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Cavaliers at Clippers

NBA · Wednesday, Feb 4 · 9:30 PM CT · Intuit Dome · Final CLE 124 – LAC 91
← NBA / Feb 4

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CLE36263230124
LAC1824262391
Team box
CLE·LAC
50-98
field goals
37-80
16-41
3-pointers
6-28
8-13
free throws
11-12
44
rebounds
37
30
assists
20
9
turnovers
24
60
points in paint
54
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Donovan MitchellCLE302959
Kawhi LeonardLAC272574
John CollinsLAC271970
Jaylon TysonCLE251741
Dennis SchroderCLE191126
Sam MerrillCLE211110

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAC +35
CLE +35
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: LAC 0 · CLE 35lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CLE 52%, LAC 48% · Updated Feb 4

Expected margin
CLE by 1.1
Expected score
CLE 114.8 – 113.7 LAC
Expected total
228.5
CavaliersThe matchupClippers
−110Our fair odds+110
114.8Expected points113.7
+0.50Power rating+0.18
119.3Points / game112.7
116.2Allowed / game112.9
47.5FG%48.0
36.03P%36.6
44.7Rebounds / game40.9
30−21Season record23−26
8−2Last 107−3
Darius Garland · Emanuel Miller
Evan Mobley · Max StrusOutBradley Beal · Chris Paul
Ivica Zubac · James Harden
TyTy Washington Jr.

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CLE chance · LAC chance
Our model fair52.5%47.5%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CLECleveland Cavaliers−11052%————
LACLA Clippers+11048%————
SpreadCLE by 1.1
CLECleveland Cavaliers−1.1our margin————
LACLA Clippers+1.1our margin————
Totalwe expect 228.5
Over228.5our total————
Under228.5our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Cleveland Cavaliers by 1.1 expected
Cleveland Cavaliers by 41 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 40 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 39 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 38 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 37 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 36 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 35 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 34 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 33 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 32 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 31 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 30 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 29 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 28 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 27 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 26 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 25 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 24 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 23 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 22 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 21 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 20 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 19 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 18 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 17 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 16 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 15 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 14 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 13 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 12 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 11 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 10 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 9 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 8 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 7 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 6 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 5 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 4 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 3 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 2 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 3 points: 2%LA Clippers by 4 points: 3%LA Clippers by 5 points: 3%LA Clippers by 6 points: 3%LA Clippers by 7 points: 3%LA Clippers by 8 points: 3%LA Clippers by 9 points: 2%LA Clippers by 10 points: 2%LA Clippers by 11 points: 2%LA Clippers by 12 points: 2%LA Clippers by 13 points: 2%LA Clippers by 14 points: 2%LA Clippers by 15 points: 2%LA Clippers by 16 points: 1%LA Clippers by 17 points: 1%LA Clippers by 18 points: 1%LA Clippers by 19 points: 1%LA Clippers by 20 points: 1%LA Clippers by 21 points: 1%LA Clippers by 22 points: 1%LA Clippers by 23 points: 1%LA Clippers by 24 points: 1%LA Clippers by 25 points: 1%LA Clippers by 26 points: <1%LA Clippers by 27 points: <1%LA Clippers by 28 points: <1%LA Clippers by 29 points: <1%LA Clippers by 30 points: <1%LA Clippers by 31 points: <1%LA Clippers by 32 points: <1%LA Clippers by 33 points: <1%LA Clippers by 34 points: <1%LA Clippers by 35 points: <1%LA Clippers by 36 points: <1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%
← CLE wins byLAC wins by →
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 5 or more43%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 10 or more29%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 15 or more18%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

228.5 expected
179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 218.569%
Total over 228.549%
Total over 238.530%
Total from 219 to 23839%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Cleveland Cavaliers
GDonovan Mitchellstarted
GSam Merrillstarted
GJaylon Tysonstarted
FDean Wadestarted
CJarrett Allenstarted
LA Clippers
GKris Dunnstarted
GKobe Sandersstarted
FKawhi Leonardstarted
FJohn Collinsstarted
CBrook Lopezstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CLE·LAC
Feb 1 at POR
last game
Feb 2 vs PHI
2 days
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
3rd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 4, 5:00 PM ET
Cleveland Cavaliers
CLEDarius Garland · right great toe; sprainOut
CLEEmanuel Miller · g league - two-wayOut
CLEEvan Mobley · left calf; strainOut
CLEMax Strus · left foot; surgery - jones fractureOut
LA Clippers
LACBradley Beal · left hip; fractureOut
LACChris Paul · not with teamOut
LACIvica Zubac · personal reasonsOut
LACJames Harden · personal reasonsOut
LACTyTy Washington Jr. · g league - two-wayOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 49+ games
CLE·LAC
+0.50
rating (0 = average)
+0.18
119.3
points / game
112.7
116.2
points allowed / game
112.9
30−21
season record
23−26
17−11
home record
13−10
13−10
away record
10−16
W1
streak
L1
8−2
last 10
7−3
47.5
FG%
48.0
36.0
3P%
36.6
44.7
rebounds / game
40.9
28.6
assists / game
23.6
14.5
turnovers / game
14.8
50.7
points in paint / game
47.1

Rating Trend

CLE · LAC · 98 days
Cleveland CavaliersLA Clippers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · LAC 3−6
Nov 23, 2025at CLECLE 120 − 105
Mar 30, 2025at CLECLE 127 − 122
Mar 18, 2025at LACLAC 132 − 119
Apr 7, 2024at LACLAC 120 − 118
Jan 29, 2024at CLECLE 118 − 108
Jan 29, 2023at CLECLE 122 − 99
Nov 7, 2022at LACLAC 119 − 117
Mar 14, 2022at CLECLE 120 − 111
Oct 27, 2021at LACCLE 92 − 79

CLE · Last 10

8−2 · streak W1
Feb 1at POR130 − 111W
Jan 30at PHX113 − 126L
Jan 28vs LAL129 − 99W
Jan 26vs ORL114 − 98W
Jan 24at ORL119 − 105W
Jan 23vs SAC123 − 118W
Jan 21at CHA94 − 87W
Jan 19vs OKC104 − 136L
Jan 16at PHI117 − 115W
Jan 14at PHI133 − 107W

LAC · Last 10

7−3 · streak L1
Feb 2vs PHI113 − 128L
Feb 1at PHX117 − 93W
Jan 30at DEN109 − 122L
Jan 27at UTAH115 − 103W
Jan 25vs BKN126 − 89W
Jan 22vs LAL112 − 104W
Jan 20at CHI110 − 138L
Jan 19at WSH110 − 106W
Jan 16at TOR121 − 117W
Jan 14vs WSH119 − 105W