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Hawks at 76ers

NBA · Thursday, Feb 19 · 6:00 PM CT · Xfinity Mobile Arena · Final ATL 117 – PHI 107
← NBA / Feb 19

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
ATL28322829117
PHI26273123107
Team box
ATL·PHI
38-89
field goals
33-86
10-32
3-pointers
11-33
31-40
free throws
30-37
51
rebounds
46
24
assists
17
14
turnovers
16
54
points in paint
38
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jalen JohnsonATL3832105
Tyrese MaxeyPHI392833
CJ McCollumATL302315
VJ EdgecombePHI342090
Kelly Oubre Jr.PHI321733
Dyson DanielsATL371572

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
PHI +14
ATL +14
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: PHI 4 · ATL 14lead changes: 13

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was ATL 47%, PHI 53% · Updated Feb 19

Expected margin
PHI by 0.7
Expected score
PHI 118.9 – 118.2 ATL
Expected total
237.1
HawksThe matchup76ers
+115Our fair odds−115
118.2Expected points118.9
−0.10Power rating−0.16
117.3Points / game116.2
118.6Allowed / game115.9
47.2FG%46.1
36.83P%35.1
42.2Rebounds / game43.3
26−30Season record30−24
5−5Last 106−4
Caleb Houstan · Jonathan Kuminga
RayJ DennisOutJoel Embiid · Johni Broome
MarJon Beauchamp · Paul George

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
ATL chance · PHI chance
Our model fair46.6%53.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
ATLAtlanta Hawks+11547%————
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers−11553%————
SpreadPHI by 0.7
ATLAtlanta Hawks+0.7our margin————
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers−0.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 237.1
Over237.1our total————
Under237.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Philadelphia 76ers by 0.7 expected
Atlanta Hawks by 42 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 41 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 40 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 39 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 38 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 37 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 36 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 35 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 34 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 33 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 32 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 31 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 30 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 29 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 28 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 27 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 26 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 25 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 24 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 23 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 22 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 21 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 20 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 19 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 18 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 17 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 16 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 15 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 14 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 13 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 12 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 11 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 10 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 9 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 8 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 7 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 6 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 5 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 4 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 3 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 2 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 2 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 3 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 4 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 5 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 6 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 7 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 8 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 9 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 10 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 11 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 12 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 13 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 14 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 15 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 16 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 17 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 18 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 19 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 20 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 21 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 22 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 23 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 24 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 25 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 26 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 27 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 28 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 29 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 30 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 31 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 32 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 33 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 34 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 35 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 36 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 37 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 38 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 39 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 40 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 41 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 42 points: <1%
← ATL wins byPHI wins by →
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 5 or more42%
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 10 or more29%
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 15 or more17%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

237.1 expected
187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 227.567%
Total over 237.548%
Total over 247.530%
Total from 228 to 24738%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Atlanta Hawks
GNickeil Alexander-Walkerstarted
GDyson Danielsstarted
FOnyeka Okongwustarted
FJalen Johnsonstarted
FZaccharie Risacherstarted
Philadelphia 76ers
GKelly Oubre Jr.started
GTyrese Maxeystarted
GVJ Edgecombestarted
FDominick Barlowstarted
CAndre Drummondstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
ATL·PHI
Feb 11 at CHA
last game
Feb 11 vs NY
7 days
days of rest
7 days
no
back-to-back
no
0
games in last 7 days
0
3rd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 19, 5:00 PM ET
Atlanta Hawks
ATLCaleb Houstan · g league - on assignmentOut
ATLJonathan Kuminga · left knee; bone bruiseOut
ATLRayJ Dennis · g league - two-wayOut
Philadelphia 76ers
PHIJoel Embiid · right knee; injury management; right shin sorenessOut
PHIJohni Broome · g league - on assignmentOut
PHIMarJon Beauchamp · g league - two-wayOut
PHIPaul George · league suspensionOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 54+ games
ATL·PHI
−0.10
rating (0 = average)
−0.16
117.3
points / game
116.2
118.6
points allowed / game
115.9
26−30
season record
30−24
10−15
home record
15−14
16−15
away record
15−10
L3
streak
L2
5−5
last 10
6−4
47.2
FG%
46.1
36.8
3P%
35.1
42.2
rebounds / game
43.3
30.5
assists / game
24.7
14.3
turnovers / game
13.9
51.5
points in paint / game
48.4

Rating Trend

ATL · PHI · 107 days
Atlanta HawksPhiladelphia 76ers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · PHI 3−7
Dec 14, 2025at ATLATL 120 − 117
Nov 30, 2025at PHIATL 142 − 134
Apr 11, 2025at PHIATL 124 − 110
Mar 23, 2025at ATLATL 132 − 119
Mar 10, 2025at ATLATL 132 − 123
Feb 9, 2024at PHIATL 127 − 121
Jan 10, 2024at ATLATL 139 − 132
Dec 8, 2023at PHIPHI 125 − 114
Nov 17, 2023at ATLPHI 126 − 116
Apr 7, 2023at ATLPHI 136 − 131

ATL · Last 10

5−5 · streak L3
Feb 11at CHA107 − 110L
Feb 9at MIN116 − 138L
Feb 7vs CHA119 − 126L
Feb 5vs UTAH121 − 119W
Feb 3at MIA127 − 115W
Jan 31at IND124 − 129L
Jan 29vs HOU86 − 104L
Jan 28at BOS117 − 106W
Jan 26vs IND132 − 116W
Jan 23vs PHX110 − 103W

PHI · Last 10

6−4 · streak L2
Feb 11vs NY89 − 138L
Feb 9at POR118 − 135L
Feb 7at PHX109 − 103W
Feb 5at LAL115 − 119L
Feb 3at GS113 − 94W
Feb 2at LAC128 − 113W
Jan 31vs NO124 − 114W
Jan 29vs SAC113 − 111W
Jan 27vs MIL139 − 122W
Jan 26at CHA93 − 130L