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Clippers at Timberwolves

NBA · Sunday, Feb 8 · 2:00 PM CT · Target Center · Final LAC 115 – MIN 96

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
LAC23312635115
MIN1923173796
Team box
LAC·MIN
39-76
field goals
37-83
14-27
3-pointers
8-33
23-28
free throws
14-22
37
rebounds
41
25
assists
17
15
turnovers
21
40
points in paint
56
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Kawhi LeonardLAC344182
Anthony EdwardsMIN352342
Julius RandleMIN331782
Yanic Konan NiederhauserLAC171562
John CollinsLAC291540
Ayo DosunmuMIN251111

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
MIN +28
LAC +28
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: MIN 3 · LAC 28lead changes: 7

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was LAC 37%, MIN 63% · Updated Feb 8

Expected margin
MIN by 5.3
Expected score
MIN 114.2 – 108.9 LAC
Expected total
223.2
ClippersThe matchupTimberwolves
+173Our fair odds−173
108.9Expected points114.2
+0.18Power rating+0.51
112.3Points / game119.5
113.1Allowed / game114.8
48.0FG%48.2
36.43P%37.8
40.8Rebounds / game45.0
24−27Season record32−21
6−4Last 105−5
Bennedict Mathurin · Bradley Beal
Darius Garland · Isaiah Jackson
OutJohnny Juzang · Rocco Zikarsky
Terrence Shannon Jr.

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LAC chance · MIN chance
Our model fair36.7%63.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
LACLA Clippers+17337%————
MINMinnesota Timberwolves−17363%————
SpreadMIN by 5.3
LACLA Clippers+5.3our margin————
MINMinnesota Timberwolves−5.3our margin————
Totalwe expect 223.2
Over223.2our total————
Under223.2our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Minnesota Timberwolves by 5.3 expected
LA Clippers by 47 points: <1%LA Clippers by 46 points: <1%LA Clippers by 45 points: <1%LA Clippers by 44 points: <1%LA Clippers by 43 points: <1%LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 36 points: <1%LA Clippers by 35 points: <1%LA Clippers by 34 points: <1%LA Clippers by 33 points: <1%LA Clippers by 32 points: <1%LA Clippers by 31 points: <1%LA Clippers by 30 points: <1%LA Clippers by 29 points: <1%LA Clippers by 28 points: <1%LA Clippers by 27 points: <1%LA Clippers by 26 points: <1%LA Clippers by 25 points: <1%LA Clippers by 24 points: <1%LA Clippers by 23 points: <1%LA Clippers by 22 points: <1%LA Clippers by 21 points: 1%LA Clippers by 20 points: 1%LA Clippers by 19 points: 1%LA Clippers by 18 points: 1%LA Clippers by 17 points: 1%LA Clippers by 16 points: 1%LA Clippers by 15 points: 1%LA Clippers by 14 points: 1%LA Clippers by 13 points: 1%LA Clippers by 12 points: 1%LA Clippers by 11 points: 2%LA Clippers by 10 points: 2%LA Clippers by 9 points: 2%LA Clippers by 8 points: 2%LA Clippers by 7 points: 2%LA Clippers by 6 points: 2%LA Clippers by 5 points: 2%LA Clippers by 4 points: 2%LA Clippers by 3 points: 2%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 1 point: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 2 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 3 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 4 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 5 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 6 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 7 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 8 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 9 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 10 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 11 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 12 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 13 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 14 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 15 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 16 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 17 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 18 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 19 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 20 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 21 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 22 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 23 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 24 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 25 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 26 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 27 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 28 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 29 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 30 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 31 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 32 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 33 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 34 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 35 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 36 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 37 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 38 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 39 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 40 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 41 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 42 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 43 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 44 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 45 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 46 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 47 points: <1%
← LAC wins byMIN wins by →
Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 5 or more55%
Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 10 or more39%
Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 15 or more26%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

223.2 expected
175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 213.569%
Total over 223.549%
Total over 233.529%
Total from 214 to 23339%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
LA Clippers
GKris Dunnstarted
FJohn Collinsstarted
CBrook Lopezstarted
Minnesota Timberwolves
CRudy Gobertstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LAC·MIN
Feb 6 at SAC
last game
Feb 6 vs NO
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 8, 5:00 PM ET
LA Clippers
LACBennedict Mathurin · trade pendingOut
LACBradley Beal · left hip; fractureOut
LACDarius Garland · right toe; sprainOut
LACIsaiah Jackson · trade pendingOut
Minnesota Timberwolves
MINJohnny Juzang · g league - two-wayOut
MINRocco Zikarsky · g league - two-wayOut
MINTerrence Shannon Jr. · left foot; abductor hallucis strainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 51+ games
LAC·MIN
+0.18
rating (0 = average)
+0.51
112.3
points / game
119.5
113.1
points allowed / game
114.8
24−27
season record
32−21
13−11
home record
17−9
11−16
away record
15−12
W1
streak
L1
6−4
last 10
5−5
48.0
FG%
48.2
36.4
3P%
37.8
40.8
rebounds / game
45.0
23.5
assists / game
26.5
15.0
turnovers / game
14.3
47.1
points in paint / game
49.8

Rating Trend

LAC · MIN · 102 days
LA ClippersMinnesota Timberwolves
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · MIN 9−1
Dec 6, 2025at MINMIN 109 − 106
Jan 6, 2025at MINMIN 108 − 106
Dec 4, 2024at LACMIN 108 − 80
Nov 29, 2024at MINMIN 93 − 92
Mar 12, 2024at LACMIN 118 − 100
Mar 3, 2024at MINLAC 89 − 88
Feb 12, 2024at LACMIN 121 − 100
Jan 14, 2024at MINMIN 109 − 105
Feb 28, 2023at LACMIN 108 − 101
Jan 6, 2023at MINMIN 128 − 115

LAC · Last 10

6−4 · streak W1
Feb 6at SAC114 − 111W
Feb 4vs CLE91 − 124L
Feb 2vs PHI113 − 128L
Feb 1at PHX117 − 93W
Jan 30at DEN109 − 122L
Jan 27at UTAH115 − 103W
Jan 25vs BKN126 − 89W
Jan 22vs LAL112 − 104W
Jan 20at CHI110 − 138L
Jan 19at WSH110 − 106W

MIN · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Feb 6vs NO115 − 119L
Feb 4at TOR128 − 126W
Feb 2at MEM128 − 137L
Jan 31at MEM131 − 114W
Jan 29vs OKC123 − 111W
Jan 28at DAL118 − 105W
Jan 26vs GS108 − 83W
Jan 25vs GS85 − 111L
Jan 22vs CHI115 − 120L
Jan 20at UTAH122 − 127L