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Clippers at Rockets

NBA · Wednesday, Feb 11 · 7:00 PM CT · Toyota Center (Houston) · Final LAC 105 – HOU 102
← NBA / Feb 11

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
LAC22242435105
HOU29272026102
Team box
LAC·HOU
36-77
field goals
38-82
11-28
3-pointers
12-36
22-26
free throws
14-18
32
rebounds
45
21
assists
25
11
turnovers
21
46
points in paint
44
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Kawhi LeonardLAC3327124
Kevin DurantHOU362186
Reed SheppardHOU251724
Alperen SengunHOU291696
Jabari Smith Jr.HOU3616120
Kris DunnLAC371626

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
HOU +15
LAC +15
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: HOU 15 · LAC 7lead changes: 4

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was LAC 38%, HOU 62% · Updated Feb 11

Expected margin
HOU by 5.0
Expected score
HOU 111.5 – 106.5 LAC
Expected total
218.0
ClippersThe matchupRockets
+160Our fair odds−160
106.5Expected points111.5
+0.18Power rating+0.45
112.0Points / game114.9
112.5Allowed / game109.7
47.9FG%47.4
36.53P%37.4
40.8Rebounds / game48.7
25−28Season record33−19
6−4Last 107−3
Bradley Beal · Darius Garland
Nicolas BatumOut (3 each)Dorian Finney-Smith · Fred VanVleet
Steven Adams

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LAC chance · HOU chance
Our model fair38.4%61.6%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
LACLA Clippers+16038%————
HOUHouston Rockets−16062%————
SpreadHOU by 5.0
LACLA Clippers+5our margin————
HOUHouston Rockets−5our margin————
Totalwe expect 218.0
Over218.0our total————
Under218.0our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Houston Rockets by 5.0 expected
LA Clippers by 46 points: <1%LA Clippers by 45 points: <1%LA Clippers by 44 points: <1%LA Clippers by 43 points: <1%LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 36 points: <1%LA Clippers by 35 points: <1%LA Clippers by 34 points: <1%LA Clippers by 33 points: <1%LA Clippers by 32 points: <1%LA Clippers by 31 points: <1%LA Clippers by 30 points: <1%LA Clippers by 29 points: <1%LA Clippers by 28 points: <1%LA Clippers by 27 points: <1%LA Clippers by 26 points: <1%LA Clippers by 25 points: <1%LA Clippers by 24 points: <1%LA Clippers by 23 points: <1%LA Clippers by 22 points: 1%LA Clippers by 21 points: 1%LA Clippers by 20 points: 1%LA Clippers by 19 points: 1%LA Clippers by 18 points: 1%LA Clippers by 17 points: 1%LA Clippers by 16 points: 1%LA Clippers by 15 points: 1%LA Clippers by 14 points: 1%LA Clippers by 13 points: 1%LA Clippers by 12 points: 1%LA Clippers by 11 points: 2%LA Clippers by 10 points: 2%LA Clippers by 9 points: 2%LA Clippers by 8 points: 2%LA Clippers by 7 points: 2%LA Clippers by 6 points: 2%LA Clippers by 5 points: 2%LA Clippers by 4 points: 2%LA Clippers by 3 points: 2%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%Houston Rockets by 1 point: 2%Houston Rockets by 2 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 3 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 4 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 5 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 6 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 7 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 8 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 9 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 10 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 11 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 12 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 13 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 14 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 15 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 16 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 17 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 18 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 19 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 20 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 21 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 22 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 23 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 24 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 25 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 26 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 27 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 28 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 29 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 30 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 31 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 32 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 33 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 34 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 35 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 36 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 37 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 38 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 39 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 40 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 41 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 42 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 43 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 44 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 45 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 46 points: <1%
← LAC wins byHOU wins by →
Houston Rockets wins by 5 or more54%
Houston Rockets wins by 10 or more38%
Houston Rockets wins by 15 or more25%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

218.0 expected
172 points: <1%173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: 1%186 points: 1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 2%204 points: 2%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 1%235 points: 1%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: <1%252 points: <1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 208.568%
Total over 218.548%
Total over 228.529%
Total from 209 to 22839%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
LA Clippers
GKris Dunnstarted
FKawhi Leonardstarted
FJohn Collinsstarted
FDerrick Jones Jr.started
CBrook Lopezstarted
Houston Rockets
GAmen Thompsonstarted
FKevin Durantstarted
FJabari Smith Jr.started
FTari Easonstarted
CAlperen Sengunstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LAC·HOU
Feb 10 at HOU
last game
Feb 10 vs LAC
0 days
days of rest
0 days
yes
back-to-back
yes
4
games in last 7 days
4
4th straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 11, 5:00 PM ET
LA Clippers
LACBradley Beal · left hip; fractureOut
LACDarius Garland · left toe; injury managementOut
LACNicolas Batum · recovery - brace restOut
Houston Rockets
HOUDorian Finney-Smith · left ankle; injury managementOut
HOUFred VanVleet · right knee; acl repairOut
HOUSteven Adams · left ankle; surgeryOut
HOUTari Eason · left lower leg; injury managementQuestionable
HOUAlperen Sengun · left lower leg; contusionProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 52+ games
LAC·HOU
+0.18
rating (0 = average)
+0.45
112.0
points / game
114.9
112.5
points allowed / game
109.7
25−28
season record
33−19
13−11
home record
18−6
12−17
away record
15−13
L1
streak
W2
6−4
last 10
7−3
47.9
FG%
47.4
36.5
3P%
37.4
40.8
rebounds / game
48.7
23.6
assists / game
24.7
14.9
turnovers / game
15.3
47.0
points in paint / game
52.1

Rating Trend

LAC · HOU · 105 days
LA ClippersHouston Rockets
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · HOU 6−4
Feb 10at HOUHOU 102 − 95
Dec 23, 2025at LACLAC 128 − 108
Dec 11, 2025at HOUHOU 115 − 113
Apr 9, 2025at LACLAC 134 − 117
Dec 8, 2024at LACHOU 117 − 106
Nov 15, 2024at HOUHOU 125 − 104
Nov 13, 2024at HOUHOU 111 − 103
Apr 14, 2024at LACHOU 116 − 105
Mar 6, 2024at HOULAC 122 − 116
Nov 17, 2023at LACLAC 106 − 100

LAC · Last 10

6−4 · streak L1
Feb 10at HOU95 − 102L
Feb 8at MIN115 − 96W
Feb 6at SAC114 − 111W
Feb 4vs CLE91 − 124L
Feb 2vs PHI113 − 128L
Feb 1at PHX117 − 93W
Jan 30at DEN109 − 122L
Jan 27at UTAH115 − 103W
Jan 25vs BKN126 − 89W
Jan 22vs LAL112 − 104W

HOU · Last 10

7−3 · streak W2
Feb 10vs LAC102 − 95W
Feb 7at OKC112 − 106W
Feb 5vs CHA99 − 109L
Feb 4vs BOS93 − 114L
Feb 2at IND118 − 114W
Jan 31vs DAL111 − 107W
Jan 29at ATL104 − 86W
Jan 28vs SA99 − 111L
Jan 26vs MEM108 − 99W
Jan 23at DET111 − 104W