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Grizzlies at Trail Blazers

NBA · Friday, Feb 6 · 9:00 PM CT · Moda Center · Final MEM 115 – POR 135
← NBA / Feb 6

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
MEM36282328115
POR25433829135
Team box
MEM·POR
42-88
field goals
49-90
15-41
3-pointers
17-42
16-21
free throws
20-21
37
rebounds
46
28
assists
31
16
turnovers
18
40
points in paint
60
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jerami GrantPOR282322
Jrue HolidayPOR252057
Cam SpencerMEM261805
Toumani CamaraPOR301543
GG JacksonMEM271532
Donovan ClinganPOR2513170

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
POR +30
MEM +30
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: POR 30 · MEM 15lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was MEM 46%, POR 54% · Updated Feb 6

Expected margin
MEM by 0.1
Expected score
MEM 116.8 – 116.7 POR
Expected total
233.4
GrizzliesThe matchupTrail Blazers
+116Our fair odds−116
116.8Expected points116.7
−0.12Power rating−0.19
115.3Points / game115.3
117.0Allowed / game118.1
45.7FG%44.9
34.73P%33.5
45.8Rebounds / game45.7
20−29Season record23−28
3−7Last 104−6
Brandon Clarke · Eric Gordon
Ja Morant · Santi Aldama
Ty JeromeOutDamian Lillard · Kris Murray
Matisse Thybulle

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
MEM chance · POR chance
Our model fair46.3%53.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
MEMMemphis Grizzlies+11646%————
PORPortland Trail Blazers−11654%————
SpreadMEM by 0.1
MEMMemphis Grizzlies−0.1our margin————
PORPortland Trail Blazers+0.1our margin————
Totalwe expect 233.4
Over233.4our total————
Under233.4our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Memphis Grizzlies by 0.1 expected
Memphis Grizzlies by 41 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 40 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 39 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 38 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 37 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 36 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 35 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 34 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 33 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 32 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 31 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 30 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 29 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 28 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 27 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 26 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 25 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 24 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 23 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 22 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 21 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 20 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 19 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 18 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 17 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 16 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 15 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 14 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 13 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 12 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 11 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 10 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 9 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 8 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 7 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 6 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 5 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 4 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 3 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 2 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 1 point: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 1 point: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 2 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 3 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 4 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 5 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 6 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 7 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 8 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 9 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 10 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 11 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 12 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 13 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 14 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 15 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 16 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 17 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 18 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 19 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 20 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 21 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 22 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 23 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 24 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 25 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 26 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 27 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 28 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 29 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 30 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 31 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 32 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 33 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 34 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 35 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 36 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 37 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 38 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 39 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 40 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 41 points: <1%
← MEM wins byPOR wins by →
Memphis Grizzlies wins by 5 or more40%
Memphis Grizzlies wins by 10 or more27%
Memphis Grizzlies wins by 15 or more17%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

233.4 expected
183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 223.568%
Total over 233.549%
Total over 243.530%
Total from 224 to 24338%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Memphis Grizzlies
GScotty Pippen Jr.started
FOlivier-Maxence Prosperstarted
FCedric Cowardstarted
FGG Jacksonstarted
FJaylen Wellsstarted
Portland Trail Blazers
GJrue Holidaystarted
GShaedon Sharpestarted
FJerami Grantstarted
FToumani Camarastarted
CDonovan Clinganstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
MEM·POR
Feb 4 at SAC
last game
Feb 3 vs PHX
1 day
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 6, 5:00 PM ET
Memphis Grizzlies
MEMBrandon Clarke · right calf; strainOut
MEMEric Gordon · not with teamOut
MEMJa Morant · left elbow; ucl sprainOut
MEMSanti Aldama · right knee; injury managementOut
MEMTy Jerome · right calf; injury managementOut
MEMZach Edey · left ankle; stress reactionOut
MEMKyle Anderson · illness; illnessQuestionable
MEMScotty Pippen Jr. · left great toe; surgery recoveryQuestionable
Portland Trail Blazers
PORDamian Lillard · left achilles tendon; injury managementOut
PORKris Murray · lumbar; strainOut
PORMatisse Thybulle · right knee; tendinopathyOut
PORBlake Wesley · right foot; injury managementQuestionable
PORDeni Avdija · low back; strainQuestionable
PORScoot Henderson · left hamstring; tearProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 49+ games
MEM·POR
−0.12
rating (0 = average)
−0.19
115.3
points / game
115.3
117.0
points allowed / game
118.1
20−29
season record
23−28
11−15
home record
13−13
9−14
away record
10−15
W2
streak
L6
3−7
last 10
4−6
45.7
FG%
44.9
34.7
3P%
33.5
45.8
rebounds / game
45.7
29.0
assists / game
24.3
15.3
turnovers / game
17.1
49.6
points in paint / game
48.2

Rating Trend

MEM · POR · 100 days
Memphis GrizzliesPortland Trail Blazers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · POR 5−5
Dec 7, 2025at MEMMEM 119 − 96
Mar 19, 2025at PORPOR 115 − 99
Nov 25, 2024at MEMMEM 123 − 98
Nov 10, 2024at PORMEM 134 − 89
Mar 2, 2024at MEMPOR 107 − 100
Mar 1, 2024at MEMPOR 122 − 92
Nov 5, 2023at PORMEM 112 − 100
Nov 3, 2023at PORPOR 115 − 113
Apr 4, 2023at MEMMEM 119 − 109
Feb 1, 2023at MEMPOR 122 − 112

MEM · Last 10

3−7 · streak W2
Feb 4at SAC129 − 125W
Feb 2vs MIN137 − 128W
Jan 31vs MIN114 − 131L
Jan 30at NO106 − 114L
Jan 28vs CHA97 − 112L
Jan 26at HOU99 − 108L
Jan 23vs NO127 − 133L
Jan 21vs ATL122 − 124L
Jan 18vs ORL126 − 109W
Jan 15at ORL111 − 118L

POR · Last 10

4−6 · streak L6
Feb 3vs PHX125 − 130L
Feb 1vs CLE111 − 130L
Jan 30at NY97 − 127L
Jan 27at WSH111 − 115L
Jan 26at BOS94 − 102L
Jan 23vs TOR98 − 110L
Jan 22vs MIA127 − 110W
Jan 18at SAC117 − 110W
Jan 17vs LAL132 − 116W
Jan 15vs ATL117 − 101W