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Hornets at Wizards

NBA · Sunday, Feb 22 · 5:00 PM CT · Capital One Arena · Final CHA 129 – WSH 112
← NBA / Feb 22

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CHA38234424129
WSH37192828112
Team box
CHA·WSH
43-87
field goals
41-84
25-46
3-pointers
18-42
18-25
free throws
12-17
53
rebounds
37
27
assists
24
12
turnovers
11
30
points in paint
32
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
LaMelo BallCHA273787
Kon KnueppelCHA282874
Brandon MillerCHA262243
Bilal CoulibalyWSH171722
Jaden HardyWSH221641
Jamir WatkinsWSH161341

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
WSH +29
CHA +29
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: WSH 2 · CHA 29lead changes: 13

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CHA 67%, WSH 33% · Updated Feb 22

Expected margin
CHA by 6.7
Expected score
CHA 118.4 – 111.7 WSH
Expected total
230.1
HornetsThe matchupWizards
−200Our fair odds+200
118.4Expected points111.7
−0.24Power rating−1.14
115.4Points / game112.5
113.7Allowed / game122.7
45.9FG%45.9
37.23P%34.9
46.0Rebounds / game43.6
26−31Season record16−39
7−3Last 105−5
Antonio Reeves · Coby White
Liam McNeeley · Miles Bridges
Moussa DiabateOut (5 each)Alex Sarr · Anthony Davis
Cam Whitmore · D'Angelo Russell
Justin Champagnie

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHA chance · WSH chance
Our model fair66.7%33.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CHACharlotte Hornets−20067%————
WSHWashington Wizards+20033%————
SpreadCHA by 6.7
CHACharlotte Hornets−6.7our margin————
WSHWashington Wizards+6.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 230.1
Over230.1our total————
Under230.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Charlotte Hornets by 6.7 expected
Charlotte Hornets by 48 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 47 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 46 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 45 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 44 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 43 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 42 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 41 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 40 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 39 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 38 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 37 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 36 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 35 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 34 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 33 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 32 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 31 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 30 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 29 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 28 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 27 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 26 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 25 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 24 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 23 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 22 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 21 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 20 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 19 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 18 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 17 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 16 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 15 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 14 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 13 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 12 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 11 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 10 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 9 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 8 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 7 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 6 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 5 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 4 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 3 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 2 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 1 point: 2%Washington Wizards by 1 point: 2%Washington Wizards by 2 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 3 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 4 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 5 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 6 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 7 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 8 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 9 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 10 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 11 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 12 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 13 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 14 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 15 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 16 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 17 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 18 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 19 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 20 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 21 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 22 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 23 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 24 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 25 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 26 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 27 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 28 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 29 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 30 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 31 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 32 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 33 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 34 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 35 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 36 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 37 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 38 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 39 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 40 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 41 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 42 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 43 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 44 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 45 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 46 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 47 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 48 points: <1%
← CHA wins byWSH wins by →
Charlotte Hornets wins by 5 or more59%
Charlotte Hornets wins by 10 or more43%
Charlotte Hornets wins by 15 or more28%
Within 5 points either way23%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

230.1 expected
180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 220.568%
Total over 230.548%
Total over 240.529%
Total from 221 to 24039%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Charlotte Hornets
GLaMelo Ballstarted
GKon Knueppelstarted
FGrant Williamsstarted
FBrandon Millerstarted
CRyan Kalkbrennerstarted
Washington Wizards
GBub Carringtonstarted
GBilal Coulibalystarted
GTre Johnsonstarted
FAnthony Gillstarted
FKyshawn Georgestarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHA·WSH
Feb 20 vs CLE
last game
Feb 20 vs IND
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
2
road after a home game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 22, 5:00 PM ET
Charlotte Hornets
CHAAntonio Reeves · g league - two-wayOut
CHACoby White · left calf; strainOut
CHALiam McNeeley · left ankle; sprainOut
CHAMiles Bridges · league suspensionOut
CHAMoussa Diabate · league suspensionOut
CHATosan Evbuomwan · g league - two-wayOut
Washington Wizards
WSHAlex Sarr · right hamstring; strainOut
WSHAnthony Davis · left finger; sprainOut
WSHCam Whitmore · right shoulder; deep vein thrombosisOut
WSHD'Angelo Russell · not with teamOut
WSHJustin Champagnie · right knee; tendinopathyOut
WSHTrae Young · right knee; mcl sprain; quad contusionOut
WSHTristan Vukcevic · right hand; contusionOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 55+ games
CHA·WSH
−0.24
rating (0 = average)
−1.14
115.4
points / game
112.5
113.7
points allowed / game
122.7
26−31
season record
16−39
12−16
home record
11−18
14−15
away record
5−21
L2
streak
W2
7−3
last 10
5−5
45.9
FG%
45.9
37.2
3P%
34.9
46.0
rebounds / game
43.6
26.4
assists / game
25.5
15.9
turnovers / game
15.6
46.6
points in paint / game
47.8

Rating Trend

CHA · WSH · 110 days
Charlotte HornetsWashington Wizards
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · WSH 5−5
Jan 24at CHACHA 119 − 115
Dec 23, 2025at CHACHA 126 − 109
Oct 26, 2025at WSHCHA 139 − 113
Mar 1, 2025at CHAWSH 113 − 100
Feb 3, 2025at CHAWSH 124 − 114
Dec 26, 2024at WSHWSH 113 − 110
Dec 19, 2024at WSHWSH 123 − 114
Mar 8, 2024at WSHWSH 112 − 100
Nov 22, 2023at CHACHA 117 − 114
Nov 10, 2023at WSHCHA 124 − 117

CHA · Last 10

7−3 · streak L2
Feb 20vs CLE113 − 118L
Feb 19vs HOU101 − 105L
Feb 11vs ATL110 − 107W
Feb 9vs DET104 − 110L
Feb 7at ATL126 − 119W
Feb 5at HOU109 − 99W
Feb 2vs NO102 − 95W
Jan 31vs SA111 − 106W
Jan 29at DAL123 − 121W
Jan 28at MEM112 − 97W

WSH · Last 10

5−5 · streak W2
Feb 20vs IND131 − 118W
Feb 19vs IND112 − 105W
Feb 11at CLE113 − 138L
Feb 8vs MIA101 − 132L
Feb 7at BKN113 − 127L
Feb 5at DET126 − 117W
Feb 3vs NY101 − 132L
Feb 1vs SAC116 − 112W
Jan 30vs LAL111 − 142L
Jan 29vs MIL109 − 99W