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Magic at Lakers

NBA · Tuesday, Feb 24 · 9:30 PM CT · crypto.com Arena · Final ORL 110 – LAL 109
← NBA / Feb 24

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
ORL25282631110
LAL33232429109
Team box
ORL·LAL
43-94
field goals
40-83
7-29
3-pointers
9-29
17-23
free throws
20-28
47
rebounds
39
26
assists
24
11
turnovers
12
58
points in paint
50
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Paolo BancheroORL3836106
Luka DoncicLAL3822915
Desmond BaneORL362216
Deandre AytonLAL3221130
LeBron JamesLAL322164
Wendell Carter Jr.ORL3620112

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAL +12
ORL +12
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: LAL 12 · ORL 5lead changes: 13

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was ORL 43%, LAL 57% · Updated Feb 24

Expected margin
LAL by 2.0
Expected score
LAL 112.7 – 110.7 ORL
Expected total
223.4
MagicThe matchupLakers
+131Our fair odds−131
110.7Expected points112.7
+0.04Power rating+0.14
115.2Points / game115.7
114.7Allowed / game116.1
46.3FG%49.9
34.03P%35.5
43.4Rebounds / game40.9
30−26Season record34−22
6−4Last 106−4
Alex Morales · Colin Castleton
Franz WagnerOut (3 each)Adou Thiero · Bronny James
Jaxson Hayes

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
ORL chance · LAL chance
Our model fair43.2%56.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
ORLOrlando Magic+13143%————
LALLos Angeles Lakers−13157%————
SpreadLAL by 2.0
ORLOrlando Magic+2our margin————
LALLos Angeles Lakers−2our margin————
Totalwe expect 223.4
Over223.4our total————
Under223.4our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Los Angeles Lakers by 2.0 expected
Orlando Magic by 43 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 42 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 41 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 40 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 39 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 38 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 37 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 36 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 35 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 34 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 33 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 32 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 31 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 30 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 29 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 28 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 27 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 26 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 25 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 24 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 23 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 22 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 21 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 20 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 19 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 18 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 17 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 16 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 15 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 14 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 13 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 12 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 11 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 10 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 9 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 8 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 7 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 6 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 5 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 4 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 3 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 2 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 1 point: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 1 point: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 2 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 3 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 4 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 5 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 6 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 7 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 8 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 9 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 10 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 11 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 12 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 13 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 14 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 15 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 16 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 17 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 18 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 19 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 20 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 21 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 22 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 23 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 24 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 25 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 26 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 27 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 28 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 29 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 30 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 31 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 32 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 33 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 34 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 35 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 36 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 37 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 38 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 39 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 40 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 41 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 42 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 43 points: <1%
← ORL wins byLAL wins by →
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 5 or more46%
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 10 or more31%
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 15 or more19%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Total range

223.4 expected
175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 213.569%
Total over 223.549%
Total over 233.530%
Total from 214 to 23339%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Orlando Magic
GDesmond Banestarted
GAnthony Blackstarted
FPaolo Bancherostarted
FTristan da Silvastarted
CWendell Carter Jr.started
Los Angeles Lakers
GMarcus Smartstarted
GLuka Doncicstarted
GAustin Reavesstarted
FLeBron Jamesstarted
CDeandre Aytonstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
ORL·LAL
Feb 22 at LAC
last game
Feb 22 vs BOS
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
2
4th straight road game
home / road
8th straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 24, 5:00 PM ET
Orlando Magic
ORLAlex Morales · g league - two-wayOut
ORLColin Castleton · g league - two-wayOut
ORLFranz Wagner · left ankle; high ankle sprain/injury managementOut
ORLJalen Suggs · back; strainQuestionable
Los Angeles Lakers
LALAdou Thiero · g league - on assignmentOut
LALBronny James · g league - on assignmentOut
LALJaxson Hayes · right ankle; sprainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 56+ games
ORL·LAL
+0.04
rating (0 = average)
+0.14
115.2
points / game
115.7
114.7
points allowed / game
116.1
30−26
season record
34−22
18−10
home record
16−11
12−16
away record
18−11
W1
streak
L1
6−4
last 10
6−4
46.3
FG%
49.9
34.0
3P%
35.5
43.4
rebounds / game
40.9
26.4
assists / game
25.3
13.8
turnovers / game
14.9
51.6
points in paint / game
51.6

Rating Trend

ORL · LAL · 112 days
Orlando MagicLos Angeles Lakers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · LAL 5−3
Mar 24, 2025at ORLORL 118 − 106
Nov 21, 2024at LALORL 119 − 118
Nov 4, 2023at ORLORL 120 − 101
Oct 30, 2023at LALLAL 106 − 103
Mar 19, 2023at LALLAL 111 − 105
Dec 27, 2022at ORLLAL 129 − 110
Jan 21, 2022at ORLLAL 116 − 105
Dec 12, 2021at LALLAL 106 − 94

ORL · Last 10

6−4 · streak W1
Feb 22at LAC111 − 109W
Feb 21at PHX110 − 113L
Feb 19at SAC131 − 94W
Feb 11vs MIL108 − 116L
Feb 9vs MIL118 − 99W
Feb 7vs UTAH120 − 117W
Feb 5vs BKN118 − 98W
Feb 3at OKC92 − 128L
Feb 1at SA103 − 112L
Jan 30vs TOR130 − 120W

LAL · Last 10

6−4 · streak L1
Feb 22vs BOS89 − 111L
Feb 20vs LAC125 − 122W
Feb 12vs DAL124 − 104W
Feb 10vs SA108 − 136L
Feb 9vs OKC110 − 119L
Feb 7vs GS105 − 99W
Feb 5vs PHI119 − 115W
Feb 3at BKN125 − 109W
Feb 1at NY100 − 112L
Jan 30at WSH142 − 111W