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Jazz at Magic

NBA · Saturday, Feb 7 · 6:00 PM CT · Kia Center · Final UTAH 117 – ORL 120
← NBA / Feb 7

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
UTAH30352923117
ORL33213333120
Team box
UTAH·ORL
44-92
field goals
36-84
10-31
3-pointers
13-41
19-23
free throws
35-43
54
rebounds
38
30
assists
26
24
turnovers
14
58
points in paint
40
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Lauri MarkkanenUTAH272771
Paolo BancheroORL382378
Jaren Jackson Jr.UTAH252243
Desmond BaneORL362232
Anthony BlackORL382134
Isaiah CollierUTAH3220210

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
ORL +17
UTAH +17
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: ORL 9 · UTAH 17lead changes: 3

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was UTAH 25%, ORL 75% · Updated Feb 7

Expected margin
ORL by 9.6
Expected score
ORL 121.8 – 112.2 UTAH
Expected total
234.1
JazzThe matchupMagic
+298Our fair odds−298
112.2Expected points121.8
−0.90Power rating−0.01
118.3Points / game115.0
126.8Allowed / game115.5
46.9FG%46.4
35.03P%33.6
43.8Rebounds / game43.6
16−36Season record26−24
2−8Last 104−6
Walker KesslerOutColin Castleton · Franz Wagner

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
UTAH chance · ORL chance
Our model fair25.1%74.9%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
UTAHUtah Jazz+29825%————
ORLOrlando Magic−29875%————
SpreadORL by 9.6
UTAHUtah Jazz+9.6our margin————
ORLOrlando Magic−9.6our margin————
Totalwe expect 234.1
Over234.1our total————
Under234.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Orlando Magic by 9.6 expected
Utah Jazz by 52 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 51 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 50 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 49 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 48 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 47 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 46 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 45 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 44 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 43 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 42 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 41 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 40 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 39 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 38 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 37 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 36 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 35 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 34 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 33 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 32 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 31 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 30 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 29 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 28 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 27 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 26 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 25 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 24 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 23 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 22 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 21 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 20 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 19 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 18 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 17 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 16 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 15 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 14 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 13 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 12 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 11 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 10 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 9 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 8 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 7 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 6 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 5 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 4 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 3 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 2 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 1 point: 2%Orlando Magic by 1 point: 2%Orlando Magic by 2 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 3 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 4 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 5 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 6 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 7 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 8 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 9 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 10 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 11 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 12 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 13 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 14 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 15 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 16 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 17 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 18 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 19 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 20 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 21 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 22 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 23 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 24 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 25 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 26 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 27 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 28 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 29 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 30 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 31 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 32 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 33 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 34 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 35 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 36 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 37 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 38 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 39 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 40 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 41 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 42 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 43 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 44 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 45 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 46 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 47 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 48 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 49 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 50 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 51 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 52 points: <1%
← UTAH wins byORL wins by →
Orlando Magic wins by 5 or more65%
Orlando Magic wins by 10 or more50%
Orlando Magic wins by 15 or more35%
Within 5 points either way21%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

234.1 expected
184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 224.568%
Total over 234.548%
Total over 244.529%
Total from 225 to 24438%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Utah Jazz
GKeyonte Georgestarted
GAce Baileystarted
FLauri Markkanenstarted
FJaren Jackson Jr.started
CJusuf Nurkicstarted
Orlando Magic
GDesmond Banestarted
GJalen Suggsstarted
GAnthony Blackstarted
FPaolo Bancherostarted
CWendell Carter Jr.started

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
UTAH·ORL
Feb 5 at ATL
last game
Feb 5 vs BKN
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
4th straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 7, 5:00 PM ET
Utah Jazz
UTAHWalker Kessler · left shoulder; injury recoveryOut
UTAHKevin Love · n/a; illnessProbable
UTAHKeyonte George · left ankle; sprainProbable
Orlando Magic
ORLColin Castleton · g league - two-wayOut
ORLFranz Wagner · left high ankle; sprain injury managementOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 50+ games
UTAH·ORL
−0.90
rating (0 = average)
−0.01
118.3
points / game
115.0
126.8
points allowed / game
115.5
16−36
season record
26−24
10−17
home record
16−9
6−19
away record
10−15
L1
streak
W1
2−8
last 10
4−6
46.9
FG%
46.4
35.0
3P%
33.6
43.8
rebounds / game
43.6
30.1
assists / game
26.3
15.7
turnovers / game
14.0
52.1
points in paint / game
52.8

Rating Trend

UTAH · ORL · 101 days
Utah JazzOrlando Magic
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · ORL 4−5
Dec 20, 2025at UTAHORL 128 − 127
Feb 1, 2025at UTAHUTAH 113 − 99
Jan 5, 2025at ORLUTAH 105 − 92
Feb 29, 2024at ORLORL 115 − 107
Nov 2, 2023at UTAHORL 115 − 113
Mar 9, 2023at ORLUTAH 131 − 124
Jan 13, 2023at UTAHUTAH 112 − 108
Feb 11, 2022at UTAHUTAH 114 − 99
Nov 7, 2021at ORLORL 107 − 100

UTAH · Last 10

2−8 · streak L1
Feb 5at ATL119 − 121L
Feb 3at IND131 − 122W
Feb 1at TOR100 − 107L
Jan 30vs BKN99 − 109L
Jan 28vs GS124 − 140L
Jan 27vs LAC103 − 115L
Jan 24vs MIA116 − 147L
Jan 22vs SA109 − 126L
Jan 20vs MIN127 − 122W
Jan 19at SA110 − 123L

ORL · Last 10

4−6 · streak W1
Feb 5vs BKN118 − 98W
Feb 3at OKC92 − 128L
Feb 1at SA103 − 112L
Jan 30vs TOR130 − 120W
Jan 28at MIA133 − 124W
Jan 26at CLE98 − 114L
Jan 24vs CLE105 − 119L
Jan 22vs CHA97 − 124L
Jan 18at MEM109 − 126L
Jan 15vs MEM118 − 111W