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Trail Blazers at Jazz

NBA · Thursday, Feb 12 · 8:00 PM CT · Delta Center · Final POR 135 – UTAH 119
← NBA / Feb 12

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
POR28334034135
UTAH31322333119
Team box
POR·UTAH
46-90
field goals
42-87
18-46
3-pointers
14-38
25-33
free throws
21-29
52
rebounds
38
26
assists
28
21
turnovers
19
52
points in paint
48
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jrue HolidayPOR333197
Brice SensabaughUTAH362840
Donovan ClinganPOR3123187
Jerami GrantPOR331830
Kyle FilipowskiUTAH301593
Isaiah CollierUTAH361529

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
UTAH +19
POR +19
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: UTAH 6 · POR 19lead changes: 7

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was POR 62%, UTAH 38% · Updated Feb 12

Expected margin
POR by 5.1
Expected score
POR 124.1 – 119.0 UTAH
Expected total
243.1
Trail BlazersThe matchupJazz
−162Our fair odds+162
124.1Expected points119.0
−0.13Power rating−0.83
116.0Points / game118.3
118.3Allowed / game125.8
45.1FG%46.9
34.03P%35.0
45.9Rebounds / game44.4
26−29Season record18−37
3−7Last 103−7
Damian Lillard · Kris Murray
Matisse Thybulle · Shaedon SharpeOut (4 each)Jaren Jackson Jr. · Keyonte George
Lauri Markkanen · Walker Kessler

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
POR chance · UTAH chance
Our model fair61.9%38.1%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PORPortland Trail Blazers−16262%————
UTAHUtah Jazz+16238%————
SpreadPOR by 5.1
PORPortland Trail Blazers−5.1our margin————
UTAHUtah Jazz+5.1our margin————
Totalwe expect 243.1
Over243.1our total————
Under243.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Portland Trail Blazers by 5.1 expected
Portland Trail Blazers by 46 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 45 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 44 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 43 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 42 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 41 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 40 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 39 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 38 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 37 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 36 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 35 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 34 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 33 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 32 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 31 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 30 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 29 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 28 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 27 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 26 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 25 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 24 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 23 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 22 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 21 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 20 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 19 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 18 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 17 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 16 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 15 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 14 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 13 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 12 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 11 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 10 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 9 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 8 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 7 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 6 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 5 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 4 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 3 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 2 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 1 point: 2%Utah Jazz by 1 point: 2%Utah Jazz by 2 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 3 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 4 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 5 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 6 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 7 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 8 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 9 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 10 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 11 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 12 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 13 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 14 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 15 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 16 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 17 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 18 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 19 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 20 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 21 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 22 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 23 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 24 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 25 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 26 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 27 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 28 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 29 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 30 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 31 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 32 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 33 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 34 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 35 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 36 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 37 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 38 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 39 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 40 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 41 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 42 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 43 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 44 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 45 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 46 points: <1%
← POR wins byUTAH wins by →
Portland Trail Blazers wins by 5 or more54%
Portland Trail Blazers wins by 10 or more39%
Portland Trail Blazers wins by 15 or more25%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

243.1 expected
192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: <1%205 points: <1%206 points: <1%207 points: <1%208 points: <1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 1%222 points: 1%223 points: 1%224 points: 1%225 points: 1%226 points: 1%227 points: 1%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 2%252 points: 2%253 points: 2%254 points: 2%255 points: 2%256 points: 2%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: 1%271 points: 1%272 points: 1%273 points: 1%274 points: 1%275 points: 1%276 points: 1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%297 points: <1%298 points: <1%299 points: <1%300 points: <1%301 points: <1%302 points: <1%303 points: <1%304 points: <1%305 points: <1%306 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 233.567%
Total over 243.548%
Total over 253.530%
Total from 234 to 25336%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Portland Trail Blazers
GJrue Holidaystarted
GSidy Cissokostarted
FJerami Grantstarted
FToumani Camarastarted
CDonovan Clinganstarted
Utah Jazz
GIsaiah Collierstarted
GAce Baileystarted
FKyle Filipowskistarted
FCody Williamsstarted
FBrice Sensabaughstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
POR·UTAH
Feb 11 at MIN
last game
Feb 11 vs SAC
0 days
days of rest
0 days
yes
back-to-back
yes
4
games in last 7 days
4
2nd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 12, 5:00 PM ET
Portland Trail Blazers
PORDamian Lillard · left achilles tendon; injury managementOut
PORKris Murray · lumbar; strainOut
PORMatisse Thybulle · right knee; tendinopathyOut
PORShaedon Sharpe · left calf; strainOut
PORDeni Avdija · low back; injury managementQuestionable
PORRobert Williams III · left knee; injury managementQuestionable
Utah Jazz
UTAHJaren Jackson Jr. · left knee; injury managementOut
UTAHKeyonte George · right ankle; sprainOut
UTAHLauri Markkanen · restOut
UTAHWalker Kessler · left shoulder; injury recoveryOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 55+ games
POR·UTAH
−0.13
rating (0 = average)
−0.83
116.0
points / game
118.3
118.3
points allowed / game
125.8
26−29
season record
18−37
16−13
home record
11−17
10−16
away record
7−20
L1
streak
W2
3−7
last 10
3−7
45.1
FG%
46.9
34.0
3P%
35.0
45.9
rebounds / game
44.4
24.7
assists / game
30.1
17.3
turnovers / game
15.8
48.3
points in paint / game
52.3

Rating Trend

POR · UTAH · 106 days
Portland Trail BlazersUtah Jazz
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · UTAH 5−5
Jan 5at PORPOR 137 − 117
Oct 29, 2025at UTAHPOR 136 − 134
Apr 9, 2025at UTAHUTAH 133 − 126
Feb 24, 2025at UTAHPOR 114 − 112
Dec 26, 2024at PORPOR 122 − 120
Dec 6, 2024at PORUTAH 141 − 99
Dec 14, 2023at PORUTAH 122 − 114
Dec 2, 2023at UTAHUTAH 118 − 113
Nov 22, 2023at PORPOR 121 − 105
Nov 14, 2023at UTAHUTAH 115 − 99

POR · Last 10

3−7 · streak L1
Feb 11at MIN109 − 133L
Feb 9vs PHI135 − 118W
Feb 7vs MEM122 − 115W
Feb 6vs MEM135 − 115W
Feb 3vs PHX125 − 130L
Feb 1vs CLE111 − 130L
Jan 30at NY97 − 127L
Jan 27at WSH111 − 115L
Jan 26at BOS94 − 102L
Jan 23vs TOR98 − 110L

UTAH · Last 10

3−7 · streak W2
Feb 11vs SAC121 − 93W
Feb 9at MIA115 − 111W
Feb 7at ORL117 − 120L
Feb 5at ATL119 − 121L
Feb 3at IND131 − 122W
Feb 1at TOR100 − 107L
Jan 30vs BKN99 − 109L
Jan 28vs GS124 − 140L
Jan 27vs LAC103 − 115L
Jan 24vs MIA116 − 147L