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Cavaliers at Trail Blazers

NBA · Sunday, Feb 1 · 8:00 PM CT · Moda Center · Final CLE 130 – POR 111
← NBA / Feb 1

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CLE29284132130
POR24243033111
Team box
CLE·POR
50-91
field goals
44-98
16-34
3-pointers
14-44
14-19
free throws
9-12
39
rebounds
47
41
assists
24
14
turnovers
23
68
points in paint
50
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jarrett AllenCLE3040175
Sam MerrillCLE292224
Caleb LovePOR302123
Shaedon SharpePOR322023
Jaylon TysonCLE301836
Sidy CissokoPOR321552

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
POR +24
CLE +24
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: POR 2 · CLE 24lead changes: 3

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CLE 59%, POR 41% · Updated Feb 1

Expected margin
CLE by 4.5
Expected score
CLE 119.3 – 114.8 POR
Expected total
234.1
CavaliersThe matchupTrail Blazers
−141Our fair odds+141
119.3Expected points114.8
+0.46Power rating−0.11
119.1Points / game115.1
116.3Allowed / game117.6
47.4FG%44.8
35.83P%33.6
44.8Rebounds / game45.7
29−21Season record23−26
7−3Last 104−6
Darius Garland · Dennis Schroder
Emanuel Miller · Evan Mobley
Keon EllisOut (5 each)Damian Lillard · Duop Reath
Jrue Holiday · Kris Murray
Matisse Thybulle

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CLE chance · POR chance
Our model fair58.5%41.5%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CLECleveland Cavaliers−14159%————
PORPortland Trail Blazers+14141%————
SpreadCLE by 4.5
CLECleveland Cavaliers−4.5our margin————
PORPortland Trail Blazers+4.5our margin————
Totalwe expect 234.1
Over234.1our total————
Under234.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Cleveland Cavaliers by 4.5 expected
Cleveland Cavaliers by 45 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 44 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 43 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 42 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 41 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 40 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 39 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 38 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 37 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 36 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 35 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 34 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 33 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 32 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 31 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 30 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 29 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 28 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 27 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 26 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 25 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 24 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 23 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 22 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 21 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 20 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 19 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 18 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 17 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 16 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 15 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 14 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 13 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 12 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 11 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 10 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 9 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 8 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 7 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 6 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 5 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 4 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 3 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 2 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 1 point: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 1 point: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 2 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 3 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 4 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 5 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 6 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 7 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 8 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 9 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 10 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 11 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 12 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 13 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 14 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 15 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 16 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 17 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 18 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 19 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 20 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 21 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 22 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 23 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 24 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 25 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 26 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 27 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 28 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 29 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 30 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 31 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 32 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 33 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 34 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 35 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 36 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 37 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 38 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 39 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 40 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 41 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 42 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 43 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 44 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 45 points: <1%
← CLE wins byPOR wins by →
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 5 or more52%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 10 or more37%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 15 or more24%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

234.1 expected
184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 224.568%
Total over 234.548%
Total over 244.529%
Total from 225 to 24438%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Cleveland Cavaliers
GDonovan Mitchellstarted
GSam Merrillstarted
GJaylon Tysonstarted
FDean Wadestarted
CJarrett Allenstarted
Portland Trail Blazers
GShaedon Sharpestarted
GSidy Cissokostarted
FJerami Grantstarted
FToumani Camarastarted
CDonovan Clinganstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CLE·POR
Jan 30 at PHX
last game
Jan 30 at NY
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 1, 5:00 PM ET
Cleveland Cavaliers
CLEDarius Garland · right great toe; sprainOut
CLEDennis Schroder · trade pendingOut
CLEEmanuel Miller · trade pendingOut
CLEEvan Mobley · left calf; strainOut
CLEKeon Ellis · trade pendingOut
CLELuke Travers · g league - two-wayOut
CLEMax Strus · left foot; surgery - jones fractureOut
CLECraig Porter Jr. · left knee; sorenessQuestionable
CLETristan Enaruna · g league - two-wayQuestionable
Portland Trail Blazers
PORDamian Lillard · left achilles tendon; injury managementOut
PORDuop Reath · trade pendingOut
PORJrue Holiday · personal reasonsOut
PORKris Murray · lumbar; strainOut
PORMatisse Thybulle · right knee; tendinopathyOut
PORScoot Henderson · left hamstring; tearOut
PORBlake Wesley · right foot; fractureQuestionable
PORDeni Avdija · low back; strainQuestionable
PORRobert Williams III · left knee; injury managementQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 49+ games
CLE·POR
+0.46
rating (0 = average)
−0.11
119.1
points / game
115.1
116.3
points allowed / game
117.6
29−21
season record
23−26
17−11
home record
13−11
12−10
away record
10−15
L1
streak
L4
7−3
last 10
4−6
47.4
FG%
44.8
35.8
3P%
33.6
44.8
rebounds / game
45.7
28.4
assists / game
24.1
14.5
turnovers / game
16.9
50.4
points in paint / game
48.0

Rating Trend

CLE · POR · 95 days
Cleveland CavaliersPortland Trail Blazers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · POR 2−7
Dec 3, 2025at CLEPOR 122 − 110
Mar 25, 2025at PORCLE 122 − 111
Mar 2, 2025at CLECLE 133 − 129
Nov 30, 2023at CLEPOR 103 − 95
Nov 15, 2023at PORCLE 109 − 95
Jan 12, 2023at PORCLE 119 − 113
Nov 23, 2022at CLECLE 114 − 96
Jan 7, 2022at PORCLE 114 − 101
Nov 3, 2021at CLECLE 107 − 104

CLE · Last 10

7−3 · streak L1
Jan 30at PHX113 − 126L
Jan 28vs LAL129 − 99W
Jan 26vs ORL114 − 98W
Jan 24at ORL119 − 105W
Jan 23vs SAC123 − 118W
Jan 21at CHA94 − 87W
Jan 19vs OKC104 − 136L
Jan 16at PHI117 − 115W
Jan 14at PHI133 − 107W
Jan 12vs UTAH112 − 123L

POR · Last 10

4−6 · streak L4
Jan 30at NY97 − 127L
Jan 27at WSH111 − 115L
Jan 26at BOS94 − 102L
Jan 23vs TOR98 − 110L
Jan 22vs MIA127 − 110W
Jan 18at SAC117 − 110W
Jan 17vs LAL132 − 116W
Jan 15vs ATL117 − 101W
Jan 13at GS97 − 119L
Jan 11vs NY114 − 123L