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Pistons at Wizards

NBA · Tuesday, Mar 17 · 6:00 PM CT · Capital One Arena · Final DET 130 – WSH 117
← NBA / Mar 17

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
DET32313730130
WSH32252634117
Team box
DET·WSH
46-90
field goals
43-87
11-27
3-pointers
16-37
27-32
free throws
15-19
50
rebounds
35
31
assists
20
13
turnovers
14
68
points in paint
44
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jalen DurenDET3136112
Bub CarringtonWSH373042
Will RileyWSH372131
Justin ChampagnieWSH291892
Jaden HardyWSH321622
Daniss JenkinsDET211527

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
WSH +22
DET +22
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: WSH 9 · DET 22lead changes: 5

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was DET 84%, WSH 16% · Updated Mar 17

Expected margin
DET by 14.7
Expected score
DET 124.1 – 109.5 WSH
Expected total
233.6
PistonsThe matchupWizards
−521Our fair odds+521
124.1Expected points109.5
+0.61Power rating−1.25
117.2Points / game112.7
109.8Allowed / game123.7
48.2FG%46.1
34.83P%35.3
45.8Rebounds / game42.8
48−19Season record16−51
5−5Last 100−10
Bobi Klintman · Chaz Lanier
Isaac Jones · Isaiah Stewart
Wendell Moore Jr.Out (5 each)Alex Sarr · Anthony Davis
Bilal Coulibaly · Cam Whitmore
D'Angelo Russell

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
DET chance · WSH chance
Our model fair83.9%16.1%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
DETDetroit Pistons−52184%————
WSHWashington Wizards+52116%————
SpreadDET by 14.7
DETDetroit Pistons−14.7our margin————
WSHWashington Wizards+14.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 233.6
Over233.6our total————
Under233.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Detroit Pistons by 14.7 expected
Detroit Pistons by 45 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 44 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 43 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 42 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 41 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 40 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 39 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 38 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 37 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 36 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 35 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 34 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 33 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 32 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 31 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 30 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 29 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 28 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 27 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 26 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 25 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 24 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 23 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 22 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 21 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 20 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 19 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 18 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 17 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 16 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 15 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 14 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 13 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 12 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 11 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 10 points: 4%Detroit Pistons by 9 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 8 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 7 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 6 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 5 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 4 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 3 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 2 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 1 point: 2%Washington Wizards by 1 point: 1%Washington Wizards by 2 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 3 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 4 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 5 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 6 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 7 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 8 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 9 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 10 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 11 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 12 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 13 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 14 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 15 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 16 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 17 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 18 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 19 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 20 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 21 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 22 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 23 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 24 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 25 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 26 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 27 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 28 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 29 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 30 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 31 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 32 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 33 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 34 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 35 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 36 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 37 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 38 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 39 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 40 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 41 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 42 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 43 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 44 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 45 points: <1%
← DET wins byWSH wins by →
Detroit Pistons wins by 5 or more81%
Detroit Pistons wins by 10 or more65%
Detroit Pistons wins by 15 or more48%
Within 5 points either way14%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

233.6 expected
183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 223.569%
Total over 233.549%
Total over 243.530%
Total from 224 to 24338%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Detroit Pistons
GCade Cunninghamstarted
GAusar Thompsonstarted
FTobias Harrisstarted
FDuncan Robinsonstarted
CJalen Durenstarted
Washington Wizards
GBub Carringtonstarted
GWill Rileystarted
GTre Johnsonstarted
FAnthony Gillstarted
FJustin Champagniestarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
DET·WSH
Mar 15 at TOR
last game
Mar 16 vs GS
1 day
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
4
games in last 7 days
4
2nd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Mar 17, 5:00 PM ET
Detroit Pistons
DETBobi Klintman · g league - on assignmentOut
DETChaz Lanier · g league - on assignmentOut
DETIsaac Jones · g league - two-wayOut
DETIsaiah Stewart · left calf; strainOut
DETWendell Moore Jr. · g league - two-wayOut
Washington Wizards
WSHAlex Sarr · left big toe; capsulitisOut
WSHAnthony Davis · left finger; sprainOut
WSHBilal Coulibaly · right retrocalcaneal; bursitisOut
WSHCam Whitmore · right shoulder; deep vein thrombosisOut
WSHD'Angelo Russell · not with teamOut
WSHKyshawn George · left elbow; sprainOut
WSHLeaky Black · left ankle; sprainOut
WSHTrae Young · right quad; contusionOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 67+ games
DET·WSH
+0.61
rating (0 = average)
−1.25
117.2
points / game
112.7
109.8
points allowed / game
123.7
48−19
season record
16−51
26−8
home record
11−23
22−11
away record
5−28
L1
streak
L12
5−5
last 10
0−10
48.2
FG%
46.1
34.8
3P%
35.3
45.8
rebounds / game
42.8
26.9
assists / game
25.1
15.1
turnovers / game
15.7
57.4
points in paint / game
47.3

Rating Trend

DET · WSH · 133 days
Detroit PistonsWashington Wizards
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · WSH 5−5
Feb 5at DETWSH 126 − 117
Nov 10, 2025at DETDET 137 − 135
Mar 13, 2025at DETWSH 129 − 125
Mar 11, 2025at DETDET 123 − 103
Nov 17, 2024at WSHDET 124 − 104
Mar 29, 2024at WSHDET 96 − 87
Jan 27, 2024at DETWSH 118 − 104
Jan 15, 2024at WSHDET 129 − 117
Nov 27, 2023at DETWSH 126 − 107
Mar 14, 2023at WSHWSH 117 − 97

DET · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Mar 15at TOR108 − 119L
Mar 13vs MEM126 − 110W
Mar 12vs PHI131 − 109W
Mar 10at BKN138 − 100W
Mar 8at MIA110 − 121L
Mar 7vs BKN105 − 107L
Mar 5at SA106 − 121L
Mar 3at CLE109 − 113L
Mar 1at ORL106 − 92W
Feb 27vs CLE122 − 119W

WSH · Last 10

0−10 · streak L10
Mar 16vs GS117 − 125L
Mar 14at BOS100 − 111L
Mar 12at ORL131 − 136L
Mar 10at MIA129 − 150L
Mar 8at NO118 − 138L
Mar 5vs UTAH112 − 122L
Mar 3at ORL109 − 126L
Mar 2vs HOU118 − 123L
Feb 28vs TOR125 − 134L
Feb 26at ATL96 − 126L