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Jazz at Grizzlies

NBA · Friday, Feb 20 · 6:00 PM CT · FedExForum · Final UTAH 114 – MEM 123

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
UTAH32352126114
MEM28273236123
Team box
UTAH·MEM
46-93
field goals
45-92
13-34
3-pointers
12-33
9-16
free throws
21-33
49
rebounds
45
28
assists
29
24
turnovers
17
56
points in paint
66
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Isaiah CollierUTAH252425
Olivier-Maxence ProsperMEM302351
Kyle FilipowskiUTAH282064
Ace BaileyUTAH332063
GG JacksonMEM282043
Javon SmallMEM291645

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
MEM +16
UTAH +16
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: MEM 16 · UTAH 14lead changes: 2

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was UTAH 30%, MEM 70% · Updated Feb 20

Expected margin
MEM by 7.5
Expected score
MEM 126.2 – 118.7 UTAH
Expected total
244.9
JazzThe matchupGrizzlies
+231Our fair odds−231
118.7Expected points126.2
−0.81Power rating−0.16
118.3Points / game115.3
125.9Allowed / game117.5
47.0FG%45.9
35.03P%34.9
44.3Rebounds / game45.0
18−38Season record20−33
3−7Last 102−8
Jaren Jackson Jr. · Jusuf Nurkic
Keyonte George · Walker Kessler
OutBrandon Clarke · Cedric Coward
Ja Morant · Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
Santi Aldama

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
UTAH chance · MEM chance
Our model fair30.2%69.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
UTAHUtah Jazz+23130%————
MEMMemphis Grizzlies−23170%————
SpreadMEM by 7.5
UTAHUtah Jazz+7.5our margin————
MEMMemphis Grizzlies−7.5our margin————
Totalwe expect 244.9
Over244.9our total————
Under244.9our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Memphis Grizzlies by 7.5 expected
Utah Jazz by 50 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 49 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 48 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 47 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 46 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 45 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 44 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 43 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 42 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 41 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 40 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 39 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 38 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 37 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 36 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 35 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 34 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 33 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 32 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 31 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 30 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 29 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 28 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 27 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 26 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 25 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 24 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 23 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 22 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 21 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 20 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 19 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 18 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 17 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 16 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 15 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 14 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 13 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 12 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 11 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 10 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 9 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 8 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 7 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 6 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 5 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 4 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 3 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 2 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 1 point: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 1 point: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 2 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 3 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 4 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 5 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 6 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 7 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 8 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 9 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 10 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 11 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 12 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 13 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 14 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 15 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 16 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 17 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 18 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 19 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 20 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 21 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 22 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 23 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 24 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 25 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 26 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 27 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 28 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 29 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 30 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 31 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 32 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 33 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 34 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 35 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 36 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 37 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 38 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 39 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 40 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 41 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 42 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 43 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 44 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 45 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 46 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 47 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 48 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 49 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 50 points: <1%
← UTAH wins byMEM wins by →
Memphis Grizzlies wins by 5 or more60%
Memphis Grizzlies wins by 10 or more45%
Memphis Grizzlies wins by 15 or more30%
Within 5 points either way23%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

244.9 expected
193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: <1%205 points: <1%206 points: <1%207 points: <1%208 points: <1%209 points: <1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 1%222 points: 1%223 points: 1%224 points: 1%225 points: 1%226 points: 1%227 points: 1%228 points: 1%229 points: 1%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 2%252 points: 2%253 points: 2%254 points: 2%255 points: 2%256 points: 2%257 points: 2%258 points: 2%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: 1%271 points: 1%272 points: 1%273 points: 1%274 points: 1%275 points: 1%276 points: 1%277 points: 1%278 points: 1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%297 points: <1%298 points: <1%299 points: <1%300 points: <1%301 points: <1%302 points: <1%303 points: <1%304 points: <1%305 points: <1%306 points: <1%307 points: <1%308 points: <1%309 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 234.568%
Total over 244.549%
Total over 254.531%
Total from 235 to 25436%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Utah Jazz
GJohn Koncharstarted
GAce Baileystarted
Memphis Grizzlies
FGG Jacksonstarted
FJaylen Wellsstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
UTAH·MEM
Feb 12 vs POR
last game
Feb 11 at DEN
7 days
days of rest
8 days
no
back-to-back
no
0
games in last 7 days
0
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 20, 5:00 PM ET
Utah Jazz
UTAHJaren Jackson Jr. · left knee; injuryOut
UTAHJusuf Nurkic · nose; injury managementOut
UTAHKeyonte George · right ankle; sprainOut
UTAHWalker Kessler · recovery left shoulder; injury recoveryOut
UTAHLauri Markkanen · n/a; illnessDoubtful
Memphis Grizzlies
MEMBrandon Clarke · right calf; strainOut
MEMCedric Coward · right knee; hyperextensionOut
MEMJa Morant · left elbow; ucl sprainOut
MEMKentavious Caldwell-Pope · right 5th finger; surgery recoveryOut
MEMSanti Aldama · right knee; injury managementOut
MEMScotty Pippen Jr. · left great toe; injury managementOut
MEMTy Jerome · right calf; injury managementOut
MEMZach Edey · left ankle; stress reactionOut
MEMWalter Clayton Jr. · right calf; contusionDoubtful

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 53+ games
UTAH·MEM
−0.81
rating (0 = average)
−0.16
118.3
points / game
115.3
125.9
points allowed / game
117.5
18−38
season record
20−33
11−18
home record
11−15
7−20
away record
9−18
L1
streak
L4
3−7
last 10
2−8
47.0
FG%
45.9
35.0
3P%
34.9
44.3
rebounds / game
45.0
30.1
assists / game
28.7
15.9
turnovers / game
15.2
52.2
points in paint / game
49.3

Rating Trend

UTAH · MEM · 108 days
Utah JazzMemphis Grizzlies
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · MEM 7−3
Dec 23, 2025at UTAHMEM 137 − 128
Dec 12, 2025at MEMUTAH 130 − 126
Mar 25, 2025at UTAHMEM 140 − 103
Mar 12, 2025at MEMMEM 122 − 115
Jan 25, 2025at MEMMEM 125 − 103
Oct 23, 2024at UTAHMEM 126 − 124
Nov 29, 2023at MEMMEM 105 − 91
Nov 10, 2023at MEMUTAH 127 − 121
Nov 1, 2023at UTAHUTAH 133 − 109
Feb 15, 2023at MEMMEM 117 − 111

UTAH · Last 10

3−7 · streak L1
Feb 12vs POR119 − 135L
Feb 11vs SAC121 − 93W
Feb 9at MIA115 − 111W
Feb 7at ORL117 − 120L
Feb 5at ATL119 − 121L
Feb 3at IND131 − 122W
Feb 1at TOR100 − 107L
Jan 30vs BKN99 − 109L
Jan 28vs GS124 − 140L
Jan 27vs LAC103 − 115L

MEM · Last 10

2−8 · streak L4
Feb 11at DEN116 − 122L
Feb 9at GS113 − 114L
Feb 7at POR115 − 122L
Feb 6at POR115 − 135L
Feb 4at SAC129 − 125W
Feb 2vs MIN137 − 128W
Jan 31vs MIN114 − 131L
Jan 30at NO106 − 114L
Jan 28vs CHA97 − 112L
Jan 26at HOU99 − 108L