bayesRatings

Nets at Magic

NBA · Thursday, Feb 5 · 6:00 PM CT · Kia Center · Final BKN 98 – ORL 118

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
BKN1921273198
ORL27293230118
Team box
BKN·ORL
34-82
field goals
44-82
12-39
3-pointers
9-32
18-29
free throws
21-27
36
rebounds
42
22
assists
32
19
turnovers
17
40
points in paint
64
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Egor DeminBKN322642
Desmond BaneORL322334
Paolo BancheroORL312254
Nolan TraoreBKN382137
Anthony BlackORL281825
Jalen SuggsORL29151111

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
ORL +26
BKN +26
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: ORL 26 · BKN 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was BKN 27%, ORL 73% · Updated Feb 5

Expected margin
ORL by 10.2
Expected score
ORL 111.4 – 101.2 BKN
Expected total
212.7
NetsThe matchupMagic
+275Our fair odds−275
101.2Expected points111.4
−0.81Power rating−0.01
107.1Points / game115.0
114.9Allowed / game115.9
44.4FG%46.3
34.13P%33.8
40.4Rebounds / game43.7
13−36Season record25−24
1−9Last 104−6
Cam Thomas · Chaney Johnson
E.J. Liddell · Haywood Highsmith
Ochai Agbaji
OutColin Castleton · Franz Wagner

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
BKN chance · ORL chance
Our model fair26.7%73.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
BKNBrooklyn Nets+27527%————
ORLOrlando Magic−27573%————
SpreadORL by 10.2
BKNBrooklyn Nets+10.2our margin————
ORLOrlando Magic−10.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 212.7
Over212.7our total————
Under212.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Orlando Magic by 10.2 expected
Brooklyn Nets by 52 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 51 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 50 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 49 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 48 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 47 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 46 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 45 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 44 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 43 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 42 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 41 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 40 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 39 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 38 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 37 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 36 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 35 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 34 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 33 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 32 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 31 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 30 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 29 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 28 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 27 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 26 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 25 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 24 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 23 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 22 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 21 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 20 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 19 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 18 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 17 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 16 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 15 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 14 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 13 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 12 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 11 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 10 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 9 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 8 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 7 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 6 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 5 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 4 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 3 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 2 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 1 point: 2%Orlando Magic by 1 point: 2%Orlando Magic by 2 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 3 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 4 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 5 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 6 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 7 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 8 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 9 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 10 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 11 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 12 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 13 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 14 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 15 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 16 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 17 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 18 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 19 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 20 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 21 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 22 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 23 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 24 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 25 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 26 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 27 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 28 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 29 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 30 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 31 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 32 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 33 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 34 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 35 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 36 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 37 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 38 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 39 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 40 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 41 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 42 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 43 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 44 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 45 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 46 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 47 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 48 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 49 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 50 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 51 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 52 points: <1%
← BKN wins byORL wins by →
Orlando Magic wins by 5 or more67%
Orlando Magic wins by 10 or more52%
Orlando Magic wins by 15 or more37%
Within 5 points either way21%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

212.7 expected
170 points: <1%171 points: <1%172 points: <1%173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: 1%181 points: 1%182 points: 1%183 points: 1%184 points: 1%185 points: 1%186 points: 1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 2%198 points: 2%199 points: 2%200 points: 2%201 points: 2%202 points: 2%203 points: 2%204 points: 2%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 1%230 points: 1%231 points: 1%232 points: 1%233 points: 1%234 points: 1%235 points: 1%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: <1%245 points: <1%246 points: <1%247 points: <1%248 points: <1%249 points: <1%250 points: <1%251 points: <1%252 points: <1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 202.570%
Total over 212.550%
Total over 222.530%
Total from 203 to 22240%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Brooklyn Nets
GEgor Deminstarted
GNolan Traorestarted
FNoah Clowneystarted
CNic Claxtonstarted
Orlando Magic
GDesmond Banestarted
GJalen Suggsstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
BKN·ORL
Feb 3 vs LAL
last game
Feb 3 at OKC
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 5, 5:00 PM ET
Brooklyn Nets
BKNCam Thomas · personal reasonsOut
BKNChaney Johnson · g league - two-wayOut
BKNE.J. Liddell · g league - two-wayOut
BKNHaywood Highsmith · right knee; surgery, injury recoveryOut
BKNOchai Agbaji · not with teamOut
BKNTyson Etienne · g league - two-wayOut
Orlando Magic
ORLColin Castleton · g league - two-wayOut
ORLFranz Wagner · left high ankle; sprain injury managementOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 49+ games
BKN·ORL
−0.81
rating (0 = average)
−0.01
107.1
points / game
115.0
114.9
points allowed / game
115.9
13−36
season record
25−24
6−18
home record
15−9
7−18
away record
10−15
L2
streak
L2
1−9
last 10
4−6
44.4
FG%
46.3
34.1
3P%
33.8
40.4
rebounds / game
43.7
25.2
assists / game
26.2
15.5
turnovers / game
14.0
42.7
points in paint / game
52.6

Rating Trend

BKN · ORL · 99 days
Brooklyn NetsOrlando Magic
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · ORL 8−2
Jan 7at BKNORL 104 − 103
Nov 14, 2025at ORLORL 105 − 98
Dec 29, 2024at ORLORL 102 − 101
Dec 1, 2024at BKNORL 100 − 92
Nov 29, 2024at BKNORL 123 − 100
Oct 25, 2024at ORLORL 116 − 101
Mar 13, 2024at ORLORL 114 − 106
Feb 27, 2024at ORLORL 108 − 81
Dec 2, 2023at BKNBKN 129 − 101
Nov 14, 2023at BKNBKN 124 − 104

BKN · Last 10

1−9 · streak L2
Feb 3vs LAL109 − 125L
Feb 1at DET77 − 130L
Jan 30at UTAH109 − 99W
Jan 29at DEN103 − 107L
Jan 27at PHX102 − 106L
Jan 25at LAC89 − 126L
Jan 23vs BOS126 − 130L
Jan 21at NY66 − 120L
Jan 19vs PHX117 − 126L
Jan 18at CHI102 − 124L

ORL · Last 10

4−6 · streak L2
Feb 3at OKC92 − 128L
Feb 1at SA103 − 112L
Jan 30vs TOR130 − 120W
Jan 28at MIA133 − 124W
Jan 26at CLE98 − 114L
Jan 24vs CLE105 − 119L
Jan 22vs CHA97 − 124L
Jan 18at MEM109 − 126L
Jan 15vs MEM118 − 111W
Jan 11vs NO128 − 118W