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Kings at Jazz

NBA · Wednesday, Feb 11 · 8:00 PM CT · Delta Center · Final SAC 93 – UTAH 121
← NBA / Feb 11

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
SAC2024222793
UTAH39322921121
Team box
SAC·UTAH
31-90
field goals
47-86
7-33
3-pointers
15-37
24-29
free throws
12-13
42
rebounds
52
24
assists
34
13
turnovers
18
42
points in paint
58
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jaren Jackson Jr.UTAH222342
DeMar DeRozanSAC292031
Lauri MarkkanenUTAH211973
Devin CarterSAC301954
Brice SensabaughUTAH241920
Doug McDermottSAC191400

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
UTAH +36
SAC +36
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: UTAH 36 · SAC 2lead changes: 5

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was SAC 50%, UTAH 50% · Updated Feb 11

Expected margin
SAC by 0.8
Expected score
SAC 121.9 – 121.0 UTAH
Expected total
242.9
KingsThe matchupJazz
+102Our fair odds−102
121.9Expected points121.0
−0.64Power rating−0.83
110.5Points / game118.2
120.6Allowed / game126.4
46.5FG%46.8
34.53P%34.9
41.3Rebounds / game44.2
12−43Season record17−37
0−10Last 102−8
De'Andre Hunter · Domantas Sabonis
Keegan Murray · Malik Monk
Russell WestbrookOutKeyonte George · Walker Kessler

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
SAC chance · UTAH chance
Our model fair49.5%50.5%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
SACSacramento Kings+10250%————
UTAHUtah Jazz−10250%————
SpreadSAC by 0.8
SACSacramento Kings−0.8our margin————
UTAHUtah Jazz+0.8our margin————
Totalwe expect 242.9
Over242.9our total————
Under242.9our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Sacramento Kings by 0.8 expected
Sacramento Kings by 41 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 40 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 39 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 38 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 37 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 36 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 35 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 34 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 33 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 32 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 31 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 30 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 29 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 28 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 27 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 26 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 25 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 24 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 23 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 22 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 21 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 20 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 19 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 18 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 17 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 16 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 15 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 14 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 13 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 12 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 11 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 10 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 9 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 8 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 7 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 6 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 5 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 4 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 3 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 2 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 1 point: 2%Utah Jazz by 1 point: 2%Utah Jazz by 2 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 3 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 4 points: 3%Utah Jazz by 5 points: 3%Utah Jazz by 6 points: 3%Utah Jazz by 7 points: 3%Utah Jazz by 8 points: 3%Utah Jazz by 9 points: 3%Utah Jazz by 10 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 11 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 12 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 13 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 14 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 15 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 16 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 17 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 18 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 19 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 20 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 21 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 22 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 23 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 24 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 25 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 26 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 27 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 28 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 29 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 30 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 31 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 32 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 33 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 34 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 35 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 36 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 37 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 38 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 39 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 40 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 41 points: <1%
← SAC wins byUTAH wins by →
Sacramento Kings wins by 5 or more42%
Sacramento Kings wins by 10 or more28%
Sacramento Kings wins by 15 or more18%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

242.9 expected
192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: <1%205 points: <1%206 points: <1%207 points: <1%208 points: <1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 1%222 points: 1%223 points: 1%224 points: 1%225 points: 1%226 points: 1%227 points: 1%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 2%252 points: 2%253 points: 2%254 points: 2%255 points: 2%256 points: 2%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: 1%271 points: 1%272 points: 1%273 points: 1%274 points: 1%275 points: 1%276 points: 1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%297 points: <1%298 points: <1%299 points: <1%300 points: <1%301 points: <1%302 points: <1%303 points: <1%304 points: <1%305 points: <1%306 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 232.568%
Total over 242.549%
Total over 252.531%
Total from 233 to 25237%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Sacramento Kings
GDeMar DeRozanstarted
GDevin Carterstarted
GNique Cliffordstarted
FPrecious Achiuwastarted
CMaxime Raynaudstarted
Utah Jazz
GIsaiah Collierstarted
GAce Baileystarted
FLauri Markkanenstarted
FJaren Jackson Jr.started
CJusuf Nurkicstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
SAC·UTAH
Feb 9 at NO
last game
Feb 9 at MIA
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 11, 5:00 PM ET
Sacramento Kings
SACDe'Andre Hunter · left eye; iritisOut
SACDomantas Sabonis · left knee; injury managementOut
SACKeegan Murray · left ankle; sprainOut
SACMalik Monk · n/a; illnessOut
SACRussell Westbrook · left ankle; sorenessOut
SACZach LaVine · right 5th finger; tendon injuryOut
Utah Jazz
UTAHKeyonte George · right ankle; sprainOut
UTAHWalker Kessler · left shoulder; injury recoveryOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 54+ games
SAC·UTAH
−0.64
rating (0 = average)
−0.83
110.5
points / game
118.2
120.6
points allowed / game
126.4
12−43
season record
17−37
9−19
home record
10−17
3−24
away record
7−20
L13
streak
W1
0−10
last 10
2−8
46.5
FG%
46.8
34.5
3P%
34.9
41.3
rebounds / game
44.2
25.0
assists / game
30.0
14.6
turnovers / game
15.8
48.7
points in paint / game
52.2

Rating Trend

SAC · UTAH · 105 days
Sacramento KingsUtah Jazz
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · UTAH 1−9
Nov 28, 2025at UTAHUTAH 128 − 119
Oct 24, 2025at SACSAC 105 − 104
Feb 26, 2025at UTAHSAC 118 − 101
Dec 8, 2024at SACSAC 141 − 97
Nov 16, 2024at SACSAC 121 − 117
Oct 29, 2024at UTAHSAC 113 − 96
Mar 31, 2024at SACSAC 127 − 106
Dec 16, 2023at SACSAC 125 − 104
Oct 25, 2023at UTAHSAC 130 − 114
Mar 25, 2023at SACSAC 121 − 113

SAC · Last 10

0−10 · streak L10
Feb 9at NO94 − 120L
Feb 7vs CLE126 − 132L
Feb 6vs LAC111 − 114L
Feb 4vs MEM125 − 129L
Feb 1at WSH112 − 116L
Jan 30at BOS93 − 112L
Jan 29at PHI111 − 113L
Jan 27at NY87 − 103L
Jan 25at DET116 − 139L
Jan 23at CLE118 − 123L

UTAH · Last 10

2−8 · streak W1
Feb 9at MIA115 − 111W
Feb 7at ORL117 − 120L
Feb 5at ATL119 − 121L
Feb 3at IND131 − 122W
Feb 1at TOR100 − 107L
Jan 30vs BKN99 − 109L
Jan 28vs GS124 − 140L
Jan 27vs LAC103 − 115L
Jan 24vs MIA116 − 147L
Jan 22vs SA109 − 126L