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Wizards at Magic

NBA · Thursday, Mar 12 · 6:00 PM CT · Kia Center · Final WSH 131 – ORL 136
← NBA / Mar 12

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234OTT
WSH263025428131
ORL3627332713136
Team box
WSH·ORL
48-105
field goals
47-100
14-46
3-pointers
15-34
21-24
free throws
27-34
49
rebounds
52
26
assists
30
15
turnovers
13
52
points in paint
56
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Bilal CoulibalyWSH372955
Jalen SuggsORL342848
Tristan da SilvaORL412672
Desmond BaneORL422216
Wendell Carter Jr.ORL3419113
Paolo BancheroORL4218105

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
ORL +19
WSH +19
Q1Q2Q3Q4OT
largest lead: ORL 19 · WSH 1lead changes: 2

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was WSH 18%, ORL 82% · Updated Mar 12

Expected margin
ORL by 14.1
Expected score
ORL 120.1 – 106.0 WSH
Expected total
226.2
WizardsThe matchupMagic
+447Our fair odds−447
106.0Expected points120.1
−1.22Power rating+0.12
112.6Points / game115.3
123.7Allowed / game113.8
46.0FG%46.5
35.33P%34.0
42.9Rebounds / game43.6
16−48Season record36−28
1−9Last 107−3
Anthony Davis · Cam Whitmore
D'Angelo Russell · Kyshawn GeorgeOutAnthony Black · Franz Wagner

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
WSH chance · ORL chance
Our model fair18.3%81.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
WSHWashington Wizards+44718%————
ORLOrlando Magic−44782%————
SpreadORL by 14.1
WSHWashington Wizards+14.1our margin————
ORLOrlando Magic−14.1our margin————
Totalwe expect 226.2
Over226.2our total————
Under226.2our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Orlando Magic by 14.1 expected
Washington Wizards by 53 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 52 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 51 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 50 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 49 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 48 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 47 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 46 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 45 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 44 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 43 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 42 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 41 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 40 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 39 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 38 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 37 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 36 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 35 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 34 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 33 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 32 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 31 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 30 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 29 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 28 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 27 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 26 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 25 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 24 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 23 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 22 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 21 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 20 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 19 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 18 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 17 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 16 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 15 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 14 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 13 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 12 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 11 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 10 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 9 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 8 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 7 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 6 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 5 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 4 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 3 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 2 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 1 point: 2%Orlando Magic by 1 point: 2%Orlando Magic by 2 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 3 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 4 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 5 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 6 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 7 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 8 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 9 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 10 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 11 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 12 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 13 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 14 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 15 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 16 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 17 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 18 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 19 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 20 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 21 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 22 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 23 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 24 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 25 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 26 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 27 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 28 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 29 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 30 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 31 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 32 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 33 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 34 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 35 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 36 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 37 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 38 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 39 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 40 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 41 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 42 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 43 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 44 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 45 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 46 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 47 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 48 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 49 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 50 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 51 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 52 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 53 points: <1%
← WSH wins byORL wins by →
Orlando Magic wins by 5 or more76%
Orlando Magic wins by 10 or more63%
Orlando Magic wins by 15 or more47%
Within 5 points either way17%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

226.2 expected
177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 216.569%
Total over 226.549%
Total over 236.529%
Total from 217 to 23639%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Washington Wizards
GTrae Youngstarted
GBilal Coulibalystarted
GWill Rileystarted
GTre Johnsonstarted
CAlex Sarrstarted
Orlando Magic
GDesmond Banestarted
GJalen Suggsstarted
FPaolo Bancherostarted
FTristan da Silvastarted
CWendell Carter Jr.started

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
WSH·ORL
Mar 10 at MIA
last game
Mar 11 vs CLE
1 day
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
3
games in last 7 days
4
3rd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Mar 12, 5:00 PM ET
Washington Wizards
WSHAnthony Davis · left finger; sprainOut
WSHCam Whitmore · right shoulder; deep vein thrombosisOut
WSHD'Angelo Russell · not with teamOut
WSHKyshawn George · left elbow; sprainOut
Orlando Magic
ORLAnthony Black · left lateral abdominal; strainOut
ORLFranz Wagner · left high ankle; sprain injury managementOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 64+ games
WSH·ORL
−1.22
rating (0 = average)
+0.12
112.6
points / game
115.3
123.7
points allowed / game
113.8
16−48
season record
36−28
11−22
home record
21−12
5−26
away record
15−16
L9
streak
W5
1−9
last 10
7−3
46.0
FG%
46.5
35.3
3P%
34.0
42.9
rebounds / game
43.6
25.1
assists / game
26.6
15.7
turnovers / game
13.6
47.5
points in paint / game
51.8

Rating Trend

WSH · ORL · 128 days
Washington WizardsOrlando Magic
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · ORL 9−1
Mar 3at ORLORL 126 − 109
Jan 6at WSHWSH 120 − 112
Nov 1, 2025at WSHORL 125 − 94
Apr 3, 2025at WSHORL 109 − 97
Mar 21, 2025at WSHORL 120 − 105
Feb 23, 2025at ORLORL 110 − 90
Nov 10, 2024at ORLORL 121 − 94
Mar 6, 2024at WSHORL 119 − 109
Dec 26, 2023at WSHORL 127 − 119
Dec 1, 2023at ORLORL 130 − 125

WSH · Last 10

1−9 · streak L9
Mar 10at MIA129 − 150L
Mar 8at NO118 − 138L
Mar 5vs UTAH112 − 122L
Mar 3at ORL109 − 126L
Mar 2vs HOU118 − 123L
Feb 28vs TOR125 − 134L
Feb 26at ATL96 − 126L
Feb 24at ATL98 − 119L
Feb 22vs CHA112 − 129L
Feb 20vs IND131 − 118W

ORL · Last 10

7−3 · streak W5
Mar 11vs CLE128 − 122W
Mar 8at MIL130 − 91W
Mar 7at MIN119 − 92W
Mar 5vs DAL115 − 114W
Mar 3vs WSH126 − 109W
Mar 1vs DET92 − 106L
Feb 26vs HOU108 − 113L
Feb 24at LAL110 − 109W
Feb 22at LAC111 − 109W
Feb 21at PHX110 − 113L