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Celtics at Lakers

NBA · Sunday, Feb 22 · 5:30 PM CT · crypto.com Arena · Final BOS 111 – LAL 89
← NBA / Feb 22

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
BOS28322427111
LAL2822211889
Team box
BOS·LAL
40-83
field goals
34-87
14-36
3-pointers
9-30
17-21
free throws
12-18
50
rebounds
39
29
assists
18
14
turnovers
8
48
points in paint
42
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jaylen BrownBOS363287
Payton PritchardBOS383048
Luka DoncicLAL332553
LeBron JamesLAL342045
Austin ReavesLAL321572
Derrick WhiteBOS351258

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAL +22
BOS +22
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: LAL 5 · BOS 22lead changes: 5

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was BOS 60%, LAL 40% · Updated Feb 22

Expected margin
BOS by 5.0
Expected score
BOS 114.0 – 109.0 LAL
Expected total
223.1
CelticsThe matchupLakers
−151Our fair odds+151
114.0Expected points109.0
+0.76Power rating+0.15
115.4Points / game116.2
108.4Allowed / game116.1
46.9FG%50.1
36.33P%35.6
45.6Rebounds / game40.9
36−19Season record34−21
8−2Last 106−4
Jayson Tatum · Max ShulgaOut (2 each)Adou Thiero · Bronny James

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
BOS chance · LAL chance
Our model fair60.1%39.9%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
BOSBoston Celtics−15160%————
LALLos Angeles Lakers+15140%————
SpreadBOS by 5.0
BOSBoston Celtics−5our margin————
LALLos Angeles Lakers+5our margin————
Totalwe expect 223.1
Over223.1our total————
Under223.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Boston Celtics by 5.0 expected
Boston Celtics by 46 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 45 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 44 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 43 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 42 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 41 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 40 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 39 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 38 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 37 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 36 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 35 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 34 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 33 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 32 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 31 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 30 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 29 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 28 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 27 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 26 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 25 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 24 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 23 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 22 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 21 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 20 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 19 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 18 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 17 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 16 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 15 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 14 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 13 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 12 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 11 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 10 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 9 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 8 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 7 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 6 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 5 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 4 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 3 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 2 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 1 point: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 1 point: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 2 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 3 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 4 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 5 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 6 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 7 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 8 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 9 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 10 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 11 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 12 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 13 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 14 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 15 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 16 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 17 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 18 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 19 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 20 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 21 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 22 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 23 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 24 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 25 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 26 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 27 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 28 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 29 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 30 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 31 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 32 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 33 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 34 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 35 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 36 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 37 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 38 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 39 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 40 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 41 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 42 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 43 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 44 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 45 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 46 points: <1%
← BOS wins byLAL wins by →
Boston Celtics wins by 5 or more54%
Boston Celtics wins by 10 or more38%
Boston Celtics wins by 15 or more25%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

223.1 expected
175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 213.568%
Total over 223.549%
Total over 233.529%
Total from 214 to 23339%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Boston Celtics
GDerrick Whitestarted
GJaylen Brownstarted
GBaylor Scheiermanstarted
FSam Hauserstarted
CNeemias Quetastarted
Los Angeles Lakers
GMarcus Smartstarted
GLuka Doncicstarted
GAustin Reavesstarted
FLeBron Jamesstarted
CDeandre Aytonstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
BOS·LAL
Feb 19 at GS
last game
Feb 20 vs LAC
2 days
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
1
games in last 7 days
1
2nd straight road game
home / road
7th straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 22, 5:00 PM ET
Boston Celtics
BOSJayson Tatum · right achilles; repairOut
BOSMax Shulga · g league - two-wayOut
Los Angeles Lakers
LALAdou Thiero · g league - on assignmentOut
LALBronny James · g league - on assignmentOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 55+ games
BOS·LAL
+0.76
rating (0 = average)
+0.15
115.4
points / game
116.2
108.4
points allowed / game
116.1
36−19
season record
34−21
18−9
home record
16−10
18−10
away record
18−11
W2
streak
W2
8−2
last 10
6−4
46.9
FG%
50.1
36.3
3P%
35.6
45.6
rebounds / game
40.9
24.2
assists / game
25.4
12.1
turnovers / game
15.1
44.7
points in paint / game
51.8

Rating Trend

BOS · LAL · 110 days
Boston CelticsLos Angeles Lakers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · LAL 3−6
Dec 5, 2025at BOSBOS 126 − 105
Mar 8, 2025at BOSBOS 111 − 101
Jan 23, 2025at LALLAL 117 − 96
Feb 1, 2024at BOSLAL 114 − 105
Dec 25, 2023at LALBOS 126 − 115
Jan 28, 2023at BOSBOS 125 − 121
Dec 13, 2022at LALBOS 122 − 118
Dec 7, 2021at LALLAL 117 − 102
Nov 19, 2021at BOSBOS 130 − 108

BOS · Last 10

8−2 · streak W2
Feb 19at GS121 − 110W
Feb 11vs CHI124 − 105W
Feb 8vs NY89 − 111L
Feb 6vs MIA98 − 96W
Feb 4at HOU114 − 93W
Feb 3at DAL110 − 100W
Feb 1vs MIL107 − 79W
Jan 30vs SAC112 − 93W
Jan 28vs ATL106 − 117L
Jan 26vs POR102 − 94W

LAL · Last 10

6−4 · streak W2
Feb 20vs LAC125 − 122W
Feb 12vs DAL124 − 104W
Feb 10vs SA108 − 136L
Feb 9vs OKC110 − 119L
Feb 7vs GS105 − 99W
Feb 5vs PHI119 − 115W
Feb 3at BKN125 − 109W
Feb 1at NY100 − 112L
Jan 30at WSH142 − 111W
Jan 28at CLE99 − 129L