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Clippers at Kings

NBA · Friday, Feb 6 · 9:00 PM CT · Golden 1 Center · Final LAC 114 – SAC 111
← NBA / Feb 6

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
LAC17313135114
SAC27222834111
Team box
LAC·SAC
37-71
field goals
41-92
9-21
3-pointers
10-37
31-36
free throws
19-22
40
rebounds
42
22
assists
22
16
turnovers
11
42
points in paint
52
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Kawhi LeonardLAC363197
John CollinsLAC342271
Malik MonkSAC221822
Nique CliffordSAC331622
Brook LopezLAC361592
Kris DunnLAC331515

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
SAC +12
LAC +12
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: SAC 10 · LAC 12lead changes: 11

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was LAC 63%, SAC 37% · Updated Feb 6

Expected margin
LAC by 5.2
Expected score
LAC 115.6 – 110.4 SAC
Expected total
226.0
ClippersThe matchupKings
−169Our fair odds+169
115.6Expected points110.4
+0.18Power rating−0.58
112.3Points / game110.5
113.1Allowed / game120.5
47.9FG%46.6
36.23P%34.8
40.8Rebounds / game41.1
23−27Season record12−40
6−4Last 100−10
Bennedict Mathurin · Bradley Beal
Darius Garland · Isaiah JacksonOutDomantas Sabonis · Isaiah Stevens
Keegan Murray

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LAC chance · SAC chance
Our model fair62.8%37.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
LACLA Clippers−16963%————
SACSacramento Kings+16937%————
SpreadLAC by 5.2
LACLA Clippers−5.2our margin————
SACSacramento Kings+5.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 226.0
Over226.0our total————
Under226.0our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

LA Clippers by 5.2 expected
LA Clippers by 46 points: <1%LA Clippers by 45 points: <1%LA Clippers by 44 points: <1%LA Clippers by 43 points: <1%LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 36 points: <1%LA Clippers by 35 points: <1%LA Clippers by 34 points: <1%LA Clippers by 33 points: 1%LA Clippers by 32 points: 1%LA Clippers by 31 points: 1%LA Clippers by 30 points: 1%LA Clippers by 29 points: 1%LA Clippers by 28 points: 1%LA Clippers by 27 points: 1%LA Clippers by 26 points: 1%LA Clippers by 25 points: 1%LA Clippers by 24 points: 1%LA Clippers by 23 points: 1%LA Clippers by 22 points: 1%LA Clippers by 21 points: 1%LA Clippers by 20 points: 1%LA Clippers by 19 points: 2%LA Clippers by 18 points: 2%LA Clippers by 17 points: 2%LA Clippers by 16 points: 2%LA Clippers by 15 points: 2%LA Clippers by 14 points: 2%LA Clippers by 13 points: 3%LA Clippers by 12 points: 3%LA Clippers by 11 points: 3%LA Clippers by 10 points: 3%LA Clippers by 9 points: 3%LA Clippers by 8 points: 3%LA Clippers by 7 points: 3%LA Clippers by 6 points: 3%LA Clippers by 5 points: 3%LA Clippers by 4 points: 3%LA Clippers by 3 points: 3%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%Sacramento Kings by 1 point: 2%Sacramento Kings by 2 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 3 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 4 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 5 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 6 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 7 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 8 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 9 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 10 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 11 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 12 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 13 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 14 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 15 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 16 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 17 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 18 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 19 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 20 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 21 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 22 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 23 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 24 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 25 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 26 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 27 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 28 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 29 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 30 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 31 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 32 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 33 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 34 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 35 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 36 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 37 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 38 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 39 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 40 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 41 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 42 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 43 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 44 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 45 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 46 points: <1%
← LAC wins bySAC wins by →
LA Clippers wins by 5 or more55%
LA Clippers wins by 10 or more39%
LA Clippers wins by 15 or more25%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

226.0 expected
177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 216.568%
Total over 226.548%
Total over 236.529%
Total from 217 to 23639%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
LA Clippers
GKris Dunnstarted
FKawhi Leonardstarted
FJohn Collinsstarted
FDerrick Jones Jr.started
CBrook Lopezstarted
Sacramento Kings
GRussell Westbrookstarted
GDeMar DeRozanstarted
GZach LaVinestarted
FDe'Andre Hunterstarted
CMaxime Raynaudstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LAC·SAC
Feb 4 vs CLE
last game
Feb 4 vs MEM
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 6, 5:00 PM ET
LA Clippers
LACBennedict Mathurin · trade pendingOut
LACBradley Beal · left hip; fractureOut
LACDarius Garland · trade pendingOut
LACIsaiah Jackson · trade pendingOut
Sacramento Kings
SACDomantas Sabonis · lower back; sorenessOut
SACIsaiah Stevens · g league - two-wayOut
SACKeegan Murray · left ankle; sprainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 50+ games
LAC·SAC
+0.18
rating (0 = average)
−0.58
112.3
points / game
110.5
113.1
points allowed / game
120.5
23−27
season record
12−40
13−11
home record
9−17
10−16
away record
3−23
L2
streak
L10
6−4
last 10
0−10
47.9
FG%
46.6
36.2
3P%
34.8
40.8
rebounds / game
41.1
23.6
assists / game
25.0
14.9
turnovers / game
14.6
47.2
points in paint / game
48.1

Rating Trend

LAC · SAC · 100 days
LA ClippersSacramento Kings
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · SAC 3−7
Dec 30, 2025at LACLAC 131 − 90
Apr 11, 2025at SACLAC 101 − 100
Mar 9, 2025at LACLAC 111 − 110
Nov 22, 2024at LACLAC 104 − 88
Nov 8, 2024at SACLAC 107 − 98
Apr 2, 2024at SACSAC 109 − 95
Feb 25, 2024at LACSAC 123 − 107
Dec 12, 2023at LACLAC 119 − 99
Nov 29, 2023at SACLAC 131 − 117
Mar 3, 2023at SACSAC 128 − 127

LAC · Last 10

6−4 · streak L2
Feb 4vs CLE91 − 124L
Feb 2vs PHI113 − 128L
Feb 1at PHX117 − 93W
Jan 30at DEN109 − 122L
Jan 27at UTAH115 − 103W
Jan 25vs BKN126 − 89W
Jan 22vs LAL112 − 104W
Jan 20at CHI110 − 138L
Jan 19at WSH110 − 106W
Jan 16at TOR121 − 117W

SAC · Last 10

0−10 · streak L10
Feb 4vs MEM125 − 129L
Feb 1at WSH112 − 116L
Jan 30at BOS93 − 112L
Jan 29at PHI111 − 113L
Jan 27at NY87 − 103L
Jan 25at DET116 − 139L
Jan 23at CLE118 − 123L
Jan 21vs TOR109 − 122L
Jan 20vs MIA117 − 130L
Jan 18vs POR110 − 117L