score
PHX 111.7 – 110.2 LAC
Expected total
221.9
ClippersThe matchupSuns
+118Our fair odds−118
110.2Expected points111.7
+0.19Power rating+0.13
112.6Points / game114.2
113.0Allowed / game111.3
47.7FG%46.4
36.63P%36.1
40.5Rebounds / game43.2
22−25Season record30−19
8−2Last 106−4
Bradley Beal · Chris Paul
Derrick Jones Jr. · James Harden
TyTy Washington Jr.OutDevin Booker · Jalen Green

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LAC chance · PHX chance
Our model fair46.0%54.0%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
LACLA Clippers+11846%————
PHXPhoenix Suns−11854%————
SpreadPHX by 1.5
LACLA Clippers+1.5our margin————
PHXPhoenix Suns−1.5our margin————
Totalwe expect 221.9
Over221.9our total————
Under221.9our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Phoenix Suns by 1.5 expected
LA Clippers by 43 points: <1%LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 36 points: <1%LA Clippers by 35 points: <1%LA Clippers by 34 points: <1%LA Clippers by 33 points: <1%LA Clippers by 32 points: <1%LA Clippers by 31 points: <1%LA Clippers by 30 points: <1%LA Clippers by 29 points: <1%LA Clippers by 28 points: <1%LA Clippers by 27 points: <1%LA Clippers by 26 points: <1%LA Clippers by 25 points: 1%LA Clippers by 24 points: 1%LA Clippers by 23 points: 1%LA Clippers by 22 points: 1%LA Clippers by 21 points: 1%LA Clippers by 20 points: 1%LA Clippers by 19 points: 1%LA Clippers by 18 points: 1%LA Clippers by 17 points: 1%LA Clippers by 16 points: 1%LA Clippers by 15 points: 1%LA Clippers by 14 points: 2%LA Clippers by 13 points: 2%LA Clippers by 12 points: 2%LA Clippers by 11 points: 2%LA Clippers by 10 points: 2%LA Clippers by 9 points: 2%LA Clippers by 8 points: 2%LA Clippers by 7 points: 3%LA Clippers by 6 points: 3%LA Clippers by 5 points: 3%LA Clippers by 4 points: 3%LA Clippers by 3 points: 2%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%Phoenix Suns by 1 point: 2%Phoenix Suns by 2 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 3 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 4 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 5 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 6 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 7 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 8 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 9 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 10 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 11 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 12 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 13 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 14 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 15 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 16 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 17 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 18 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 19 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 20 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 21 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 22 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 23 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 24 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 25 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 26 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 27 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 28 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 29 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 30 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 31 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 32 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 33 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 34 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 35 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 36 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 37 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 38 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 39 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 40 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 41 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 42 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 43 points: <1%
← LAC wins byPHX wins by →
Phoenix Suns wins by 5 or more44%
Phoenix Suns wins by 10 or more30%
Phoenix Suns wins by 15 or more18%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

221.9 expected
174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 211.570%
Total over 221.550%
Total over 231.531%
Total from 212 to 23139%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
LA Clippers
GKris Dunnstarted
GKobe Sandersstarted
FKawhi Leonardstarted
FJohn Collinsstarted
CIvica Zubacstarted
Phoenix Suns
GGrayson Allenstarted
GCollin Gillespiestarted
FRoyce O'Nealestarted
FDillon Brooksstarted
CMark Williamsstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LAC·PHX
Jan 30 at DEN
last game
Jan 30 vs CLE
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
4
3rd straight road game
home / road
5th straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 1, 5:00 PM ET
LA Clippers
LACBradley Beal · left hip; fractureOut
LACChris Paul · not with teamOut
LACDerrick Jones Jr. · right knee; sprainOut
LACJames Harden · personal reasonsOut
LACTyTy Washington Jr. · g league - two-wayOut
Phoenix Suns
PHXDevin Booker · right ankle; sprainOut
PHXJalen Green · right hamstring; injury management; left hip contusionOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 47+ games
LAC·PHX
+0.19
rating (0 = average)
+0.13
112.6
points / game
114.2
113.0
points allowed / game
111.3
22−25
season record
30−19
13−9
home record
17−6
9−16
away record
13−13
L1
streak
W3
8−2
last 10
6−4
47.7
FG%
46.4
36.6
3P%
36.1
40.5
rebounds / game
43.2
23.6
assists / game
25.0
14.7
turnovers / game
15.4
46.3
points in paint / game
44.9

Rating Trend

LAC · PHX · 95 days
LA ClippersPhoenix Suns
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · PHX 7−3
Nov 8, 2025at LACPHX 114 − 103
Nov 6, 2025at PHXPHX 115 − 102
Oct 24, 2025at LACLAC 129 − 102
Mar 4, 2025at PHXPHX 119 − 117
Jan 27, 2025at PHXPHX 111 − 109
Oct 31, 2024at LACPHX 125 − 119
Oct 23, 2024at LACPHX 116 − 113
Apr 10, 2024at LACPHX 124 − 108
Apr 9, 2024at PHXLAC 105 − 92
Jan 8, 2024at LACLAC 138 − 111

LAC · Last 10

8−2 · streak L1
Jan 30at DEN109 − 122L
Jan 27at UTAH115 − 103W
Jan 25vs BKN126 − 89W
Jan 22vs LAL112 − 104W
Jan 20at CHI110 − 138L
Jan 19at WSH110 − 106W
Jan 16at TOR121 − 117W
Jan 14vs WSH119 − 105W
Jan 12vs CHA117 − 109W
Jan 10at DET98 − 92W

PHX · Last 10

6−4 · streak W3
Jan 30vs CLE126 − 113W
Jan 29vs DET114 − 96W
Jan 27vs BKN106 − 102W
Jan 25vs MIA102 − 111L
Jan 23at ATL103 − 110L
Jan 20at PHI116 − 110W
Jan 19at BKN126 − 117W
Jan 17at NY106 − 99W
Jan 15at DET105 − 108L
Jan 13at MIA121 − 127L