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Jazz at Pacers

NBA · Tuesday, Feb 3 · 6:00 PM CT · Gainbridge Fieldhouse · Final UTAH 131 – IND 122
← NBA / Feb 3

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
UTAH25314035131
IND32243333122
Team box
UTAH·IND
50-88
field goals
45-84
13-29
3-pointers
14-39
18-26
free throws
18-27
38
rebounds
38
38
assists
33
10
turnovers
15
70
points in paint
56
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Lauri MarkkanenUTAH272732
Jarace WalkerIND322464
Quenton JacksonIND172413
Brice SensabaughUTAH302015
Ace BaileyUTAH401941
Svi MykhailiukUTAH201830

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
IND +14
UTAH +14
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: IND 10 · UTAH 14lead changes: 10

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was UTAH 29%, IND 71% · Updated Feb 3

Expected margin
IND by 6.9
Expected score
IND 124.3 – 117.4 UTAH
Expected total
241.7
JazzThe matchupPacers
+246Our fair odds−246
117.4Expected points124.3
−0.90Power rating−0.21
118.0Points / game110.7
127.0Allowed / game118.4
46.7FG%44.6
34.73P%34.9
43.8Rebounds / game42.9
15−35Season record13−37
1−9Last 104−6
Elijah Harkless · Georges Niang
John Tonje · Keyonte George
Oscar TshiebweOut (5 each)Aaron Nesmith · Andrew Nembhard
Bennedict Mathurin · Obi Toppin
Pascal Siakam

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
UTAH chance · IND chance
Our model fair28.9%71.1%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
UTAHUtah Jazz+24629%————
INDIndiana Pacers−24671%————
SpreadIND by 6.9
UTAHUtah Jazz+6.9our margin————
INDIndiana Pacers−6.9our margin————
Totalwe expect 241.7
Over241.7our total————
Under241.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Indiana Pacers by 6.9 expected
Utah Jazz by 49 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 48 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 47 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 46 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 45 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 44 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 43 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 42 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 41 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 40 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 39 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 38 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 37 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 36 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 35 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 34 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 33 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 32 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 31 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 30 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 29 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 28 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 27 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 26 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 25 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 24 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 23 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 22 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 21 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 20 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 19 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 18 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 17 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 16 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 15 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 14 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 13 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 12 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 11 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 10 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 9 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 8 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 7 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 6 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 5 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 4 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 3 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 2 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 1 point: 2%Indiana Pacers by 1 point: 2%Indiana Pacers by 2 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 3 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 4 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 5 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 6 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 7 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 8 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 9 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 10 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 11 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 12 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 13 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 14 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 15 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 16 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 17 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 18 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 19 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 20 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 21 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 22 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 23 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 24 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 25 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 26 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 27 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 28 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 29 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 30 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 31 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 32 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 33 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 34 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 35 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 36 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 37 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 38 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 39 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 40 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 41 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 42 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 43 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 44 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 45 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 46 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 47 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 48 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 49 points: <1%
← UTAH wins byIND wins by →
Indiana Pacers wins by 5 or more59%
Indiana Pacers wins by 10 or more43%
Indiana Pacers wins by 15 or more29%
Within 5 points either way23%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Total range

241.7 expected
191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: <1%205 points: <1%206 points: <1%207 points: <1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 1%222 points: 1%223 points: 1%224 points: 1%225 points: 1%226 points: 1%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 2%252 points: 2%253 points: 2%254 points: 2%255 points: 2%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: 1%271 points: 1%272 points: 1%273 points: 1%274 points: 1%275 points: 1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%297 points: <1%298 points: <1%299 points: <1%300 points: <1%301 points: <1%302 points: <1%303 points: <1%304 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 231.568%
Total over 241.549%
Total over 251.531%
Total from 232 to 25137%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Utah Jazz
GIsaiah Collierstarted
GAce Baileystarted
FLauri Markkanenstarted
FKyle Filipowskistarted
FCody Williamsstarted
Indiana Pacers
GBen Sheppardstarted
GKam Jonesstarted
GJohnny Furphystarted
FJarace Walkerstarted
CJay Huffstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
UTAH·IND
Feb 1 at TOR
last game
Feb 2 vs HOU
1 day
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
4
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
4th straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 3, 5:00 PM ET
Utah Jazz
UTAHElijah Harkless · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHGeorges Niang · left foot; fourth metatarsal stress reactionOut
UTAHJohn Tonje · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHKeyonte George · left ankle; sprainOut
UTAHOscar Tshiebwe · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHWalker Kessler · left shoulder; injury recoveryOut
UTAHKevin Love · n/a; illnessDoubtful
UTAHKyle Anderson · n/a; illnessQuestionable
Indiana Pacers
INDAaron Nesmith · left hand; strainOut
INDAndrew Nembhard · low back; injury managementOut
INDBennedict Mathurin · restOut
INDObi Toppin · right foot; stress fractureOut
INDPascal Siakam · restOut
INDT.J. McConnell · left knee; injury managementOut
INDTyrese Haliburton · right achilles tendon; tearOut
INDMicah Potter · left hip; contusionQuestionable
INDEthan Thompson · g league - two-wayProbable
INDQuenton Jackson · g league - two-wayProbable
and 1 more

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 50+ games
UTAH·IND
−0.90
rating (0 = average)
−0.21
118.0
points / game
110.7
127.0
points allowed / game
118.4
15−35
season record
13−37
10−17
home record
10−17
5−18
away record
3−20
L6
streak
L1
1−9
last 10
4−6
46.7
FG%
44.6
34.7
3P%
34.9
43.8
rebounds / game
42.9
30.1
assists / game
25.8
15.9
turnovers / game
14.3
51.6
points in paint / game
45.1

Rating Trend

UTAH · IND · 97 days
Utah JazzIndiana Pacers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · IND 5−4
Nov 11, 2025at UTAHUTAH 152 − 128
Apr 4, 2025at INDIND 140 − 112
Feb 3, 2025at UTAHIND 112 − 111
Jan 15, 2024at UTAHUTAH 132 − 105
Nov 8, 2023at INDIND 134 − 118
Feb 13, 2023at INDUTAH 123 − 117
Dec 2, 2022at UTAHUTAH 139 − 119
Jan 8, 2022at INDIND 125 − 113
Nov 11, 2021at UTAHIND 111 − 100

UTAH · Last 10

1−9 · streak L6
Feb 1at TOR100 − 107L
Jan 30vs BKN99 − 109L
Jan 28vs GS124 − 140L
Jan 27vs LAC103 − 115L
Jan 24vs MIA116 − 147L
Jan 22vs SA109 − 126L
Jan 20vs MIN127 − 122W
Jan 19at SA110 − 123L
Jan 17at DAL120 − 138L
Jan 15at DAL122 − 144L

IND · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Feb 2vs HOU114 − 118L
Jan 31vs ATL129 − 124W
Jan 28vs CHI113 − 110W
Jan 26at ATL116 − 132L
Jan 23at OKC117 − 114W
Jan 21at BOS104 − 119L
Jan 19at PHI104 − 113L
Jan 17at DET78 − 121L
Jan 16vs NO127 − 119W
Jan 14vs TOR101 − 115L