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Kings at Lakers

NBA · Sunday, Mar 1 · 8:30 PM CT · crypto.com Arena · Final SAC 104 – LAL 128
← NBA / Mar 1

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
SAC18312728104
LAL36283232128
Team box
SAC·LAL
42-90
field goals
47-94
6-26
3-pointers
18-39
14-15
free throws
16-22
52
rebounds
37
30
assists
34
20
turnovers
10
58
points in paint
50
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Luka DoncicLAL292859
Nique CliffordSAC422674
LeBron JamesLAL272415
Maxime RaynaudSAC3416131
Russell WestbrookSAC221445
Deandre AytonLAL181242

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAL +30
SAC +30
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: LAL 30 · SAC 2lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was SAC 27%, LAL 73% · Updated Mar 1

Expected margin
LAL by 8.8
Expected score
LAL 119.8 – 111.0 SAC
Expected total
230.8
KingsThe matchupLakers
+274Our fair odds−274
111.0Expected points119.8
−0.71Power rating+0.14
110.4Points / game115.7
121.1Allowed / game115.6
46.2FG%49.9
33.83P%35.6
41.5Rebounds / game40.9
14−47Season record35−24
2−8Last 105−5
De'Andre Hunter · Domantas Sabonis
Dylan Cardwell · Isaiah Stevens
Keegan MurrayOut—

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
SAC chance · LAL chance
Our model fair26.8%73.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
SACSacramento Kings+27427%————
LALLos Angeles Lakers−27473%————
SpreadLAL by 8.8
SACSacramento Kings+8.8our margin————
LALLos Angeles Lakers−8.8our margin————
Totalwe expect 230.8
Over230.8our total————
Under230.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Los Angeles Lakers by 8.8 expected
Sacramento Kings by 51 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 50 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 49 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 48 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 47 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 46 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 45 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 44 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 43 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 42 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 41 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 40 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 39 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 38 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 37 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 36 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 35 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 34 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 33 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 32 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 31 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 30 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 29 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 28 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 27 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 26 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 25 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 24 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 23 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 22 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 21 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 20 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 19 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 18 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 17 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 16 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 15 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 14 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 13 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 12 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 11 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 10 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 9 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 8 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 7 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 6 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 5 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 4 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 3 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 2 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 1 point: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 1 point: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 2 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 3 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 4 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 5 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 6 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 7 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 8 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 9 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 10 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 11 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 12 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 13 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 14 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 15 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 16 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 17 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 18 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 19 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 20 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 21 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 22 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 23 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 24 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 25 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 26 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 27 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 28 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 29 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 30 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 31 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 32 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 33 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 34 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 35 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 36 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 37 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 38 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 39 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 40 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 41 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 42 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 43 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 44 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 45 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 46 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 47 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 48 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 49 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 50 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 51 points: <1%
← SAC wins byLAL wins by →
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 5 or more63%
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 10 or more48%
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 15 or more33%
Within 5 points either way22%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

230.8 expected
181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 220.569%
Total over 230.550%
Total over 240.530%
Total from 221 to 24039%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Sacramento Kings
GRussell Westbrookstarted
GDeMar DeRozanstarted
GNique Cliffordstarted
FPrecious Achiuwastarted
CMaxime Raynaudstarted
Los Angeles Lakers
GMarcus Smartstarted
GLuka Doncicstarted
GAustin Reavesstarted
FLeBron Jamesstarted
CDeandre Aytonstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
SAC·LAL
Feb 26 at DAL
last game
Feb 28 at GS
2 days
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
3
games in last 7 days
4
5th straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Mar 1, 5:00 PM ET
Sacramento Kings
SACDe'Andre Hunter · left eye; retinal repairOut
SACDomantas Sabonis · left knee; meniscus repairOut
SACDylan Cardwell · management left ankle; sprainOut
SACIsaiah Stevens · g league - two-wayOut
SACKeegan Murray · left ankle; sprainOut
SACZach LaVine · right 5th finger; tendon repairOut
Los Angeles Lakers
LALLeBron James · left foot; arthritisQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 59+ games
SAC·LAL
−0.71
rating (0 = average)
+0.14
110.4
points / game
115.7
121.1
points allowed / game
115.6
14−47
season record
35−24
9−20
home record
16−12
5−27
away record
19−12
W1
streak
W1
2−8
last 10
5−5
46.2
FG%
49.9
33.8
3P%
35.6
41.5
rebounds / game
40.9
25.1
assists / game
25.2
14.4
turnovers / game
14.8
49.0
points in paint / game
51.6

Rating Trend

SAC · LAL · 117 days
Sacramento KingsLos Angeles Lakers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · LAL 6−4
Jan 12at SACSAC 124 − 112
Dec 28, 2025at LALLAL 125 − 101
Oct 26, 2025at SACLAL 127 − 120
Dec 28, 2024at LALLAL 132 − 122
Dec 21, 2024at SACLAL 103 − 99
Dec 19, 2024at SACLAL 113 − 100
Oct 26, 2024at LALLAL 131 − 127
Mar 13, 2024at SACSAC 120 − 107
Mar 6, 2024at LALSAC 130 − 120
Nov 15, 2023at LALSAC 125 − 110

SAC · Last 10

2−8 · streak W1
Feb 26at DAL130 − 121W
Feb 25at HOU97 − 128L
Feb 23at MEM123 − 114W
Feb 21at SA122 − 139L
Feb 19vs ORL94 − 131L
Feb 11at UTAH93 − 121L
Feb 9at NO94 − 120L
Feb 7vs CLE126 − 132L
Feb 6vs LAC111 − 114L
Feb 4vs MEM125 − 129L

LAL · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Feb 28at GS129 − 101W
Feb 26at PHX110 − 113L
Feb 24vs ORL109 − 110L
Feb 22vs BOS89 − 111L
Feb 20vs LAC125 − 122W
Feb 12vs DAL124 − 104W
Feb 10vs SA108 − 136L
Feb 9vs OKC110 − 119L
Feb 7vs GS105 − 99W
Feb 5vs PHI119 − 115W