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Suns at Trail Blazers

NBA · Tuesday, Feb 3 · 10:00 PM CT · Moda Center · Final PHX 130 – POR 125
← NBA / Feb 3

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
PHX30373429130
POR41312231125
Team box
PHX·POR
50-97
field goals
47-95
20-41
3-pointers
18-52
10-15
free throws
13-18
45
rebounds
47
26
assists
31
11
turnovers
17
60
points in paint
58
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Collin GillespiePHX3330410
Mark WilliamsPHX2624111
Grayson AllenPHX362414
Jerami GrantPOR332324
Shaedon SharpePOR311911
Jordan GoodwinPHX2316103

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
POR +19
PHX +19
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: POR 19 · PHX 12lead changes: 7

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was PHX 53%, POR 47% · Updated Feb 3

Expected margin
PHX by 1.3
Expected score
PHX 114.2 – 112.9 POR
Expected total
227.1
SunsThe matchupTrail Blazers
−112Our fair odds+112
114.2Expected points112.9
+0.15Power rating−0.19
113.8Points / game115.1
111.4Allowed / game117.9
46.1FG%44.8
36.23P%33.5
43.1Rebounds / game45.7
30−20Season record23−27
6−4Last 104−6
Devin BookerOutDamian Lillard · Deni Avdija
Kris Murray · Matisse Thybulle
Scoot Henderson

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
PHX chance · POR chance
Our model fair52.8%47.1%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PHXPhoenix Suns−11253%————
PORPortland Trail Blazers+11247%————
SpreadPHX by 1.3
PHXPhoenix Suns−1.3our margin————
PORPortland Trail Blazers+1.3our margin————
Totalwe expect 227.1
Over227.1our total————
Under227.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Phoenix Suns by 1.3 expected
Phoenix Suns by 42 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 41 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 40 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 39 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 38 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 37 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 36 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 35 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 34 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 33 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 32 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 31 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 30 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 29 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 28 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 27 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 26 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 25 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 24 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 23 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 22 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 21 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 20 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 19 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 18 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 17 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 16 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 15 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 14 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 13 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 12 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 11 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 10 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 9 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 8 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 7 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 6 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 5 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 4 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 3 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 2 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 1 point: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 1 point: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 2 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 3 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 4 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 5 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 6 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 7 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 8 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 9 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 10 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 11 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 12 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 13 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 14 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 15 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 16 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 17 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 18 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 19 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 20 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 21 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 22 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 23 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 24 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 25 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 26 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 27 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 28 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 29 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 30 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 31 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 32 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 33 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 34 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 35 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 36 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 37 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 38 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 39 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 40 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 41 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 42 points: <1%
← PHX wins byPOR wins by →
Phoenix Suns wins by 5 or more43%
Phoenix Suns wins by 10 or more29%
Phoenix Suns wins by 15 or more18%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

227.1 expected
178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 217.568%
Total over 227.549%
Total over 237.529%
Total from 218 to 23739%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Phoenix Suns
GGrayson Allenstarted
GCollin Gillespiestarted
FRoyce O'Nealestarted
FDillon Brooksstarted
CMark Williamsstarted
Portland Trail Blazers
GJrue Holidaystarted
GShaedon Sharpestarted
FJerami Grantstarted
FToumani Camarastarted
CDonovan Clinganstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
PHX·POR
Feb 1 vs LAC
last game
Feb 1 vs CLE
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 3, 5:00 PM ET
Phoenix Suns
PHXDevin Booker · right ankle; sprainOut
PHXJalen Green · right hamstring; injury management; left hip contusionQuestionable
Portland Trail Blazers
PORDamian Lillard · left achilles tendon; injury managementOut
PORDeni Avdija · low back; strainOut
PORKris Murray · lumbar; strainOut
PORMatisse Thybulle · right knee; tendinopathyOut
PORScoot Henderson · left hamstring; tearOut
PORJrue Holiday · personal reasonsQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 50+ games
PHX·POR
+0.15
rating (0 = average)
−0.19
113.8
points / game
115.1
111.4
points allowed / game
117.9
30−20
season record
23−27
17−7
home record
13−12
13−13
away record
10−15
L1
streak
L5
6−4
last 10
4−6
46.1
FG%
44.8
36.2
3P%
33.5
43.1
rebounds / game
45.7
24.9
assists / game
24.1
15.2
turnovers / game
17.1
44.4
points in paint / game
48.0

Rating Trend

PHX · POR · 97 days
Phoenix SunsPortland Trail Blazers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · POR 3−7
Nov 18, 2025at PORPHX 127 − 110
Feb 3, 2025at PORPOR 121 − 119
Feb 1, 2025at PORPOR 127 − 108
Dec 15, 2024at PHXPHX 116 − 109
Nov 2, 2024at PHXPHX 103 − 97
Jan 14, 2024at PORPHX 127 − 116
Jan 1, 2024at PHXPHX 109 − 88
Dec 19, 2023at PORPOR 109 − 104
Nov 21, 2023at PHXPHX 120 − 107
Nov 5, 2022at PHXPHX 102 − 82

PHX · Last 10

6−4 · streak L1
Feb 1vs LAC93 − 117L
Jan 30vs CLE126 − 113W
Jan 29vs DET114 − 96W
Jan 27vs BKN106 − 102W
Jan 25vs MIA102 − 111L
Jan 23at ATL103 − 110L
Jan 20at PHI116 − 110W
Jan 19at BKN126 − 117W
Jan 17at NY106 − 99W
Jan 15at DET105 − 108L

POR · Last 10

4−6 · streak L5
Feb 1vs CLE111 − 130L
Jan 30at NY97 − 127L
Jan 27at WSH111 − 115L
Jan 26at BOS94 − 102L
Jan 23vs TOR98 − 110L
Jan 22vs MIA127 − 110W
Jan 18at SAC117 − 110W
Jan 17vs LAL132 − 116W
Jan 15vs ATL117 − 101W
Jan 13at GS97 − 119L