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Clippers at Lakers

NBA · Friday, Feb 20 · 9:15 PM CT · crypto.com Arena · Final LAC 122 – LAL 125
← NBA / Feb 20

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
LAC30353027122
LAL41312726125
Team box
LAC·LAL
45-82
field goals
44-85
8-21
3-pointers
17-31
24-29
free throws
20-25
42
rebounds
32
25
assists
31
16
turnovers
12
58
points in paint
50
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Luka DoncicLAL3838611
Kawhi LeonardLAC313145
Austin ReavesLAL332962
Bennedict MathurinLAC322672
Brook LopezLAC3516101
LeBron JamesLAL3313311

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAL +16
LAC +16
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: LAL 16 · LAC 5lead changes: 9

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was LAC 46%, LAL 54% · Updated Feb 20

Expected margin
LAL by 1.0
Expected score
LAL 112.2 – 111.2 LAC
Expected total
223.5
ClippersThe matchupLakers
+118Our fair odds−118
111.2Expected points112.2
+0.18Power rating+0.15
112.0Points / game116.0
112.4Allowed / game116.0
47.9FG%50.1
36.33P%35.2
40.7Rebounds / game41.1
27−28Season record33−21
6−4Last 106−4
Bradley Beal · Darius Garland
Sean Pedulla · TyTy Washington Jr.Out—

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LAC chance · LAL chance
Our model fair46.0%54.0%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
LACLA Clippers+11846%————
LALLos Angeles Lakers−11854%————
SpreadLAL by 1.0
LACLA Clippers+1our margin————
LALLos Angeles Lakers−1our margin————
Totalwe expect 223.5
Over223.5our total————
Under223.5our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Los Angeles Lakers by 1.0 expected
LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 36 points: <1%LA Clippers by 35 points: <1%LA Clippers by 34 points: <1%LA Clippers by 33 points: <1%LA Clippers by 32 points: <1%LA Clippers by 31 points: <1%LA Clippers by 30 points: <1%LA Clippers by 29 points: <1%LA Clippers by 28 points: <1%LA Clippers by 27 points: <1%LA Clippers by 26 points: 1%LA Clippers by 25 points: 1%LA Clippers by 24 points: 1%LA Clippers by 23 points: 1%LA Clippers by 22 points: 1%LA Clippers by 21 points: 1%LA Clippers by 20 points: 1%LA Clippers by 19 points: 1%LA Clippers by 18 points: 1%LA Clippers by 17 points: 1%LA Clippers by 16 points: 1%LA Clippers by 15 points: 1%LA Clippers by 14 points: 2%LA Clippers by 13 points: 2%LA Clippers by 12 points: 2%LA Clippers by 11 points: 2%LA Clippers by 10 points: 2%LA Clippers by 9 points: 2%LA Clippers by 8 points: 2%LA Clippers by 7 points: 3%LA Clippers by 6 points: 3%LA Clippers by 5 points: 3%LA Clippers by 4 points: 3%LA Clippers by 3 points: 3%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 1 point: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 2 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 3 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 4 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 5 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 6 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 7 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 8 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 9 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 10 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 11 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 12 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 13 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 14 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 15 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 16 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 17 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 18 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 19 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 20 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 21 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 22 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 23 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 24 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 25 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 26 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 27 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 28 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 29 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 30 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 31 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 32 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 33 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 34 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 35 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 36 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 37 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 38 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 39 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 40 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 41 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 42 points: <1%
← LAC wins byLAL wins by →
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 5 or more43%
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 10 or more29%
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 15 or more18%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

223.5 expected
175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 213.569%
Total over 223.550%
Total over 233.530%
Total from 214 to 23339%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
LA Clippers
GKris Dunnstarted
FKawhi Leonardstarted
FJohn Collinsstarted
FDerrick Jones Jr.started
CBrook Lopezstarted
Los Angeles Lakers
GMarcus Smartstarted
GLuka Doncicstarted
GAustin Reavesstarted
FLeBron Jamesstarted
CDeandre Aytonstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LAC·LAL
Feb 19 vs DEN
last game
Feb 12 vs DAL
0 days
days of rest
7 days
yes
back-to-back
no
1
games in last 7 days
0
road after a home game
home / road
6th straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 20, 5:00 PM ET
LA Clippers
LACBradley Beal · left hip; fractureOut
LACDarius Garland · left toe; injury managementOut
LACSean Pedulla · g league - two-wayOut
LACTyTy Washington Jr. · g league - two-wayOut
Los Angeles Lakers
LALLeBron James · left knee; sorenessQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 54+ games
LAC·LAL
+0.18
rating (0 = average)
+0.15
112.0
points / game
116.0
112.4
points allowed / game
116.0
27−28
season record
33−21
14−11
home record
15−10
13−17
away record
18−11
W2
streak
W1
6−4
last 10
6−4
47.9
FG%
50.1
36.3
3P%
35.2
40.7
rebounds / game
41.1
23.6
assists / game
25.3
14.8
turnovers / game
15.1
47.2
points in paint / game
51.8

Rating Trend

LAC · LAL · 108 days
LA ClippersLos Angeles Lakers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · LAL 6−4
Jan 22at LACLAC 112 − 104
Dec 20, 2025at LACLAC 103 − 88
Nov 25, 2025at LALLAL 135 − 118
Mar 2, 2025at LALLAL 108 − 102
Feb 28, 2025at LALLAL 106 − 102
Feb 4, 2025at LACLAL 122 − 97
Jan 19, 2025at LACLAC 116 − 102
Feb 28, 2024at LACLAL 116 − 112
Jan 23, 2024at LACLAC 127 − 116
Jan 7, 2024at LALLAL 106 − 103

LAC · Last 10

6−4 · streak W2
Feb 19vs DEN115 − 114W
Feb 11at HOU105 − 102W
Feb 10at HOU95 − 102L
Feb 8at MIN115 − 96W
Feb 6at SAC114 − 111W
Feb 4vs CLE91 − 124L
Feb 2vs PHI113 − 128L
Feb 1at PHX117 − 93W
Jan 30at DEN109 − 122L
Jan 27at UTAH115 − 103W

LAL · Last 10

6−4 · streak W1
Feb 12vs DAL124 − 104W
Feb 10vs SA108 − 136L
Feb 9vs OKC110 − 119L
Feb 7vs GS105 − 99W
Feb 5vs PHI119 − 115W
Feb 3at BKN125 − 109W
Feb 1at NY100 − 112L
Jan 30at WSH142 − 111W
Jan 28at CLE99 − 129L
Jan 26at CHI129 − 118W