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Wizards at Cavaliers

NBA · Wednesday, Feb 11 · 6:00 PM CT · Rocket Arena · Final WSH 113 – CLE 138
← NBA / Feb 11

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
WSH24372824113
CLE40363230138
Team box
WSH·CLE
42-104
field goals
45-83
14-46
3-pointers
16-38
15-18
free throws
32-37
40
rebounds
51
26
assists
30
15
turnovers
21
44
points in paint
56
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Sam MerrillCLE253251
Donovan MitchellCLE283035
Jarrett AllenCLE272191
Kyshawn GeorgeWSH241753
Jamir WatkinsWSH291632
James HardenCLE2813411

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CLE +27
WSH +27
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CLE 27 · WSH 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was WSH 13%, CLE 87% · Updated Feb 11

Expected margin
CLE by 16.9
Expected score
CLE 126.2 – 109.2 WSH
Expected total
235.4
WizardsThe matchupCavaliers
+660Our fair odds−660
109.2Expected points126.2
−1.14Power rating+0.56
112.1Points / game119.6
122.8Allowed / game116.0
45.8FG%47.6
35.33P%35.9
43.5Rebounds / game44.5
14−38Season record33−21
4−6Last 109−1
Anthony Davis · Cam Whitmore
D'Angelo Russell · Trae Young
Tristan VukcevicOutDean Wade · Emanuel Miller
Evan Mobley · Max Strus

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
WSH chance · CLE chance
Our model fair13.2%86.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
WSHWashington Wizards+66013%————
CLECleveland Cavaliers−66087%————
SpreadCLE by 16.9
WSHWashington Wizards+16.9our margin————
CLECleveland Cavaliers−16.9our margin————
Totalwe expect 235.4
Over235.4our total————
Under235.4our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Cleveland Cavaliers by 16.9 expected
Washington Wizards by 53 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 52 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 51 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 50 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 49 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 48 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 47 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 46 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 45 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 44 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 43 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 42 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 41 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 40 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 39 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 38 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 37 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 36 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 35 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 34 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 33 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 32 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 31 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 30 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 29 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 28 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 27 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 26 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 25 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 24 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 23 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 22 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 21 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 20 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 19 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 18 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 17 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 16 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 15 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 14 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 13 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 12 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 11 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 10 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 9 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 8 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 7 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 6 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 5 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 4 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 3 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 2 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 1 point: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 1 point: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 2 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 3 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 4 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 5 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 6 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 7 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 8 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 9 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 10 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 11 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 12 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 13 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 14 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 15 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 16 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 17 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 18 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 19 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 20 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 21 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 22 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 23 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 24 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 25 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 26 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 27 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 28 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 29 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 30 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 31 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 32 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 33 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 34 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 35 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 36 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 37 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 38 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 39 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 40 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 41 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 42 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 43 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 44 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 45 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 46 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 47 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 48 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 49 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 50 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 51 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 52 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 53 points: <1%
← WSH wins byCLE wins by →
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 5 or more82%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 10 or more71%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 15 or more56%
Within 5 points either way14%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

235.4 expected
185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 225.568%
Total over 235.549%
Total over 245.530%
Total from 226 to 24538%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Washington Wizards
GJamir Watkinsstarted
GBub Carringtonstarted
GBilal Coulibalystarted
GTre Johnsonstarted
FKyshawn Georgestarted
Cleveland Cavaliers
GJames Hardenstarted
GDonovan Mitchellstarted
GSam Merrillstarted
GJaylon Tysonstarted
CJarrett Allenstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
WSH·CLE
Feb 8 vs MIA
last game
Feb 9 at DEN
2 days
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 11, 5:00 PM ET
Washington Wizards
WSHAnthony Davis · left finger; sprainOut
WSHCam Whitmore · right shoulder; deep vein thrombosisOut
WSHD'Angelo Russell · not with teamOut
WSHTrae Young · right knee; mcl sprain; quad contusionOut
WSHTristan Vukcevic · n/a; illnessOut
WSHAlex Sarr · right hamstring; tightnessQuestionable
Cleveland Cavaliers
CLEDean Wade · jones fracture left ankle; sprainOut
CLEEmanuel Miller · g league - two-wayOut
CLEEvan Mobley · left calf; strainOut
CLEMax Strus · left foot; surgery -Out

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 52+ games
WSH·CLE
−1.14
rating (0 = average)
+0.56
112.1
points / game
119.6
122.8
points allowed / game
116.0
14−38
season record
33−21
9−18
home record
17−11
5−20
away record
16−10
L2
streak
W4
4−6
last 10
9−1
45.8
FG%
47.6
35.3
3P%
35.9
43.5
rebounds / game
44.5
25.2
assists / game
28.6
15.7
turnovers / game
14.3
47.2
points in paint / game
51.1

Rating Trend

WSH · CLE · 105 days
Washington WizardsCleveland Cavaliers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CLE 10−0
Dec 12, 2025at WSHCLE 130 − 126
Nov 7, 2025at WSHCLE 148 − 115
Feb 7, 2025at WSHCLE 134 − 124
Dec 13, 2024at CLECLE 115 − 105
Dec 3, 2024at CLECLE 118 − 87
Oct 26, 2024at WSHCLE 135 − 116
Feb 25, 2024at WSHCLE 114 − 105
Feb 7, 2024at WSHCLE 114 − 106
Jan 5, 2024at CLECLE 114 − 90
Jan 3, 2024at CLECLE 140 − 101

WSH · Last 10

4−6 · streak L2
Feb 8vs MIA101 − 132L
Feb 7at BKN113 − 127L
Feb 5at DET126 − 117W
Feb 3vs NY101 − 132L
Feb 1vs SAC116 − 112W
Jan 30vs LAL111 − 142L
Jan 29vs MIL109 − 99W
Jan 27vs POR115 − 111W
Jan 24at CHA115 − 119L
Jan 22vs DEN97 − 107L

CLE · Last 10

9−1 · streak W4
Feb 9at DEN119 − 117W
Feb 7at SAC132 − 126W
Feb 4at LAC124 − 91W
Feb 1at POR130 − 111W
Jan 30at PHX113 − 126L
Jan 28vs LAL129 − 99W
Jan 26vs ORL114 − 98W
Jan 24at ORL119 − 105W
Jan 23vs SAC123 − 118W
Jan 21at CHA94 − 87W