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Pacers at Knicks

NBA · Tuesday, Mar 17 · 6:30 PM CT · Madison Square Garden · Final IND 110 – NY 136
← NBA / Mar 17

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
IND34302719110
NY38343331136
Team box
IND·NY
44-85
field goals
54-100
17-38
3-pointers
18-41
5-7
free throws
10-13
36
rebounds
49
31
assists
38
18
turnovers
9
46
points in paint
62
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Josh HartNY263375
OG AnunobyNY292684
Karl-Anthony TownsNY3222112
Jose AlvaradoNY2716210
Jarace WalkerIND321655
Obi ToppinIND181533

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NY +27
IND +27
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: NY 27 · IND 6lead changes: 9

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was IND 22%, NY 78% · Updated Mar 17

Expected margin
NY by 11.3
Expected score
NY 119.2 – 107.9 IND
Expected total
227.2
PacersThe matchupKnicks
+358Our fair odds−358
107.9Expected points119.2
−0.52Power rating+0.58
111.2Points / game117.0
119.9Allowed / game110.6
45.0FG%47.3
34.73P%37.2
42.2Rebounds / game46.4
15−53Season record45−25
0−10Last 107−3
Johnny Furphy · Tyrese HaliburtonOut (2 each)Miles McBride · Trey Jemison III

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
IND chance · NY chance
Our model fair21.8%78.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
INDIndiana Pacers+35822%————
NYNew York Knicks−35878%————
SpreadNY by 11.3
INDIndiana Pacers+11.3our margin————
NYNew York Knicks−11.3our margin————
Totalwe expect 227.2
Over227.2our total————
Under227.2our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New York Knicks by 11.3 expected
Indiana Pacers by 53 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 52 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 51 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 50 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 49 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 48 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 47 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 46 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 45 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 44 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 43 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 42 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 41 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 40 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 39 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 38 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 37 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 36 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 35 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 34 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 33 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 32 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 31 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 30 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 29 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 28 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 27 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 26 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 25 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 24 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 23 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 22 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 21 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 20 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 19 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 18 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 17 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 16 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 15 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 14 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 13 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 12 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 11 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 10 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 9 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 8 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 7 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 6 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 5 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 4 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 3 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 2 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 3 points: 2%New York Knicks by 4 points: 3%New York Knicks by 5 points: 3%New York Knicks by 6 points: 3%New York Knicks by 7 points: 3%New York Knicks by 8 points: 3%New York Knicks by 9 points: 3%New York Knicks by 10 points: 3%New York Knicks by 11 points: 3%New York Knicks by 12 points: 3%New York Knicks by 13 points: 3%New York Knicks by 14 points: 3%New York Knicks by 15 points: 3%New York Knicks by 16 points: 3%New York Knicks by 17 points: 2%New York Knicks by 18 points: 2%New York Knicks by 19 points: 2%New York Knicks by 20 points: 2%New York Knicks by 21 points: 2%New York Knicks by 22 points: 2%New York Knicks by 23 points: 2%New York Knicks by 24 points: 2%New York Knicks by 25 points: 2%New York Knicks by 26 points: 1%New York Knicks by 27 points: 1%New York Knicks by 28 points: 1%New York Knicks by 29 points: 1%New York Knicks by 30 points: 1%New York Knicks by 31 points: 1%New York Knicks by 32 points: 1%New York Knicks by 33 points: 1%New York Knicks by 34 points: 1%New York Knicks by 35 points: 1%New York Knicks by 36 points: 1%New York Knicks by 37 points: 1%New York Knicks by 38 points: 1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%New York Knicks by 43 points: <1%New York Knicks by 44 points: <1%New York Knicks by 45 points: <1%New York Knicks by 46 points: <1%New York Knicks by 47 points: <1%New York Knicks by 48 points: <1%New York Knicks by 49 points: <1%New York Knicks by 50 points: <1%New York Knicks by 51 points: <1%New York Knicks by 52 points: <1%New York Knicks by 53 points: <1%
← IND wins byNY wins by →
New York Knicks wins by 5 or more69%
New York Knicks wins by 10 or more55%
New York Knicks wins by 15 or more40%
Within 5 points either way20%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

227.2 expected
178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 217.569%
Total over 227.549%
Total over 237.529%
Total from 218 to 23739%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Indiana Pacers
GT.J. McConnellstarted
GAaron Nesmithstarted
GKobe Brownstarted
FJarace Walkerstarted
CIvica Zubacstarted
New York Knicks
GJosh Hartstarted
GMikal Bridgesstarted
GJose Alvaradostarted
FOG Anunobystarted
CKarl-Anthony Townsstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
IND·NY
Mar 15 at MIL
last game
Mar 15 vs GS
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Mar 17, 5:00 PM ET
Indiana Pacers
INDJohnny Furphy · right acl; tearOut
INDTyrese Haliburton · right achilles tendon; tearOut
INDPascal Siakam · right knee; sprainDoubtful
INDAaron Nesmith · right ankle; injury managementQuestionable
INDAndrew Nembhard · right calf; contusionQuestionable
INDBen Sheppard · left ankle; sprainQuestionable
INDEthan Thompson · g league - two-wayQuestionable
INDIvica Zubac · left ankle; sprainQuestionable
INDJalen Slawson · g league - two-wayQuestionable
INDMicah Potter · right triceps; strainQuestionable
and 4 more
New York Knicks
NYMiles McBride · pelvic; core muscle injuryOut
NYTrey Jemison III · g league - two-wayOut
NYJalen Brunson · right ankle; right ankle injury management/ cervical strain right sideDoubtful
NYMitchell Robinson · back; thoracic spine muscle tightnessQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 68+ games
IND·NY
−0.52
rating (0 = average)
+0.58
111.2
points / game
117.0
119.9
points allowed / game
110.6
15−53
season record
45−25
10−24
home record
25−9
5−29
away record
20−16
L13
streak
W3
0−10
last 10
7−3
45.0
FG%
47.3
34.7
3P%
37.2
42.2
rebounds / game
46.4
26.5
assists / game
27.4
14.5
turnovers / game
13.7
45.4
points in paint / game
47.4

Rating Trend

IND · NY · 133 days
Indiana PacersNew York Knicks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · NY 5−5
Mar 13at INDNY 101 − 92
Feb 10at NYIND 137 − 134
Dec 18, 2025at INDNY 114 − 113
May 31, 2025at INDIND 125 − 108post
May 29, 2025at NYNY 111 − 94post
May 27, 2025at INDIND 130 − 121post
May 25, 2025at INDNY 106 − 100post
May 23, 2025at NYIND 114 − 109post
May 21, 2025at NYIND 138 − 135post
Feb 11, 2025at INDNY 128 − 115

IND · Last 10

0−10 · streak L10
Mar 15at MIL123 − 134L
Mar 13vs NY92 − 101L
Mar 12vs PHX108 − 123L
Mar 10at SAC109 − 114L
Mar 8at POR111 − 131L
Mar 6at LAL117 − 128L
Mar 4at LAC107 − 130L
Mar 1vs MEM106 − 125L
Feb 26vs CHA109 − 133L
Feb 24vs PHI114 − 135L

NY · Last 10

7−3 · streak W3
Mar 15vs GS110 − 107W
Mar 13at IND101 − 92W
Mar 11at UTAH134 − 117W
Mar 9at LAC118 − 126L
Mar 8at LAL97 − 110L
Mar 6at DEN142 − 103W
Mar 4vs OKC100 − 103L
Mar 3at TOR111 − 95W
Mar 1vs SA114 − 89W
Feb 27at MIL127 − 98W