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Magic at Clippers

NBA · Sunday, Feb 22 · 8:00 PM CT · Intuit Dome · Final ORL 111 – LAC 109
← NBA / Feb 22

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
ORL29283123111
LAC25283620109
Team box
ORL·LAC
40-83
field goals
40-83
8-23
3-pointers
5-23
23-31
free throws
24-28
43
rebounds
43
25
assists
18
12
turnovers
10
54
points in paint
60
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Kawhi LeonardLAC333784
Desmond BaneORL323651
Bennedict MathurinLAC302195
Paolo BancheroORL371678
Wendell Carter Jr.ORL3315143
Jordan MillerLAC231411

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAC +8
ORL +8
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: LAC 4 · ORL 8lead changes: 21

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was ORL 41%, LAC 59% · Updated Feb 22

Expected margin
LAC by 4.4
Expected score
LAC 110.4 – 106.0 ORL
Expected total
216.4
MagicThe matchupClippers
+147Our fair odds−147
106.0Expected points110.4
−0.01Power rating+0.18
115.3Points / game112.1
114.8Allowed / game112.6
46.3FG%48.0
34.03P%36.3
43.4Rebounds / game40.8
29−26Season record27−29
6−4Last 105−5
Alex Morales · Colin Castleton
Franz WagnerOut (3 each)Bradley Beal · Darius Garland
John Collins

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
ORL chance · LAC chance
Our model fair40.5%59.5%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
ORLOrlando Magic+14741%————
LACLA Clippers−14759%————
SpreadLAC by 4.4
ORLOrlando Magic+4.4our margin————
LACLA Clippers−4.4our margin————
Totalwe expect 216.4
Over216.4our total————
Under216.4our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

LA Clippers by 4.4 expected
Orlando Magic by 46 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 45 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 44 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 43 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 42 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 41 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 40 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 39 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 38 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 37 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 36 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 35 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 34 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 33 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 32 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 31 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 30 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 29 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 28 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 27 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 26 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 25 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 24 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 23 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 22 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 21 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 20 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 19 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 18 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 17 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 16 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 15 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 14 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 13 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 12 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 11 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 10 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 9 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 8 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 7 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 6 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 5 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 4 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 3 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 2 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 3 points: 3%LA Clippers by 4 points: 3%LA Clippers by 5 points: 3%LA Clippers by 6 points: 3%LA Clippers by 7 points: 3%LA Clippers by 8 points: 3%LA Clippers by 9 points: 3%LA Clippers by 10 points: 3%LA Clippers by 11 points: 3%LA Clippers by 12 points: 3%LA Clippers by 13 points: 2%LA Clippers by 14 points: 2%LA Clippers by 15 points: 2%LA Clippers by 16 points: 2%LA Clippers by 17 points: 2%LA Clippers by 18 points: 2%LA Clippers by 19 points: 2%LA Clippers by 20 points: 1%LA Clippers by 21 points: 1%LA Clippers by 22 points: 1%LA Clippers by 23 points: 1%LA Clippers by 24 points: 1%LA Clippers by 25 points: 1%LA Clippers by 26 points: 1%LA Clippers by 27 points: 1%LA Clippers by 28 points: 1%LA Clippers by 29 points: 1%LA Clippers by 30 points: 1%LA Clippers by 31 points: <1%LA Clippers by 32 points: <1%LA Clippers by 33 points: <1%LA Clippers by 34 points: <1%LA Clippers by 35 points: <1%LA Clippers by 36 points: <1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%LA Clippers by 43 points: <1%LA Clippers by 44 points: <1%LA Clippers by 45 points: <1%LA Clippers by 46 points: <1%
← ORL wins byLAC wins by →
LA Clippers wins by 5 or more52%
LA Clippers wins by 10 or more37%
LA Clippers wins by 15 or more24%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

216.4 expected
172 points: <1%173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: 1%184 points: 1%185 points: 1%186 points: 1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 2%202 points: 2%203 points: 2%204 points: 2%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 1%234 points: 1%235 points: 1%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: <1%250 points: <1%251 points: <1%252 points: <1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 206.569%
Total over 216.549%
Total over 226.530%
Total from 207 to 22639%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Orlando Magic
GDesmond Banestarted
GAnthony Blackstarted
FPaolo Bancherostarted
FTristan da Silvastarted
CWendell Carter Jr.started
LA Clippers
GKris Dunnstarted
GKobe Sandersstarted
FKawhi Leonardstarted
FDerrick Jones Jr.started
CBrook Lopezstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
ORL·LAC
Feb 21 at PHX
last game
Feb 20 at LAL
0 days
days of rest
1 day
yes
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
2
3rd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 22, 5:00 PM ET
Orlando Magic
ORLAlex Morales · g league - two-wayOut
ORLColin Castleton · g league - two-wayOut
ORLFranz Wagner · left ankle; high ankle sprain/injury managementOut
ORLJalen Suggs · back; spasmsQuestionable
LA Clippers
LACBradley Beal · left hip; fractureOut
LACDarius Garland · left toe; injury managementOut
LACJohn Collins · head; laceration; neck sorenessOut
LACKawhi Leonard · left ankle; sorenessQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 55+ games
ORL·LAC
−0.01
rating (0 = average)
+0.18
115.3
points / game
112.1
114.8
points allowed / game
112.6
29−26
season record
27−29
18−10
home record
14−11
11−16
away record
13−18
L1
streak
L1
6−4
last 10
5−5
46.3
FG%
48.0
34.0
3P%
36.3
43.4
rebounds / game
40.8
26.4
assists / game
23.6
13.9
turnovers / game
14.8
51.6
points in paint / game
47.4

Rating Trend

ORL · LAC · 110 days
Orlando MagicLA Clippers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · LAC 6−3
Nov 20, 2025at ORLORL 129 − 101
Mar 31, 2025at ORLLAC 96 − 87
Nov 20, 2024at LACLAC 104 − 93
Mar 29, 2024at ORLLAC 100 − 97
Oct 31, 2023at LACLAC 118 − 102
Mar 18, 2023at LACORL 113 − 108
Dec 7, 2022at ORLORL 116 − 111
Jan 26, 2022at ORLLAC 111 − 102
Dec 11, 2021at LACLAC 106 − 104

ORL · Last 10

6−4 · streak L1
Feb 21at PHX110 − 113L
Feb 19at SAC131 − 94W
Feb 11vs MIL108 − 116L
Feb 9vs MIL118 − 99W
Feb 7vs UTAH120 − 117W
Feb 5vs BKN118 − 98W
Feb 3at OKC92 − 128L
Feb 1at SA103 − 112L
Jan 30vs TOR130 − 120W
Jan 28at MIA133 − 124W

LAC · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Feb 20at LAL122 − 125L
Feb 19vs DEN115 − 114W
Feb 11at HOU105 − 102W
Feb 10at HOU95 − 102L
Feb 8at MIN115 − 96W
Feb 6at SAC114 − 111W
Feb 4vs CLE91 − 124L
Feb 2vs PHI113 − 128L
Feb 1at PHX117 − 93W
Jan 30at DEN109 − 122L