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Knicks at Lakers

NBA · Sunday, Mar 8 · 2:30 PM CT · crypto.com Arena · Final NY 97 – LAL 110
← NBA / Mar 8

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
NY2326202897
LAL31233422110
Team box
NY·LAL
35-82
field goals
35-81
8-34
3-pointers
15-44
19-21
free throws
25-30
47
rebounds
42
23
assists
20
19
turnovers
14
46
points in paint
32
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Luka DoncicLAL383584
Karl-Anthony TownsNY3425162
Austin ReavesLAL392545
Jalen BrunsonNY422467
Rui HachimuraLAL371372
OG AnunobyNY381381

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAL +23
NY +23
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: LAL 23 · NY 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was NY 55%, LAL 45% · Updated Mar 8

Expected margin
NY by 2.7
Expected score
NY 114.8 – 112.2 LAL
Expected total
227.0
KnicksThe matchupLakers
−121Our fair odds+121
114.8Expected points112.2
+0.53Power rating+0.17
117.3Points / game116.0
110.7Allowed / game115.3
47.3FG%50.0
37.53P%36.0
46.3Rebounds / game40.9
42−23Season record38−25
7−3Last 106−4
Dillon Jones · Miles McBrideOutAdou Thiero · Bronny James
LeBron James

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NY chance · LAL chance
Our model fair54.7%45.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NYNew York Knicks−12155%————
LALLos Angeles Lakers+12145%————
SpreadNY by 2.7
NYNew York Knicks−2.7our margin————
LALLos Angeles Lakers+2.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 227.0
Over227.0our total————
Under227.0our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New York Knicks by 2.7 expected
New York Knicks by 43 points: <1%New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 38 points: <1%New York Knicks by 37 points: <1%New York Knicks by 36 points: <1%New York Knicks by 35 points: <1%New York Knicks by 34 points: <1%New York Knicks by 33 points: <1%New York Knicks by 32 points: <1%New York Knicks by 31 points: <1%New York Knicks by 30 points: 1%New York Knicks by 29 points: 1%New York Knicks by 28 points: 1%New York Knicks by 27 points: 1%New York Knicks by 26 points: 1%New York Knicks by 25 points: 1%New York Knicks by 24 points: 1%New York Knicks by 23 points: 1%New York Knicks by 22 points: 1%New York Knicks by 21 points: 1%New York Knicks by 20 points: 1%New York Knicks by 19 points: 1%New York Knicks by 18 points: 2%New York Knicks by 17 points: 2%New York Knicks by 16 points: 2%New York Knicks by 15 points: 2%New York Knicks by 14 points: 2%New York Knicks by 13 points: 2%New York Knicks by 12 points: 2%New York Knicks by 11 points: 3%New York Knicks by 10 points: 3%New York Knicks by 9 points: 3%New York Knicks by 8 points: 3%New York Knicks by 7 points: 3%New York Knicks by 6 points: 3%New York Knicks by 5 points: 3%New York Knicks by 4 points: 3%New York Knicks by 3 points: 3%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 1 point: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 2 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 3 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 4 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 5 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 6 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 7 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 8 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 9 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 10 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 11 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 12 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 13 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 14 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 15 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 16 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 17 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 18 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 19 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 20 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 21 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 22 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 23 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 24 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 25 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 26 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 27 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 28 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 29 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 30 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 31 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 32 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 33 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 34 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 35 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 36 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 37 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 38 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 39 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 40 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 41 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 42 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 43 points: <1%
← NY wins byLAL wins by →
New York Knicks wins by 5 or more47%
New York Knicks wins by 10 or more33%
New York Knicks wins by 15 or more21%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

227.0 expected
178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 217.568%
Total over 227.548%
Total over 237.529%
Total from 218 to 23739%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
New York Knicks
GJosh Hartstarted
GMikal Bridgesstarted
GJalen Brunsonstarted
FOG Anunobystarted
CKarl-Anthony Townsstarted
Los Angeles Lakers
GMarcus Smartstarted
GLuka Doncicstarted
GAustin Reavesstarted
FRui Hachimurastarted
CDeandre Aytonstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NY·LAL
Mar 6 at DEN
last game
Mar 6 vs IND
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
4
2nd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Mar 8, 5:00 PM ET
New York Knicks
NYDillon Jones · g league - two-wayOut
NYMiles McBride · pelvic; core muscleOut
Los Angeles Lakers
LALAdou Thiero · g league - on assignmentOut
LALBronny James · g league - on assignmentOut
LALLeBron James · left elbow contusion &; left foot arthritisOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 63+ games
NY·LAL
+0.53
rating (0 = average)
+0.17
117.3
points / game
116.0
110.7
points allowed / game
115.3
42−23
season record
38−25
24−9
home record
19−12
18−14
away record
19−13
W1
streak
W1
7−3
last 10
6−4
47.3
FG%
50.0
37.5
3P%
36.0
46.3
rebounds / game
40.9
27.4
assists / game
25.5
13.6
turnovers / game
14.7
47.3
points in paint / game
51.6

Rating Trend

NY · LAL · 124 days
New York KnicksLos Angeles Lakers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · LAL 5−4
Feb 1at NYNY 112 − 100
Mar 6, 2025at LALLAL 113 − 109
Feb 1, 2025at NYLAL 128 − 112
Feb 3, 2024at NYLAL 113 − 105
Dec 18, 2023at LALNY 114 − 109
Mar 12, 2023at LALNY 112 − 108
Jan 31, 2023at NYLAL 129 − 123
Feb 5, 2022at LALLAL 122 − 115
Nov 23, 2021at NYNY 106 − 100

NY · Last 10

7−3 · streak W1
Mar 6at DEN142 − 103W
Mar 4vs OKC100 − 103L
Mar 3at TOR111 − 95W
Mar 1vs SA114 − 89W
Feb 27at MIL127 − 98W
Feb 24at CLE94 − 109L
Feb 22at CHI105 − 99W
Feb 21vs HOU108 − 106W
Feb 19vs DET111 − 126L
Feb 11at PHI138 − 89W

LAL · Last 10

6−4 · streak W1
Mar 6vs IND128 − 117W
Mar 5at DEN113 − 120L
Mar 3vs NO110 − 101W
Mar 1vs SAC128 − 104W
Feb 28at GS129 − 101W
Feb 26at PHX110 − 113L
Feb 24vs ORL109 − 110L
Feb 22vs BOS89 − 111L
Feb 20vs LAC125 − 122W
Feb 12vs DAL124 − 104W