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Cavaliers at Kings

NBA · Saturday, Feb 7 · 9:00 PM CT · Golden 1 Center · Final CLE 132 – SAC 126
← NBA / Feb 7

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CLE25323639132
SAC31244130126
Team box
CLE·SAC
46-88
field goals
48-94
11-35
3-pointers
16-37
29-32
free throws
14-20
38
rebounds
42
30
assists
30
12
turnovers
15
62
points in paint
54
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Donovan MitchellCLE353524
Nique CliffordSAC403044
Jarrett AllenCLE3329101
James HardenCLE322328
Russell WestbrookSAC322159
Devin CarterSAC271844

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
SAC +11
CLE +11
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: SAC 11 · CLE 9lead changes: 17

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CLE 70%, SAC 30% · Updated Feb 7

Expected margin
CLE by 9.1
Expected score
CLE 122.6 – 113.5 SAC
Expected total
236.1
CavaliersThe matchupKings
−232Our fair odds+232
122.6Expected points113.5
+0.50Power rating−0.58
119.4Points / game110.5
115.8Allowed / game120.4
47.6FG%46.5
36.13P%34.7
44.7Rebounds / game41.1
31−21Season record12−41
8−2Last 100−10
Emanuel Miller · Evan Mobley
Max StrusOutDe'Andre Hunter · Domantas Sabonis
Keegan Murray · Zach LaVine

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CLE chance · SAC chance
Our model fair69.9%30.1%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CLECleveland Cavaliers−23270%————
SACSacramento Kings+23230%————
SpreadCLE by 9.1
CLECleveland Cavaliers−9.1our margin————
SACSacramento Kings+9.1our margin————
Totalwe expect 236.1
Over236.1our total————
Under236.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Cleveland Cavaliers by 9.1 expected
Cleveland Cavaliers by 49 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 48 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 47 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 46 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 45 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 44 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 43 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 42 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 41 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 40 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 39 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 38 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 37 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 36 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 35 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 34 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 33 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 32 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 31 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 30 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 29 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 28 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 27 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 26 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 25 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 24 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 23 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 22 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 21 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 20 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 19 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 18 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 17 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 16 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 15 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 14 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 13 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 12 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 11 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 10 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 9 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 8 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 7 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 6 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 5 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 4 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 3 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 2 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 1 point: 2%Sacramento Kings by 1 point: 2%Sacramento Kings by 2 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 3 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 4 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 5 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 6 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 7 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 8 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 9 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 10 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 11 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 12 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 13 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 14 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 15 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 16 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 17 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 18 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 19 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 20 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 21 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 22 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 23 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 24 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 25 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 26 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 27 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 28 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 29 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 30 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 31 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 32 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 33 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 34 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 35 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 36 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 37 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 38 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 39 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 40 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 41 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 42 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 43 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 44 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 45 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 46 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 47 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 48 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 49 points: <1%
← CLE wins bySAC wins by →
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 5 or more66%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 10 or more49%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 15 or more33%
Within 5 points either way20%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

236.1 expected
186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 226.567%
Total over 236.548%
Total over 246.530%
Total from 227 to 24638%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Cleveland Cavaliers
GJames Hardenstarted
GDonovan Mitchellstarted
GSam Merrillstarted
GJaylon Tysonstarted
CJarrett Allenstarted
Sacramento Kings
GRussell Westbrookstarted
GDeMar DeRozanstarted
GDaeqwon Plowdenstarted
GNique Cliffordstarted
CMaxime Raynaudstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CLE·SAC
Feb 4 at LAC
last game
Feb 6 vs LAC
2 days
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
2
games in last 7 days
3
4th straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 7, 5:00 PM ET
Cleveland Cavaliers
CLEEmanuel Miller · g league - two-wayOut
CLEEvan Mobley · left calf; strainOut
CLEMax Strus · left foot; surgery - jones fractureOut
CLEDean Wade · left ankle; sprainDoubtful
CLEJames Harden · trade pendingQuestionable
Sacramento Kings
SACDe'Andre Hunter · left eye; iritisOut
SACDomantas Sabonis · lower back; sorenessOut
SACKeegan Murray · left ankle; sprainOut
SACZach LaVine · right 5th finger; sorenessOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 52+ games
CLE·SAC
+0.50
rating (0 = average)
−0.58
119.4
points / game
110.5
115.8
points allowed / game
120.4
31−21
season record
12−41
17−11
home record
9−18
14−10
away record
3−23
W2
streak
L11
8−2
last 10
0−10
47.6
FG%
46.5
36.1
3P%
34.7
44.7
rebounds / game
41.1
28.6
assists / game
25.0
14.4
turnovers / game
14.5
50.9
points in paint / game
48.2

Rating Trend

CLE · SAC · 101 days
Cleveland CavaliersSacramento Kings
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · SAC 5−4
Jan 23at CLECLE 123 − 118
Apr 6, 2025at CLESAC 120 − 113
Mar 19, 2025at SACSAC 123 − 119
Feb 5, 2024at CLECLE 136 − 110
Nov 13, 2023at SACSAC 132 − 120
Dec 9, 2022at CLESAC 106 − 95
Nov 9, 2022at SACSAC 127 − 120
Jan 10, 2022at SACCLE 109 − 108
Dec 11, 2021at CLECLE 117 − 103

CLE · Last 10

8−2 · streak W2
Feb 4at LAC124 − 91W
Feb 1at POR130 − 111W
Jan 30at PHX113 − 126L
Jan 28vs LAL129 − 99W
Jan 26vs ORL114 − 98W
Jan 24at ORL119 − 105W
Jan 23vs SAC123 − 118W
Jan 21at CHA94 − 87W
Jan 19vs OKC104 − 136L
Jan 16at PHI117 − 115W

SAC · Last 10

0−10 · streak L10
Feb 6vs LAC111 − 114L
Feb 4vs MEM125 − 129L
Feb 1at WSH112 − 116L
Jan 30at BOS93 − 112L
Jan 29at PHI111 − 113L
Jan 27at NY87 − 103L
Jan 25at DET116 − 139L
Jan 23at CLE118 − 123L
Jan 21vs TOR109 − 122L
Jan 20vs MIA117 − 130L