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Kings at Pelicans

NBA · Monday, Feb 9 · 7:00 PM CT · Smoothie King Center · Final SAC 94 – NO 120
← NBA / Feb 9

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
SAC2620212794
NO31303128120
Team box
SAC·NO
40-99
field goals
47-87
4-31
3-pointers
16-39
10-15
free throws
10-16
50
rebounds
39
19
assists
30
17
turnovers
13
70
points in paint
60
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Maxime RaynaudSAC3821191
Trey Murphy IIINO292127
Jeremiah FearsNO302043
Zion WilliamsonNO271856
Russell WestbrookSAC211722
Karlo MatkovicNO191291

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NO +32
SAC +32
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: NO 32 · SAC 5lead changes: 3

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was SAC 48%, NO 52% · Updated Feb 9

Expected margin
NO by 1.0
Expected score
NO 117.2 – 116.2 SAC
Expected total
233.4
KingsThe matchupPelicans
+109Our fair odds−109
116.2Expected points117.2
−0.58Power rating−0.72
110.8Points / game114.6
120.6Allowed / game120.9
46.6FG%46.1
34.93P%34.3
41.1Rebounds / game43.6
12−42Season record14−40
0−10Last 104−6
De'Andre Hunter · Domantas Sabonis
Isaiah Stevens · Keegan Murray
Malik MonkOutDejounte Murray · Hunter Dickinson
Trey Alexander

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
SAC chance · NO chance
Our model fair48.0%52.0%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
SACSacramento Kings+10948%————
NONew Orleans Pelicans−10952%————
SpreadNO by 1.0
SACSacramento Kings+1our margin————
NONew Orleans Pelicans−1our margin————
Totalwe expect 233.4
Over233.4our total————
Under233.4our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New Orleans Pelicans by 1.0 expected
Sacramento Kings by 42 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 41 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 40 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 39 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 38 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 37 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 36 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 35 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 34 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 33 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 32 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 31 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 30 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 29 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 28 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 27 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 26 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 25 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 24 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 23 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 22 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 21 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 20 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 19 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 18 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 17 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 16 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 15 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 14 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 13 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 12 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 11 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 10 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 9 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 8 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 7 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 6 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 5 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 4 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 3 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 2 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 1 point: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 1 point: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 2 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 3 points: 3%New Orleans Pelicans by 4 points: 3%New Orleans Pelicans by 5 points: 3%New Orleans Pelicans by 6 points: 3%New Orleans Pelicans by 7 points: 3%New Orleans Pelicans by 8 points: 3%New Orleans Pelicans by 9 points: 3%New Orleans Pelicans by 10 points: 3%New Orleans Pelicans by 11 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 12 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 13 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 14 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 15 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 16 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 17 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 18 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 19 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 20 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 21 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 22 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 23 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 24 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 25 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 26 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 27 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 28 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 29 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 30 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 31 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 32 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 33 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 34 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 35 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 36 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 37 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 38 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 39 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 40 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 41 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 42 points: <1%
← SAC wins byNO wins by →
New Orleans Pelicans wins by 5 or more43%
New Orleans Pelicans wins by 10 or more29%
New Orleans Pelicans wins by 15 or more18%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

233.4 expected
183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 223.568%
Total over 233.549%
Total over 243.530%
Total from 224 to 24338%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Sacramento Kings
GRussell Westbrookstarted
GDeMar DeRozanstarted
GNique Cliffordstarted
FPrecious Achiuwastarted
CMaxime Raynaudstarted
New Orleans Pelicans
GSaddiq Beystarted
FHerbert Jonesstarted
FZion Williamsonstarted
FTrey Murphy IIIstarted
CDerik Queenstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
SAC·NO
Feb 7 vs CLE
last game
Feb 6 at MIN
1 day
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 9, 5:00 PM ET
Sacramento Kings
SACDe'Andre Hunter · left eye; iritisOut
SACDomantas Sabonis · lower back; inflammationOut
SACIsaiah Stevens · g league - two-wayOut
SACKeegan Murray · left ankle; sprainOut
SACMalik Monk · n/a; illnessOut
SACZach LaVine · right 5th finger; sorenessOut
New Orleans Pelicans
NODejounte Murray · right achilles; ruptureOut
NOHunter Dickinson · g league - two-wayOut
NOTrey Alexander · g league - two-wayOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 54+ games
SAC·NO
−0.58
rating (0 = average)
−0.72
110.8
points / game
114.6
120.6
points allowed / game
120.9
12−42
season record
14−40
9−19
home record
8−19
3−23
away record
6−21
L12
streak
W1
0−10
last 10
4−6
46.6
FG%
46.1
34.9
3P%
34.3
41.1
rebounds / game
43.6
25.1
assists / game
24.9
14.5
turnovers / game
14.1
48.3
points in paint / game
57.1

Rating Trend

SAC · NO · 103 days
Sacramento KingsNew Orleans Pelicans
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · NO 6−4
Feb 13, 2025at NONO 140 − 133
Feb 12, 2025at NOSAC 119 − 111
Feb 8, 2025at SACSAC 123 − 118
Dec 12, 2024at NOSAC 111 − 109
Apr 11, 2024at SACNO 135 − 123
Jan 7, 2024at SACNO 133 − 100
Dec 4, 2023at SACNO 127 − 117
Nov 22, 2023at NONO 117 − 112
Nov 20, 2023at NONO 129 − 93
Apr 4, 2023at NOSAC 121 − 103

SAC · Last 10

0−10 · streak L10
Feb 7vs CLE126 − 132L
Feb 6vs LAC111 − 114L
Feb 4vs MEM125 − 129L
Feb 1at WSH112 − 116L
Jan 30at BOS93 − 112L
Jan 29at PHI111 − 113L
Jan 27at NY87 − 103L
Jan 25at DET116 − 139L
Jan 23at CLE118 − 123L
Jan 21vs TOR109 − 122L

NO · Last 10

4−6 · streak W1
Feb 6at MIN119 − 115W
Feb 4at MIL137 − 141L
Feb 2at CHA95 − 102L
Jan 31at PHI114 − 124L
Jan 30vs MEM114 − 106W
Jan 27at OKC95 − 104L
Jan 25at SA104 − 95W
Jan 23at MEM133 − 127W
Jan 21vs DET104 − 112L
Jan 18at HOU110 − 119L