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Magic at Kings

NBA · Thursday, Feb 19 · 9:00 PM CT · Golden 1 Center · Final ORL 131 – SAC 94
← NBA / Feb 19

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
ORL18463829131
SAC2827291094
Team box
ORL·SAC
45-90
field goals
35-86
27-50
3-pointers
8-27
14-17
free throws
16-20
41
rebounds
48
28
assists
22
10
turnovers
19
30
points in paint
44
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Paolo BancheroORL323056
Anthony BlackORL312033
Maxime RaynaudSAC3917144
Desmond BaneORL321742
Jett HowardORL131600
Keegan MurraySAC321582

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
SAC +37
ORL +37
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: SAC 12 · ORL 37lead changes: 6

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was ORL 61%, SAC 39% · Updated Feb 19

Expected margin
ORL by 3.7
Expected score
ORL 114.2 – 110.5 SAC
Expected total
224.7
MagicThe matchupKings
−159Our fair odds+159
114.2Expected points110.5
−0.01Power rating−0.68
115.1Points / game110.1
115.2Allowed / game120.6
46.3FG%46.3
33.83P%34.2
43.3Rebounds / game41.3
28−25Season record12−44
5−5Last 100−10
Alex Morales · Colin Castleton
Franz WagnerOutDe'Andre Hunter · Domantas Sabonis
Dylan Cardwell · Isaiah Stevens
Zach LaVine

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
ORL chance · SAC chance
Our model fair61.4%38.6%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
ORLOrlando Magic−15961%————
SACSacramento Kings+15939%————
SpreadORL by 3.7
ORLOrlando Magic−3.7our margin————
SACSacramento Kings+3.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 224.7
Over224.7our total————
Under224.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Orlando Magic by 3.7 expected
Orlando Magic by 44 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 43 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 42 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 41 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 40 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 39 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 38 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 37 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 36 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 35 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 34 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 33 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 32 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 31 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 30 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 29 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 28 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 27 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 26 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 25 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 24 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 23 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 22 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 21 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 20 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 19 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 18 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 17 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 16 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 15 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 14 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 13 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 12 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 11 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 10 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 9 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 8 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 7 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 6 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 5 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 4 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 3 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 2 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 1 point: 2%Sacramento Kings by 1 point: 2%Sacramento Kings by 2 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 3 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 4 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 5 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 6 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 7 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 8 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 9 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 10 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 11 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 12 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 13 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 14 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 15 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 16 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 17 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 18 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 19 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 20 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 21 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 22 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 23 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 24 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 25 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 26 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 27 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 28 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 29 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 30 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 31 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 32 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 33 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 34 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 35 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 36 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 37 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 38 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 39 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 40 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 41 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 42 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 43 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 44 points: <1%
← ORL wins bySAC wins by →
Orlando Magic wins by 5 or more50%
Orlando Magic wins by 10 or more35%
Orlando Magic wins by 15 or more22%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

224.7 expected
176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 214.570%
Total over 224.550%
Total over 234.530%
Total from 215 to 23439%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Orlando Magic
GDesmond Banestarted
GJalen Suggsstarted
GAnthony Blackstarted
FPaolo Bancherostarted
CWendell Carter Jr.started
Sacramento Kings
GRussell Westbrookstarted
GDeMar DeRozanstarted
FPrecious Achiuwastarted
FKeegan Murraystarted
CMaxime Raynaudstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
ORL·SAC
Feb 11 vs MIL
last game
Feb 11 at UTAH
7 days
days of rest
7 days
no
back-to-back
no
0
games in last 7 days
0
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 19, 5:00 PM ET
Orlando Magic
ORLAlex Morales · g league - two-wayOut
ORLColin Castleton · g league - two-wayOut
ORLFranz Wagner · left ankle; high ankle sprain; injury managementOut
Sacramento Kings
SACDe'Andre Hunter · left eye; iritisOut
SACDomantas Sabonis · left knee; meniscus repairOut
SACDylan Cardwell · left ankle; sprainOut
SACIsaiah Stevens · g league - two-wayOut
SACZach LaVine · right 5th finger; tendon repairOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 53+ games
ORL·SAC
−0.01
rating (0 = average)
−0.68
115.1
points / game
110.1
115.2
points allowed / game
120.6
28−25
season record
12−44
18−10
home record
9−19
10−15
away record
3−25
L1
streak
L14
5−5
last 10
0−10
46.3
FG%
46.3
33.8
3P%
34.2
43.3
rebounds / game
41.3
26.4
assists / game
24.9
13.9
turnovers / game
14.5
51.8
points in paint / game
48.6

Rating Trend

ORL · SAC · 107 days
Orlando MagicSacramento Kings
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · SAC 6−2
Mar 29, 2025at ORLORL 121 − 91
Feb 5, 2025at SACORL 130 − 111
Mar 23, 2024at ORLSAC 109 − 107
Jan 3, 2024at SACSAC 138 − 135
Jan 9, 2023at SACSAC 136 − 111
Nov 5, 2022at ORLSAC 126 − 123
Mar 26, 2022at ORLSAC 114 − 110
Dec 8, 2021at SACSAC 142 − 130

ORL · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Feb 11vs MIL108 − 116L
Feb 9vs MIL118 − 99W
Feb 7vs UTAH120 − 117W
Feb 5vs BKN118 − 98W
Feb 3at OKC92 − 128L
Feb 1at SA103 − 112L
Jan 30vs TOR130 − 120W
Jan 28at MIA133 − 124W
Jan 26at CLE98 − 114L
Jan 24vs CLE105 − 119L

SAC · Last 10

0−10 · streak L10
Feb 11at UTAH93 − 121L
Feb 9at NO94 − 120L
Feb 7vs CLE126 − 132L
Feb 6vs LAC111 − 114L
Feb 4vs MEM125 − 129L
Feb 1at WSH112 − 116L
Jan 30at BOS93 − 112L
Jan 29at PHI111 − 113L
Jan 27at NY87 − 103L
Jan 25at DET116 − 139L